"Round Table" All Directional Tuning 2012

2012 is not the best year, nor can it be the worst year. In 2012, what kind of expression and keynote did it have? In order to find the answer, at the beginning of the new year, the China Textile Roundtable forum, which had a high influence on the domestic textile industry, opened the door of wisdom again.

Because this is not the best year. Flashy Superficial greeting.

Because this is not the worst year, you can feel the confidence of the "big guys" in the industry. Careful The state of mind is looking at the 2012 that has sailed.

Whether the keynote speech or the two dialogues of guests is full of sparks. collision At the macro level, industry level and enterprise level, the tone of 2012 was judged complementing each other.

Macro view

Policy stability and accelerated transformation

Zhang Yansheng, former director of the Foreign Economic Research Institute of the national development and Reform Commission

Let the horse go into battle lightly.

As a competitive industry in China, textile and apparel industry still has opportunities in Europe even in 2012. For enterprises, especially excellent enterprises, there are still big business opportunities this year.

The resolution just concluded by the central economic work conference contains 18 words. "Stable growth and inflation control", these 6 words mean how to maintain the stability of the economy in the short term. The 6 words are "adjusting the structure and benefiting the people". In fact, it is to ensure the medium-term economic stability. There are 6 words, "grasping reform and promoting harmony", which are aimed at long-term development. First of all, we need to find out whether our country is a short-term problem or a medium term and long-term problem. I personally think that the medium and long-term problems are more prominent, that is, structural problems and people's livelihood.

First of all, we need to lower the tax burden. The biggest problem for enterprises is the pressure of transformation. Therefore, monetary policy should be appropriately structured tax reduction, first of all, let the horse go into battle. There should be less regulation. The government can not control the economic activities of the enterprises. It is best not to interfere. If intervention can be intervened, it is best not to intervene, so that market competition can force enterprises to run.

Wang Wei, deputy director and researcher, Institute of market economy, State Council Development Research Center

Develop potential growth rates

The development of China's economy is far from worrying.

The near concern is whether we can worry about the steady growth of the economy in 2012 or 2013. From the current development stage, there are still some foundations and conditions for achieving stable growth in China.

Far away worry is whether China can change its development mode rapidly now. Can structural adjustment achieve the transition from the middle stage of industrialization to the later stage or higher stage, and whether the three or four industry structure can be adjusted more quickly, including the adjustment between our three carriages. This structural adjustment can not be achieved. The key lies not in economic growth itself, but in whether we can make such a growth create a good environment, especially a good institutional foundation.

After 30 years of rapid growth, the current economic downturn has resulted in the adjustment of our business cycle and external environmental impact. What's more, after 30 years of rapid growth, our economy will continue to develop at a high rate of growth.

We should not expect that the future will grow at two digits. What is more important is that in the future growth, the potential growth rate will be better developed and the market economy system will be further improved.

Pan pan, vice director of China Economic Prosperity Monitoring Center, National Bureau of Statistics

The investment structure will change.

The latest business climate index survey shows that the small business climate index is significantly lower than that of large enterprises. PMI is also the same. Large enterprises in December increased PMI and small businesses fell. Therefore, we must recognize the nature of the problem and where is the problem of small enterprises? Through the survey conducted by the survey system of Chinese entrepreneurs, it can be found that labor costs and the rising cost of raw materials have become a very important issue. Why the rising cost has become a difficult problem and even a major difficulty for the development of enterprises? The fundamental reason is that domestic competition is fierce.

On the whole, the trend of 2012 will be a moderate drop in investment, but the structure will change. Consumption will grow steadily and exports will tend to fall.

We should not erroneously interpret the current macro - so called "pre adjustment fine adjustment" is a policy shift. In fact, our most important task is transformation. We must correctly understand the meaning of seeking stability in a stable way. "Stability" is stable economic growth, stable prices and stable social stability. The key policies must be stable and will not change easily. "Entering" is not growth but transformation.

