Operation Of Textile Industry In 2011 And Forecast Of Its Operation In 2012

Since 2011, China's textile industry has actively responded to many factors such as the slowdown in the world economic growth, the appreciation of the renminbi, the fluctuating price of raw materials such as cotton, and the rising cost of labor and energy. It has accelerated the pformation of the development mode, constantly improved the level of Technology, management and marketing, and has steadily increased production, export and profits throughout the year. However, the growth rate has been declining month by month, and the pressure on the operation of the industry has increased, and some small and medium-sized textile enterprises have been operating difficultly.

First, the overall operation is good, and the situation is more serious in the second half of the year.

(1) production has maintained steady growth, mainly

In 1-11 months, the industrial added value of textile enterprises above designated size increased by 10.5% over the same period last year, the growth rate increased by 0.6 percentage points compared with the first half of the year, and the proportion of textile industry added value to the whole country was 5.7%, which was 0.1 percentage points higher than that in the first half of the year.

Production and marketing rate was 97.7%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points over the first half of this year.

1-11 months, China's yarn production 26 million 320 thousand tons, an increase of 12.4% over the previous year, a 1.2 percentage point increase over the first half of the year, a 56 billion 800 million increase in cloth production, an increase of 13.2% over the previous year, a 2.2 percentage point increase over the first half of the year, 30 million 740 thousand tons of chemical fiber production, an increase of 14.9% over the previous year, an increase of 0.4 percentage points over the first half of the year, and an increase of 23 billion% in clothing production, an increase of less than 1% in the first half of the year.

(two) investment has maintained rapid growth and regional structure has been further optimized.

In 1-11 months, China's textile enterprises total 5 million yuan or more.

In 1-11 months, the textile industry in the eastern region actually completed investment of 346 billion 400 million yuan, an increase of 23% over the same period last year. The textile industry in the central region actually completed investment of 186 billion 900 million yuan, up 55.7% over the same period last year; the textile industry in the western region actually completed 49 billion 600 million yuan investment, an increase of 51.7% over the previous year; the textile industry in the three northeastern provinces actually completed 27 billion 200 million yuan investment, an increase of 47% over the same period last year.

Investment in the central, Western and northeast regions accounted for 43.2% of the total investment in the country, up 2.1 percentage points from the first half of the year.

(three) steady growth in exports and rapid decline in the fourth quarter.

In 1-11 months, textile exports amounted to $86 billion 400 million, an increase of 24% over the same period last year. The growth rate dropped 4.8 percentage points from the first half, down 5.6 percentage points from the same period last year, and clothing exports 139 billion 800 million US dollars, an increase of 19.5% over the same period last year.

(four) economic efficiency has increased steadily and enterprises' losses have increased rapidly.

In 1-11 months, the textile industry's main business revenue was 48072 billion yuan, up 27.4% from the same period last year, the growth rate dropped 3.1 percentage points from the first half, and 0.8 percentage points lower than that of the same period of the whole industry.

The total profit was 246 billion 600 million yuan, an increase of 26.6% over the same period last year. The growth rate dropped 14.7 percentage points from the first half of the year, 2.2 percentage points higher than that of the same period in the whole country.

The number of loss making enterprises in the textile industry increased by 28.7% compared to the same period last year, the growth rate increased by 30.4 percentage points compared with the first half, and 11.5 percentage points higher than that of the same period in the whole country.

The total deficit of loss making enterprises increased by 75.9% over the same period last year, and the growth rate increased by 69.8 percentage points compared with the first half of this year, 8.5 percentage points higher than that of the same period in the whole country.

Two, the main problems facing

(1) there is a big gap between domestic and foreign cotton prices.

In the past 3 months, domestic cotton prices have been kept at 19000-19800 between the temporary purchase and storage.

In December 29th, the domestic standard cotton price was 19173 yuan / ton.

In December 27th, the quasi tax price of imported cotton was 17164 yuan / ton, 2009 yuan lower than domestic cotton price.

New York futures March delivery price of 91.63 cents / pound (discount tax quasi tax 15341 yuan / ton), lower than the current domestic cotton price 3832 yuan / ton.

According to the data of India textile Ministry, the average price of cotton in India in November was 94 rupees / kg, with a discount of 12000 yuan / ton.

(two) international economic recovery is slow and demand is weakening.

Since 2011, the world economic growth has slowed down, the growth rate of international trade has dropped, various risks have increased significantly, and the instability and uncertainty of the world economic recovery has increased.

In 1-10 months, the number of imported cotton products from the United States decreased by 12.27% over the same period last year, and the growth rate dropped 4.05 percentage points from the first half. The number of imports of cotton products from China decreased by 17.56% compared with the same period last year, and the growth rate dropped 2.4 percentage points in the first half of the year.

(three) the problem of capital is still outstanding.

Financing difficulties and financing are prominent in the textile industry.

The interest rate of textile enterprises generally rose, and the interest expenses of textile enterprises increased by 37.2% over the same period of 1-10 months.

(four) the speed of technological progress of enterprises is not suited to changes in the external situation.

At present, the endogenous driven development mode has not become the mainstream of the whole industry development. Most enterprises rely mainly on quantity to win the development, relying on cost competition, and the speed of technological progress and development mode can not adapt to the changes of the external environment.

Three, 2012 forecast of industry operation situation

(1) exports can still maintain a certain growth.

Since 2011, world economic growth has slowed down.

(two) domestic demand has stronger support for textile growth.

The central economic work conference identified the general keynote for economic development next year, and stressed the 4 key tasks of expanding domestic demand, developing the real economy, accelerating reform and innovation, ensuring and improving people's livelihood.

With the deepening of national reform and macroeconomic regulation and control, the domestic economy will maintain steady growth, and domestic textile and clothing consumption will continue to grow. The growth rate is expected to be basically the same as in 2011.

(three) the operating pressure of the industry continues to increase.

First, the difference between domestic and foreign cotton prices has great impact on the industry; two, the cost of labor and environmental resources will continue to rise. The three is that although the credit policy is loose in 2012, the pressure of textile funds on enterprises is still greater. Four, it is necessary to continue to improve energy saving and emission reduction, and enterprises will pay greater cost in terms of energy conservation and emission reduction.