Fujian Ministry Of Foreign Oriented Enterprises Are Expected To Become "Tight" Next Year.

Statistics released by the General Administration of Customs on 10 may show that in November, China exported 174 billion 460 million US dollars, an increase of 13.8% over the same period last year, an increase of 9 months, an increase of 159 billion 940 million US dollars, an increase of 22.1% over the previous year, and a total import and export value of 334 billion 400 million US dollars, up 17.6% over the same period last year.

The export-oriented manufacturing enterprises in Putian and other places in our province are not optimistic about the foreign trade situation next year.

Lu Ting, an economist in Merrill Lynch, also said yesterday that the biggest risk for China's economy next year is exports.

Part of Fujian enterprises do not expect much.

The head of a footwear enterprise in Putian said, "now

It is understood that the export of Putian's industrial and mineral products is mainly in the European and American markets. In 1-6, the total volume and value of exports to the United States and the European Union totaled 28 thousand batches and 1 billion 70 million US dollars, accounting for 67.23% and 71.27% of the total export volume respectively.

Due to the double impact of the financial crisis and the European debt crisis, the European and American markets have entered the freezing period. The most influential ones are labor-intensive industries such as footwear and clothing products. The export volume has decreased by 15%, causing widespread concern among enterprises.

Putian city inspection and Quarantine Bureau survey shows that enterprises are worried about the cost of labor.

In 2011, the employment cost of enterprises increased by nearly 20%, and the production staff could not be recruited. In 2012, the rise in labor cost was almost certain. Second, the pressure of exchange rate between Europe and America on our country was increasing. Some enterprises reflected that the RMB appreciation in 2011 led to a 4.6% decline in corporate profits. Third, due to the debt crisis, customers demanded delay in delivery or cancellation of orders.

According to the analysis of the industry, the survival crisis of China's manufacturing enterprises caused by the current European debt crisis is an inevitable process for enterprises to realize pformation and upgrading, and the government departments should give preferential policies to the industry in a difficult position.

The industry is not optimistic about the export situation next year.

Wang Shouwen, director of the foreign trade division of the Ministry of Commerce, said recently that the decline in export growth reflected, on the one hand, the weakening of the international market demand. On the other hand, it also reflected the pressure on the rise of the comprehensive cost of exports, including the rise in labor wages, the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate, the rising cost of land, and the rising price of raw materials.

For next year, there will be no fundamental improvement in the market in Europe and the United States, and the domestic supply costs will also face the same situation this year.

Next year, the situation of foreign trade and import and export is grim.

If next year's European financial crisis does not get out of control, next year's exports will still achieve a certain level of growth.

Zhang Yansheng, a researcher at the Foreign Economic Research Institute of the NDRC, said

Lu pointed out that the mainland's trade surplus next year will be substantially reduced to $40 billion from next year's estimated $140 billion.

Export growth has dropped from 20% this year to 10%.

"This is based on the estimate made by the EU's economic growth -0.5%," Lu Ting said. "The EU's economic forecast is likely to further reduce to -2.5%, so that China's exports may become zero growth."