2012 Chemical Fiber Association: Analysis Of The Operation Of The Industry And Specific Work

The overall operation of the chemical fiber industry in 2012 is rather grim. It is mainly reflected in the low market demand, the long decline in product prices and the significant decline in the economic efficiency of the industry. 1-8 months, Chemical fiber Association Under the strong leadership of the Federation and with the strong support and assistance of various departments and brotherhood associations, we have carried out a great deal of concrete work in light of the work priorities of the whole year and in view of the current industrial situation.

First, 1-8 months, the basic situation of the chemical fiber industry.

1, chemical fiber production still maintained a relatively rapid growth, and the operation of various sub sectors was basically normal.

1-7 months, chemical fiber Output of 21 million 700 thousand tons, an increase of 12.36%. Among them, the growth rate of polyester production slowed to 8.7%. The main sub sectors of chemical fiber industry started normal operation. Most of the industry started to pick up than the end of last year. Some industries have reached the same level in the same period of last year.

　　 2, the market demand is low. Exit Negative growth occurred, but the decline narrowed significantly.

1-6 months, chemical fiber imports 422 thousand and 500 tons, a slight drop of 2.27%. Chemical fiber exports 1 million 221 thousand and 600 tons, down 7.85%, a decline of 1-3 percentage points significantly narrowed 11.74 percentage points.

3, profits have sharply reduced, losses have increased rapidly, and corporate profits have polarized.

In 1-6 months, the chemical fiber industry realized a total profit of 7 billion 265 million yuan, a drop of 52.27%, a deficit of 2.63 times the deficit of the loss making enterprises, and a loss of 32.07% of the industry. Among them, the profit dropped greatly, everyone is very concerned. We feel that we need to focus on the main reasons for the decline in profits so as to take a more comprehensive view of the situation of the chemical fiber industry.

First, the profit base of the first two years is too high. Since March 2009, the chemical fiber industry has taken the lead in getting out of the shadow of the financial crisis, and the market has gone all the way, especially in the first three quarters of 2010 and 2011. The industry is almost in a state of profiteering, with the highest profit margin of 7.16% in 2010. In 2001~2011, the average profit rate of chemical fiber industry was 3.03%. The profit rate of industry in the first half of this year was 2.21%, which was 0.82 percentage points below the average level. This is also the normal performance of the industry in the recession period.

Second, the price of raw materials and products dropped greatly this year. There is a strong correlation between the price of synthetic fiber and the crude oil market. In the 1-8 month of this year, the crude oil market fluctuated greatly, resulting in the instability of the chemical fiber market. The rapid decline in crude oil in 5-6 months led to the loss of cost support for synthetic fiber products, and the downstream demand was not strong. Double factors dragged down the price rapidly, and the psychology of "buying up or not buying down" led to further weakening of market confidence, and the price of products continued to fall.

In the first half of this year, especially from mid February to the end of June, the prices of chemical fiber and its raw materials continued to decline, resulting in a serious loss of stocks and raw materials and large quantities of products. For example, from mid May to mid June, the price of polyester products fell the fastest month. According to our preliminary estimate, the total loss of pet products and their raw materials amounted to 5 billion 120 million yuan in one month. In fact, judging from the immediate price gap between chemical fiber and its main raw materials, the normal processing space of chemical fiber has little change this year, basically maintaining stability.

But there are some bright spots in the operation of the chemical fiber industry in 1-8, mainly in the following aspects:

1, the operation of enterprises is obviously divided. Under the environment of declining overall operation quality, the advantages of differentiated production enterprises are rapidly reflected. A group of "specialized, small, special, and sophisticated" enterprises are negatively affected or even unaffected. At the same time, more enterprises are urged to increase R & D efforts and increase the added value and differentiation level of products.

2, the chemical fiber industry actively promotes industry self-discipline, maintains market stability, and achieves good results.

3, polyester staple fiber operation is relatively stable, although profit margins have declined, but on the whole is still in a profitable State. This is mainly due to the inability of capacity expansion in recent years and the subsequent effect of replacing cotton in the previous two years.

4, industry investment growth has returned to a reasonable level. In 1-7 months, the chemical fiber industry actually completed investment of 47 billion 735 million yuan, an increase of 28.16% over the same period last year, and the growth rate dropped 19.91 percentage points year-on-year, down 19.76 percentage points from last year. And the investment structure has been optimized to a certain extent. Most of the new investment projects are currently producing differentiated products, and polyester bottle grade, film grade chips and differential nylon projects have also increased significantly.

