Research And Analysis On Five Major Pressures Of Cotton Industry In Tianjin In 2012

2012 Tianjin Cotton industry Research and analysis of five major pressures

Facing cotton market The cotton association has reminded cotton and circulation enterprises to pay close attention to market changes and do well in the market connection. The cotton consumption situation at home and abroad has not improved since the beginning of this year. Sales of textile enterprises have been sluggish, cotton imports have increased significantly, domestic and foreign spreads have widened, domestic cotton market pressure has been greater, and the state has continued to purchase and store policies to support the smooth operation of cotton prices. Looking at the global economic situation in 2012, the development of the cotton industry has many uncertainties, such as the export of textile and clothing, and the drop in the area of cotton planting around the world.

In 2012, the pressure of cotton industry development in China was relatively large, mainly in 5 aspects: first, the cotton planting area showed a downward trend. The cotton growers' enthusiasm for cotton planting has been frustrated by the sharp fall in cotton prices, the rising cost of cotton growing and the decrease in returns. According to the China Cotton Association survey, the cotton planting intention in 2012 is expected to drop by 10.5%. According to the statistics of the Municipal Agriculture Bureau, the cotton planting intention in 2012 is estimated at 800 thousand mu, which is 11% less than that of the previous year.

Purchase and storage in the new year Price Although the increase of 600 yuan / ton, cotton planting is still a serious problem in terms of labor, time and cost. Farmers think that planting cotton is not as good as planting corn, and the area of cotton planting is still decreasing. Two, cotton yarn output continues to grow slightly. Macroeconomic regulation and control will speed up the development of textile industry to high speed, high yield, automation and intellectualization, and improve product quality and added value. As cotton prices return to normal levels, cotton spinning output will continue to grow slightly, and the annual cotton consumption will reach 11 million tons. Three, the import of cotton imports showed an upward trend of decline.

In 2011, 3 million 365 thousand tons of cotton imports were imported, an increase of 511 thousand tons compared with the same period, an increase of 18.5%. In view of the cotton harvest last year and the state's establishment of reserves, although the market consumption is weak, commodity cotton stocks have declined and domestic and foreign spreads have widened. Imported The growth rate is down, and the import volume is up to 3 million 500 thousand tons. Four, cotton prices are running smoothly and fluctuating slightly. Due to the lack of driving force for price increase in the new year, temporary reserve price will become a "stabilizer" at home and abroad, supporting cotton prices at a reasonable level of around 22 thousand yuan / ton to remain relatively stable. The import inflation caused by oil price increase, and the third quantitative easing that the United States may launch, will drive up prices and market volatility. Five, textile export growth showed a downward trend. Textile and garment exports in 2011 amounted to US $247 billion 960 million, an increase of 20.1% over the same period last year. Excluding price factors, the amount increased by only 1.14%, and the number of exports was negative. It is estimated that the growth rate of textile and clothing exports will drop to 15% in 2012.