Research Report On Spring Weaving Industry In Spring Of More Than 90% To 2012

In accordance with the requirements of the China Federation of textile industry in spring, Xu Wenying, vice president of China Textile Industry Federation and President of China filament weaving Association, led China in from February 13 to 18, 2012.

1. 2012

Through interviews, interviews, questionnaires and other forms of investigation with entrepreneurs, 4 of enterprises believe that this year's market situation will be better than last year, and another 4 of enterprises believe that the overall business situation will be unchanged from last year.

Compared with the previous year, although the tone of the market continues to grow rapidly, nearly 80% of enterprises still have confidence in the market.

Judging from the main factors affecting the production and operation of enterprises, in 2012, 92.9% of enterprises thought that the cost of labor would continue to rise, which decreased by nearly 5 percentage points compared with that in 2011. 54.8% of enterprises thought that the cost of raw materials would continue to grow, which was 19 percentage points lower than that in 2011.

This shows that the pressure of labor cost and raw material cost will be eased in 2012 than in 2011, but the pressure of resource cost and financial cost will remain unchanged. More than 80% of enterprises believe that the cost of resources and finance will continue to rise.

Two.

1, the operating rate exceeds 90%

After the Spring Festival, the commencement of work is generally satisfactory.

Although the number of employees in the first few days was less than 70% in previous years, after February, the employees were basically in place, and the vast majority of enterprises had already been in normal production.

The opening rate of Shengze and Wang Jiangjing is over 90%, and the overall operation has not been greatly affected.

Although the company can produce normally, it does not mean that it can sell normally.

At present, the polarization of enterprise sales is more serious. The selling products of high quality enterprises are in short supply. Most orders can be signed at the end of May, and some have even signed in 6 and July. However, the inventory pressure of some small and medium-sized enterprises with lower product grades has increased significantly, and orders are hard to find.

2, simulation silk products, down clothing fabrics are still popular.

In the fierce market competition, the type, performance and added value of the product determine whether the enterprise can ultimately occupy the market.

At present, the simulation silk products are still selling well; because the winter of 2012 is colder than in previous years, it has driven the down fabric demand in a sense, especially the high-grade nylon down fabric is more praised by the market. In addition, the demand for the bridal dress fabric (nylon differential) has increased with the change of the post-80s wedding peak and the change of consumption concept. In the short term, the demand for the Beatle is still very large in the short term, but because the product belongs to the conventional variety and has a strong seasonality, it is estimated that the buyer's market will last until the end of March up to the end of the year. It is estimated that the buyer's market will be kept at most until the end of March. It is also very popular in September 2011.

Before 2010, ordinary filament weaving products were very popular.

But over the past two years, due to the intensified competition in the scale of industries, many water looms have been installed in Brazil, India, Korea and Thailand, which compress the market space of China's filament weaving industry.

Therefore, searching for marketable products is a pressing problem for enterprises.

3, the international market is stagnant.

As for the whole market, international factors have great influence on China's textile industry.

The RMB appreciation and internal depreciation are the main reasons for the decline of export enterprises' efficiency. The European debt crisis has depressed the whole European market. In the survey, most enterprises indicated that they should turn to the domestic market, which will inevitably bring more pressure to the domestic market competition.

For now, exports to the US and Japan are acceptable.

The company said that the number of customers has not decreased, but the number of orders has declined, indicating that the market is still, but demand is weak.

At the same time, more and more trade protectionism is also attacking the confidence of the enterprises in the international market.

Therefore, how to protect its share in the international market and how to deal with trade risks is an important topic that enterprises must face in 2012.

4, fierce competition in the domestic market.

The fierce competition in the domestic market is self-evident.

On the one hand, some enterprises that turn the international market are turning to the domestic market; on the other hand, the low level of capacity expansion in China is serious.

The irregular production mode of "sprinkling water on thousands of households" has intensified the price competition among enterprises and pushed up the pressure of energy conservation and emission reduction everywhere.

In addition, with the passage of time, the purchase of downstream market tends to be rational, and demand can only increase slightly, which aggravates the competitive pressure of the domestic market.

On the whole, most enterprises say that the market can be maintained in the first half of this year, but it is hard to predict in the second half of the year.

{page_break}

Three, problem study

1, labor cost

(1) difficulty in recruitment.

After the Spring Festival, employees have been on duty, and the number of employees is over 90%.

Because the market information is developed now, the employment situation and the wage level of each enterprise are more pparent. Most workers can choose the suitable enterprises voluntarily according to their own conditions and preferences.

The wages of textile workers in the Taihu rim region are generally high, so there is no big problem with recruitment.

(2) wages rose by 15% again.

From the survey, wages in Shengze and Wang Jiangjing are generally higher, while in other areas, they are slightly lower, averaging 3800 yuan / month, people (8 hours), 5500 yuan / month, and people (12 hours).

