Autumn Is Not Tasteless, Chunhua Also Has No Textile Raw Materials Market Is Experiencing "Tidal Cycle" Adjustment.

On the one hand, it bears the psychological gap brought by the declining profits of the industry. On the one hand, it comforted itself to say that Feng Shui turns around in turn. This is the current situation. Textile upstream The raw material market is undergoing a "tidal cycle" adjustment stage.

The first quarter of textile raw materials generally appeared in three forms.

First, narrow arrangement. Cotton benefits from the state Purchasing and storage policy In the early stage, the price dropped slightly. The price of products such as polyester staple fiber and viscose staple fiber also decreased slightly. The average production and sales rate was around 4~5, and the market liquidity was obviously lower than that of the same period last year.

Two, the weak downward. Polyester filament fell off the aura in the weak market, the mainstream varieties hit 4% to 7% decline, the total inventory is generally 30~35 days, accounting for more than 1 billion yuan of funds.

Three, a moderate rise. Nylon, spandex, acrylic fiber overall show up, but the price increase is significantly weaker than raw material gains, so the actual production profit is not high. nylon Already close to margins, spandex and acrylic cash flow spreads have been upside down.

To sum up, we can see that although the market trend of textile raw materials has been divided this season, the market demand side has suffered cold snap without exception.

The outside world is aware of the causes, and the global economic growth and weakness in the accumulation of various factors have led to a shrinking demand from the market. Customs statistics show that in February 2012, China exported about 9 billion 712 million US dollars in textile and clothing, a decrease of 7.01% compared with the same period last year, and a decrease of 54.87% in the ring ratio. Among them, exports of textile yarns, fabrics and products amounted to 4 billion 264 million US dollars, an increase of 5.90% over the same period last year, a decrease of 44.45% in the ring ratio, and a decrease of 15.10% in the export garments and accessories 5 billion 448 million dollars, a decrease of 60.64% in the ring. The export market has lost "Mai Cheng" and the domestic market has also shrunk. According to statistics released by the China National Business Information Center, the retail sales of 50 key large retail enterprises decreased by 2.78% over the same period last year, the first negative year-on-year increase in retail sales since 2011.

Weak consumption leads to high inventory in garment factories, and the weakening of demand for cloth leads to lack of confidence in weaving environment. Therefore, it is prudent to stock up textile materials. Because the market rigid demand can not be effectively released, the stock has gradually formed a huge "barrier lake", and the seller's market is gradually fading away. Near the end of the quarter, from North China to East China, from Southern China to the southwest, various professional markets have come out of the price reduction.

However, under the pessimistic "Mask" of the market, there are still hidden profits that may be aroused at any time. The most obvious thing is that the general inventory of weaving enterprises is low. That is to say, the stock pressure that should have been shared by downstream weaving is completely spanferred to the chemical fiber factory. Once the demand is slightly sway, the weaving enterprises will concentrate on stocking, so the high inventory of the chemical fiber industry will also be quickly digested.

At present, it is suggested that the chemical fiber factory should adjust its mindset to "double pronged approach", while lowering the inventory level while reducing prices, and reducing sales pressure by reducing production and reducing losses.