Review And Forecast Of Polyester Market In Two Cities Of Jiaxing, Shengze In October
In October,
Polyester Market
The market fell, the biggest monthly decline in this year.
At present, the upstream raw materials are showing signs of decline, and the downstream market is still selling well in the peak season.
The market is reviewed as follows:
The first week: during the national day, the price of polyester filament continued to decline, the amplitude increased, and the price was chaotic.
spinning
Factory production and sales rate is very high, the general enterprise production and sales generally in 6-7, during the long term spinning factory inventory generally increased 2-3 days, 4 days.
7 - 9, three days, the turnover of polyester increased significantly, especially on the 8 day, the factory with a high rate of production and marketing reached more than 400%, but the trend of polyester price tended to fall more or less.
From the downstream weaving situation, from 4-6 days, the starting rate of weaving in the lower reaches of Shengze and surrounding areas has been restored, and the amount of polyester raw material holding in the downstream weaving enterprises is very low, and the middlemen in the market are running low.
Following the rule of the past years, the National Day holiday is the peak season for weaving enterprises, but the situation facing this year is extremely complicated.
At present, the spinning and weaving factories are in a state of uneven production and marketing, and the stock of polyester is increasing. Spinning enterprises are facing a sharp reduction in the price concessions. Therefore, the price of polyester in the future market will still have a downward trend.
Second weeks: (from October 10th to October 16th), under the demand of the downstream weaving and adding up, the demand for the recovery rate increased, and the rigid demand was added to the warehouse. When the spinning factory's production and sales rebounded, there was a "stop and fall recovery" trend in the prices. Some low price and popular varieties had been raised, but on the 11 day, the purchase of temporary stocks was temporarily suspended. After several days of uneven production and sales, the trend of polyester prices began to fall on the weekend, and the favorable rate increased.
Weekends
Polyester Market
Basically in a weak market down trend, trading atmosphere continued to fall, the vast majority of 100-200 yuan / ton preferential shipment.
At present, the current situation of polyester slicing is weak, the spinning and weaving factories are uneven in production and marketing, and the hidden stocks in polyester factories are gradually increasing. Therefore, the trend of price reduction in the later stage of polyester is unavoidable.
The third week: (October 17th to October 23rd), during this time, polyester was in a weak market, and the empty atmosphere in the polyester market was further spread. In addition, the upstream raw material PTA showed a downward trend this week, with a big decrease, and the price of MEG dropped again.
The popularity of the polyester chain market has been hit harder, and PET chips have also dropped.
Therefore, this week, the overall decline in polyester market increased by 400-500 yuan /T, individual enterprises or even 700 yuan /T.
From the perspective of market pactions, the volume of polyester trading in the two-day weekend continues to shrink. The production and sales rates of local spinning factories are generally around 40-60%, and individual manufacturers are even lower.
At present, the stock of spinning polyester is rising, and the downstream weaving enterprises are mainly relying on digestion and holding the supply of goods. After digestion, some small weaving enterprises have a downtime plan.
It seems that the polyester market will continue to face a downward trend. It is estimated that pet prices will still have a downward trend next week.
The fourth week: (October 24th to October 30th), this week, polyester market quotation and paction price center continued to decline, the magnitude of 200-400 yuan / ton, but polyester trading volume first up and then down.
On Monday, the opening price dropped again. PTA futures opened up sharply, opening up sharply in the afternoon and rapidly expanding the volume.
During the two-day weekend, polyester market is still sluggish, trading volume in the market is still below the level, and the price of silk continues to show a downward trend.
Although the comprehensive starting rate of water jet looms is stable, the starting rate of warp knitting machine and circular knitting machine is decreasing.
Judging from this week's trading situation, as the downstream textile mills purchase scattered, chemical fiber plant production and marketing imbalance, the recent polyester market lack of positive support, conventional polyester varieties have already faced greater downward pressure, expect next week polyester market will continue to explore.
For specific price changes, see list of price trends of polyester Market in Shengze and Jiaxing in October <<2011.
November foresight: from the analysis of the quantity variety: DTY silk, because of the booming sales momentum of the downstream elastic fabric products, is coming to an end. The downstream fabric will adjust the production fabric varieties. It is estimated that the consumption of DTY wire will decrease in November, and the reduction of DTY network yarn will be obvious.
Consumption of FDY50D/72F and 63D/24F will not be greatly reduced in November.
In Shengze area, due to the novelty of polyester dacron fabric, new business opportunities are available for FDY matting ribbons.
According to the trend of fabrics and materials in the near term, the price is down in the market, but the rate of downstream start-up can be maintained. In late November, the market will be gradually discounted from the peak season.
It is difficult to enlarge the volume of polyester trading in November, and the price may still have a downward trend as a whole, but there is little room for reduction.
Also do not rule out a small part of the dynamic marketing varieties will have a slight rebound at the bottom.
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