Overall, the average wage per capita in 2011 increased by 20%-25% compared with 2010, and the salary rose by 10%-15% at the beginning of 2012.

In the survey, we obviously feel that the concept of employment has changed, and the concept of wages and working hours is different from the past.

One is working hours, and some standard large enterprises are not willing to adopt 12 hours and 2 shifts.

They believe that working hours are too long, employees are easy to fatigue, work efficiency is reduced, and actual wages do not decrease. In addition, 12 hours work system has a great loss on employees' health. Workers who could work for 5-6 years may actually work for 3-5 years only because of physical reasons.

The two is wages. Most enterprises think that the annual increase of wages is 5-10% reasonable.

It turns out that every 3-5 years there will be a sharp adjustment in wages every year. The rest of the year will increase slightly. It is expected that this round of wage rises will come to an end. In 2013, the wage level will remain unchanged in 2012.

(3) staff stability is the key.

Compared with higher wage costs, enterprises are more concerned about the problem of staff turnover.

On the face of it, the movement of personnel is mainly driven by profit seeking. Where the high salary personnel flow, workers can easily change jobs for the wage gap of 100-200 yuan.

But from a deeper perspective, the excessive flow of staff is a manifestation of lack of professional responsibility.

Because the labor law has strengthened the protection of workers, this has made it easier for workers to leave their posts, but enterprises have paid a price for training them.

In addition, with the increase of post-90s employees, corporate culture is facing more challenges.

When 90 employees choose their enterprises, wages are no longer the only standard. The comfort of working environment, the technical content of their jobs and their own development prospects become the main factors for them to consider.

Therefore, it is difficult to recruit workers with simple duplication of labor. In a sense, it also forces enterprises to improve the automation level of production.

2, energy saving cost

Since the beginning of this year, the electricity price in Taihu has risen by 0.03-0.04 yuan / kWh, averaging 0.74 yuan per kilowatt hour.

Faced with this problem, most enterprises are at peace of mind, and are willing to make efforts to start their own efforts, increase production management and do well in energy conservation.

In contrast, companies are more worried about the shortage of electricity supply.

At present, the power supply in some areas is more intense, and the pressure of energy saving is increasing.

Local governments rely mainly on two points to solve this problem. One is to restrict the electricity by sluice, and the two is to restrict development.

For example, it is necessary for an enterprise to win the market and produce analog wire products. It needs a double twister, but this equipment needs to increase the electricity consumption quota, which is in contradiction with the reality of the local power limited.

In order to meet their own production needs, some enterprises have to choose other areas to lease factories, which may promote industrial pfer from one aspect.

Anhui Xuancheng area, Hangzhou West Qiandao Lake periphery, Jiangxi Xinyu area and Northern Jiangsu area are the main destinations of the pfer.

In addition, with the expansion of the scale of production and the adjustment of product structure to adapt to the market, high energy consumption is in conflict with the constantly pressing energy saving tasks.

Enterprises suggest that energy conservation indicators can be set according to the nature of different industries so as to achieve a win-win situation.

3, financial cost

In the survey, the vast majority of enterprises reflected the excessive growth of financial expenses in 2011, and the growth of financial expenses mainly focused on interest expenses, which is one of the key points of our survey: "financing difficulties and financing expensive".

(1) financing difficulties

From the perspective of the main reasons for the difficulty of financing, enterprises focus on three aspects. First, the procedures for applying for loans are complicated, and the period of waiting for approval is too long. Two, for banks, the amount of small loans has to go through all the procedures. The loan amount of SMEs is usually only a few million, and banks are unwilling to serve SMEs. Three, when banks consider capital risks, they often shorten the lending cycle for SMEs.

All these are very difficult for small businesses eager for capital.

(2) financing is expensive.

In the survey, we found that enterprises generally reflect their interest rate should be around 10%-12%, this data is significantly higher than the basic interest rate announced by banks.

The reason is that we find that this is mainly related to the cost of cash turnover.

In 2011, China raised the deposit reserve rate 6 times and increased the pressure on bank deposits. In order to cope with the pressure and complete performance appraisal tasks, banks would issue a certain proportion of acceptance bills when issuing loans.

If the seller does not accept the acceptance of the bill of exchange, it will need to discount. In addition, the payment of wages, electricity, water and taxes should also be paid in cash.

At the same time, the state allows the bank loan interest rate and discount rate to float 30% on the basis of the benchmark interest rate. According to the current benchmark interest rate 6.5%, the deposit interest rate is 2%, the one-year discount rate is 6.5%, and the floating rate is 30%. Generally speaking, the actual loan interest paid by the enterprise should reach 11.5% or even higher, which does not include other related expenses such as interest other than the loan application.

The actual interest rate paid by enterprises is more than twice the normal interest rate, much higher than the average profit rate of our industry.

If a company abandons bank loans and uses private lending, the risk will rise sharply, and interest rates will usually be as high as 4-8 times.