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Domestic Stock Fell Slightly &Nbsp, And The Price Of Foreign Cotton Rose Somewhat -- March 26, 2012 Cotton Market Weekly On ~3 30.

2012/4/8 23:12:00 25

In the week of March 26, 2012 ~3 30, domestic spot prices fell slightly, international cotton prices rose, and domestic cotton yarn prices fell slightly.

After the end of the temporary purchase and storage, downstream consumption did not improve, and domestic cotton spot and futures prices fell slightly.

In March 30th,

Inland cotton seed

The average price of the purchase was 8.22 yuan / kg, which was flat; the average price of seed cotton purchase in Xinjiang was 8.28 yuan / kg, down 0.2 yuan / kg, or 2.6%.

The national cotton price B index, which represents the average selling price of lint cotton in the mainland, is 19545 yuan / ton, down 46 yuan / ton, down 10934 yuan / ton compared with the same period last year. The average selling price of Xinjiang standard lint is 20170 yuan / ton, down 33 yuan / ton, down 10908 yuan / ton compared with the same period.

Zhengzhou cotton futures contract settlement price in May 2012 was 20540 yuan / ton, a decrease of 100 yuan / ton, or 0.5%, down 8705 yuan / ton, or 29.8%; the national cotton trading market electronic matching May 2012 average contract price 20023 yuan / ton, a decrease of 163 yuan / ton, or 0.8%, down 9077 yuan / ton, or 31.2%.

The temporary storage and purchase of cotton in 2011 ended in March 31st.

This week, cotton storage and storage totaled 92140 tons, down 11740 tons from last week.

As of March 30th, a total of 3103350 tons of storage pactions were received this year, including 1396950 tons in the mainland and 1706400 tons in Xinjiang.

Under the intervention of technology buying, ICE futures are going up and up.

American cotton

The increase of planting area has a great effect, and the quotation of cotton is rising.

In March 30th, New York cotton futures contract settlement price in May 2012 was 93.5 cents / pound, up 3.9 cents / pound, or 4.4%, down 100.2 cents / pound, or 51.7%.

The international cotton index (M), which represents the average value of the Chinese port's average price of imported cotton, is calculated at 1% tariffs. The cost of import is 16872 yuan / ton, rising by 542 yuan / ton, or 3.3%, down 54.7% yuan, or 54.7% yuan, lower than the domestic market of 2673 yuan / ton, and the price difference ratio narrowed 588 yuan / ton. According to the sliding tax, the import cost of RMB is 17279 yuan / ton, rising by 460 yuan / ton, or 2.7%, down by 460 yuan / ton compared with the same period.

Domestic cotton yarn sales situation has not improved significantly, the downstream weaving mills lack orders, the starting rate is not high, the demand for yarn remains low.

In March 30th, 32 cotton combed yarn prices were quoted at 26200 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton, or 0.4%, down 10700 yuan / ton, or 29%, and polyester staple price 11110 yuan / ton, which was flat, down 3390 yuan / ton, or 23.4%.

After analysis, abundant resources are available in the international market and cotton prices continue to rise.

This week, the ICE futures market was active, with a turnover of more than half of the daily turnover.

The short rotation of the contract in May led to an upward trend in cotton prices.

The signing volume of US cotton exports has increased steadily. As of March 22nd, the volume of US cotton export contracts has reached 3 million 88 thousand tons, reaching 128.9% of USDA's forecast export mission.

The market is worried that the US supply is tense, which is also the main reason for the sharp rise in ICE futures contracts in the near month.

But this year's international market resources are still abundant, and cotton prices continue to go up more difficult.

It is understood that there are a large number of bonded cotton shops in China's ports because of this week.

ICE futures

Prices have risen sharply, and spot turnover has been significantly suppressed.

On the one hand, the textile factory funds are stretched. On the other hand, the cotton trader thinks that the future ICE futures will not reduce the space and will not allow the sales.

Globally, Brazil cotton and West African cotton have sprung up, or they will effectively supplement the tight supply caused by the US cotton supply and the "gap" caused by India cotton's stop exports.

USDA American cotton

The intention planting prediction shows that in 2012, the US intention to plant cotton area was 79 million 917 thousand mu, a decrease of 11% over the same period last year.

After the announcement of the US cotton planting intention area report, the market speculation factors will be significantly weakened. The timing and quantity of the cotton quotas will become the key factor affecting the future cotton price trend after the end of the purchase and storage of China.

Domestic consumption continues to slump, and downstream demand upgrading is difficult.

According to the Bureau of statistics, clothing production decreased by 4.93% over the same period last year, 1~2 19.55 percentage points lower than the same period last year.

The temporary purchase and storage will end, and the domestic cotton prices will lose policy support in the middle and later half of this year.

In addition, domestic cotton prices are still much higher than foreign cotton prices. Many textile enterprises rely on extensive use of outer cotton to reduce production costs.

Under the weak demand, the downward trend of domestic cotton prices will appear.

Later, attention should still be paid to cotton market policy trends and weather conditions.