Ultra Stable Cotton Price Market
Although 2012
Textile industry
There are many uncertainties, but because of the national reserve price "bottom", Xie Changfu appears to be more calm, unlike last year, so perturbed.
19800 yuan, which is an auspicious number for cotton merchant Xie Changfu (a pseudonym).
Although there were many uncertainties in the textile industry in 2012, Xie Changfu appeared to be more calm than the beginning of last year.
Over the past year, almost all cotton merchants in Pengze County of Jiangxi Province, who are rich in cotton, have suffered losses. Xie Changfu is no exception. He made a rough calculation. The loss of all lint factories in the small town was about 200 million yuan, and many lint factories were closed because they could not sustain it.
"During the process of hoarding cotton last year, the market could earn 3000 yuan to 5000 yuan per ton, but it was not careful to sell the opportunity at a glance, and a loss of more than 10 thousand per ton of lint.
Cotton prices have gradually stabilized in recent months, and now a ton of lint can only earn 500~600 yuan, although the profits are thin, but the risk is also reduced.
Xie Changfu told reporters.
Today, cotton city finally bid farewell to the abnormal deformity period, and gradually returned to reason.
In the past two years, China
Cotton price
The whole textile chain jumped with frenzy.
Cotton prices soared from 17000 yuan / ton in May 2010 to two yuan in November 2010 and February 2011.
High cotton prices have made Chinese textile enterprises face unprecedented difficulties.
According to the Ministry of industry and information technology, in the first 7 months of 2011, the overall profit margin of small and medium enterprises was less than 3%, and 60% to 70% of SMEs faced serious survival difficulties.
However, the price of cotton rose rapidly, and cotton prices fell from last year's high price of more than 30 thousand yuan per ton in March to 19000 yuan / ton in August.
In this case, the state started the new cotton purchase and storage in September 8th last year, and the price of the purchase and storage is 19800 yuan per ton.
"At present, the market demand is not strong, the textile factories that come to purchase and pick up are very few. The cotton price on the market is lower than the national purchase and storage price. Our lint is mainly in the national treasury, and it can also borrow from the bank with the bill of lading."
Xie Changfu is not worried about cotton market this year.
In contrast, downstream textile and garment enterprises are anxious.
The European debt crisis continues to be clouded, the exchange rate is still fluctuating, and domestic labor costs continue to rise, which are affecting the operation of textile and garment enterprises.
Affected by price increases, domestic consumption growth slowed slightly in 2011.
In 1~11 months, the retail sales of clothing items above the national level increased by 23.9% compared to the same period last year. After deducting the price increase factor, the actual growth rate of clothing retail sales in 1~11 months decreased by 4.4 percentage points compared with the same period last year, which was 0.4 percentage points lower than that in the first quarter of 2011.
The growth of export volume is close to "zero" or even negative growth.
Last year, China's textile and apparel exports increased by 247 billion 960 million US dollars, an increase of 20.04%, which was mainly supported by price increases.
According to industry estimates, the export price of textile and clothing increased by 20.4% in the 1~11 months of 2011, and the pulling effect on total export growth reached 98%.
Excluding price factors, the number of textile and garment exports increased by only 0.5% in the 1~11 months, and the number of garment exports increased by only 0.1%.
In January this year, due to the weak demand in the international market, the Spring Festival holiday and the pfer of some export orders to the surrounding low-cost countries, China's textile and apparel exports totaled 21 billion 519 million US dollars, down 0.42% compared to the same period last year, and the first negative growth after the financial crisis.
The chairman of an import and export company in Shanghai said in an interview that exports were less frequent at one time, such as $about 20000000 a week before the Spring Festival, but the first week after the holiday was only $400 thousand. Judging from the current situation, the trend is uncertain throughout the year.
"Initially we expect to have a digit growth in exports this year, but there may be a slight decline.
Last year, US orders fell, and this year it's the European market, but the Southeast Asian market is still good.
Lu Longsheng said.
Deputy general manager of a Ningbo line Industry Co., Ltd. said that the smooth price of cotton could not ease the pressure on the company. European orders were too painful. On the one hand, orders were reduced. On the other hand, prices could not be talked about, and labor costs were still rising.
Lu Longsheng also said that the shortage of workers and the cost of workers are still bothering the textile industry. The monthly salary of coastal workers has risen to 3000 yuan. The company has pferred orders from Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai to the factories in Jiangxi, and the purchasing cost has been reduced by 5%~10%.
In addition, it has also begun to force the domestic market, the acquisition of the "double boat" brand, which is to expand the domestic market and pave the way.
Textile and apparel market may not be as good as last year, but domestic market is relatively stable, and exports will go down first and then rise.
clothing
Exports are expected to drop by around 5%.
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