Enterprise viewpoint

Firm confidence and steady direction

Zhao Bo Ya, chairman and Secretary of the Party committee of China Textile Group Co., Ltd.

Opportunities in the trend of stages

According to the current judgement, the trend of cotton and cotton textile products will show three characteristics this year.

First, the supply of cotton is relatively abundant. With the implementation of the reserve policy, the supply pressure of the spot market will be eased to a certain extent.

Two, cotton consumption prospects are worrying. In 2012, cotton textile industry faced with a series of problems, such as shortage of external demand, shortage of funds and rising cost of essential elements. At the same time, the extensive use of alternatives will also have an obvious inhibitory effect on cotton consumption.

Three is the policy leading market trend. In the new year, the domestic cotton market is a policy led market, and the state's policy of unlimited purchase and storage is the core strength for stabilizing the cotton market. This will largely change the supply and demand pattern of cotton in the new year. The sustainability of the policy of purchasing and storage in the late stage and the guiding change of the quota policy will be an important factor affecting the cotton price trend.

Judging from the above analysis, the situation of this year is still based on complexity and uncertainty. However, there are still some opportunities to be caught and grasped in the trend of market trend.

Ex Mr.Babacan CEO

Sustainability is the future trend

A recent survey conducted by Ou Ruikang Textile Group and the world textile network shows that the sustainability and environmental protection, energy conservation and efficiency priority of technical textiles will be the most important development trend in the next 10 years. As the oldest and most globalized industry in the world, the textile industry will continue to play an important role in people's clothing, food and housing, and will continue to maintain vitality, motivation and great potential. In order to fully mobilize the potential of the textile industry, we need to constantly innovate, take part in and solve all important aspects of human life development, seize business opportunities, and take advantage of these opportunities and trends to promote the development of the textile industry.

In the same global village, we need to create more bright spots for the whole world and the whole industry. We need to work more closely together for closer collaboration in different fields, regions and industries. This is the idea that Oricon textile has been advocating. At this moment, the textile industry is full of challenges. We need continuous innovation. At any time, innovation is the key to the great success of the textile industry.

Zhu Nengqiang, general manager of Beijing Beijing cotton group

Speed up adjustment in face of change

In 2011, we went through the complicated situation before and after the world. The instability and uncertainty of the world economy brought many negative effects to the financial market. Under this background, China issued a series of control policies. The complex economic situation has slowed down the growth of investment and consumption exports, and textile enterprises have gone through unprecedented market conditions. The roller coaster market is down, the market order is decreasing and the inventory is increasing. All of these make the business activities of the enterprises encounter great difficulties.

Beijing Jing cotton group, like most enterprises, has spent an extraordinary year in its struggle. 2012, which has just entered, will still be a year of challenges and opportunities. How to seize the favorable opportunity in the new situation and new changes is a problem we need to solve at present.

During the "12th Five-Year" period, the Beijing cotton group will build enterprises that are suitable for the development of the capital in the direction of building the world cities, take cooperative innovation as the theme, enhance economic efficiency as the leading factor, focus on upgrading the textile business, give priority to the development of cultural and creative industries, optimize the layout structure, strengthen the trade function, and integrate the talent team.

Xu Weimin, chairman of Jiangsu Dong Du Textile Group

SMEs play a decisive role in stability.

For textile enterprises, 2011 can be said to be a surprise, but in 2012 it was not so good.

There are many uncertainties in the two markets, especially in the export market. Orders from the United States, Europe and Japan will generally be able to confirm orders for second years at the end of the year, but the situation is not optimistic this year, which is very different from the previous 2/3. Before the textile industry has strong competitiveness, but in recent years, our competitiveness is becoming smaller and smaller. Many orders have been lost to some neighboring countries.

For 2012, we can say that we have more confidence. We are not without confidence, but we are worried about the whole industry, especially the situation of small and medium-sized enterprises. The data analysis of the National Bureau of statistics can make us confident, but it is not so optimistic from the personal experience of enterprises. For the whole industry development, the majority of small and medium enterprises in China's textile industry play a decisive role in social stability.

In the face of uncertain factors superimposed in 2012, if the policy is unstable, coupled with rising cost pressures and financing difficulties, most small and medium enterprises will be in a difficult position, which will have a negative impact on the whole industry.

Xu Jianmin, general manager of Sanyang Textile Co., Ltd.

Stick to your position and work hard

The current predicament is a common challenge for enterprises. The elimination speed of inferior enterprises will speed up, which is also in line with China's Readjustment of industrial structure and promotion of industrial upgrading. In the case of market uncertainty, we should focus on the following three points.

First, we must stick to enterprise positioning. No matter whether the positioning is high-end, middle end or low end, we must stick to it and do not change it arbitrarily. The landing of macro policy takes time. Changing its strategy in uncertain circumstances may lead to premature death.

Second, we need to maintain valuable customers. Customers are the survival foundation of the enterprise, but the customers are also big and small. The quality is high and low. Therefore, we must maintain good quality customers and leave special care to special customers.

Third, we must be good at making excitement. Entrepreneurs should not magnify difficulties, but must know how to work hard and be good at creating excitement.

Engels once said: "no historical disaster is not compensated by historical progress." Therefore, we must be good at grasping the good opportunities, and be good at digging some excitement when facing adversity. Tomorrow's hope can lighten the pain of today.

Industry perspective

Low and high demand protection

Gao Yong, vice president and Secretary General of China Textile Industry Federation

Boosting the confidence of the whole industry is the key.

2012 is the key year for "12th Five-Year" to link up the preceding and the following. How to maintain steady growth of the industry, further speed up structural adjustment, transformation and upgrading, and push forward from big to strong and improve core competitiveness are the focus of the development of the industry.

It is expected that in 2012 the industry will develop before low and high. Now the consensus is that the first quarter must be better. Some enterprises have started holidays since new year's day, especially some small businesses. After the holiday is put on the fifteen of the first month, this shows that these enterprises are not optimistic in the first quarter.

The industry will pick up from the two quarter or the three quarter. This is a matter of great concern to us. Maybe several major industries are still performing differently. Most industries like industries are growing, and orders are not decreasing. The performance of the whole industry chain is different. Whether it is the market downturn or the decline in production of some enterprises or even downtime, it is the key to try to boost the confidence of the whole industry.

Director of China Textile economics research center, Huaibin

Seize opportunities in challenges

The European debt crisis is a problem worth studying. If it is not well controlled, it will inevitably bring negative effects on the global economy. But the fundamentals of the EU market have not changed much. As an export of some necessities, this is a rigid demand. We must have confidence in this market.

In 2012, as a textile enterprise, the first point is to integrate with the international market. The second point is to avoid the ups and downs, so that we can have a stable operation environment. At the same time, it can also make use of international resources to make up for its hard gap.

Over the years, the market economy has made the whole industry mature. We already have the ability to challenge all kinds of risks. Of course, we must learn to seize opportunities in challenges, and also need to have a scientific attitude and effective strategies. Only in this way can the whole industry continue to improve and develop.

Gao Fang, executive vice president and Secretary General of China Cotton Association

Cotton problem needs careful study

In 2012, we hope for stability both in terms of policy regulation and expectations in the workplace. For textile enterprises, the price is going all the way up or down the road is not terrible, terrible is up and down. The policy of cotton circulation system reform in the future should be a little money from the state finance, to "hold" the peasants and the rest to the market. Enterprises are not afraid of market, entrepreneurs are not afraid of competition, afraid of half regulation, half of the market.

Looking forward to sitting down with the textile enterprises and associations to seriously study the cotton problem, together with a more feasible policy proposal for the country, and put forward some feasible operation plans to solve some long-term problems for the healthy development of the whole industry.