5, Hengyi Petrochemical 200 thousand tons CPL project successfully launched, breaking the monopoly of multinational companies, breaking the bottleneck of the development of the nylon industry chain.

Two, the main problems existing in the chemical fiber industry.

1, chemical fiber downstream demand is insufficient, the market continues to slump.

2, intensified competition in the market, vicious competition occurs frequently.

3, R & D investment has increased but obviously insufficient, and the added value of products is not high.

4, the effect of energy saving and emission reduction is obvious, but the pressure is increasing.

5, the market brand marketing concept and means lag behind, need to be improved urgently.

6, some important resources of chemical fiber raw materials are scarce, and the development is restricted obviously.

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Three, the main measures and priorities for coping with difficulties.

1, actively promote self-discipline in all sectors of chemical fiber industry.

Polyester filament industry self-regulation effect is obvious. In June 25th, in view of the severe situation of rapid decline in product prices in 5-6 months, the association organized the market analysis meeting of polyester polyester filament enterprises. The main leaders of the 16 enterprises attended the meeting, and the total production capacity exceeded 70% of the whole country. The conference agreed on appropriate production restrictions and market stability. Through various channels, it actively appealed to other enterprises to join, and also received strong support from downstream industries, especially the knitting industry. On the 26 day, the price of polyester filament has stabilized and rebounded at the end of the month. At the same time, the product inventory of the company has been rapidly digested, which has played a good role in stabilizing the chemical fiber market and downstream market.

At the same time, viscose filament, polyester staple fiber, spandex, viscose staple fiber, nylon filament and other industries are developing industry self-discipline. The key points are to appropriately reduce the operating rate, restore the balance between supply and demand, and stabilize the market for products and raw materials.

We believe that the more the product price of the entire textile industry chain continues to decline, the chemical fiber as the source, we should strengthen self-discipline and take the lead in stopping the market, stabilizing the market as soon as possible, and gradually restoring the market order.

2, innovation and development of science and technology services

1) actively promoting the development of Imitation cotton fiber has achieved some results.

Easy to dye polyester fiber and hydrophilic fine denier polyester fiber project: jointly developed by the Textile Academy, Yizheng chemical fiber, Huamao Group and copper bull group, different clothing series have been formed and entered the late stage of market promotion.

The high hydrophilic polyester cotton imitation fiber project: produced by Jinhui chemical fiber and Donghua University, has been highly recognized by domestic sports leisure brands. This year, 2000 tons of cotton imitation fiber products will be produced. Next year, we will complete the scale production of 10000 ton scale.

The Imitation cotton / cotton --65/35 series clothing product project: developed by the three gun group, has been produced, and plans to enter the market next spring and summer. According to the current progress of the project, it is estimated that the large-scale application of cotton imitation products will be realized when the project is completed.

2) to strengthen the forward-looking research and organize the development of the "biomass fiber and biochemical raw material development roadmap for 30 years" and formally released it at the end of June at the annual meeting of the Textile Engineering Society chemical fiber Specialized Committee.

3) significant breakthroughs have been made in the development of key high-tech fibers.

Zhongfu Condor has built a T700 class carbon fiber production line with an annual output of 1000 tons and began small batch production. Taitsin new material and Jiangsu Aerospace branch have achieved technical breakthroughs in T800 grade carbon fiber. The products are basically up to standard, and are being tested and started to build 100 ton production lines. Taihe NEW material and Jiangsu trillion Tatsu's 1000 ton grade para aramid production line have all been stable production; Changchun's 300 ton class polyimide fiber production line has been stably running, 1000 tons line is being built; and 1000 tons dry chemical ultra high molecular weight polyethylene fiber production line of Yizheng chemical fiber has been stable production.

4) to speed up the introduction of the association standard, the first batch of 4 standard associations for chemical fiber has been completed, 1 have been released and 3 have yet to be released.

5) promote global technical cooperation. In March, the association signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the Japanese company, covering the introduction of technology, talent introduction, product marketing, project cooperation, technology docking and so on. At present, the recycling of waste clothing chemicals has been launched.

3, organize the annual work of "energy conservation and emission reduction".

1) convene the first "National Conference on energy saving and emission reduction of chemical fiber industry", and comprehensively deploy this year and the "12th Five-Year" plan for energy conservation and emission reduction.

2) start the "regeneration and circular economy industrial innovation alliance". The alliance was expanded on the basis of the "chemical fiber recycling economic alliance" established in 2010, and the preparatory meeting was successfully held in July. It is now being applied to the industrial innovation alliance of the Ministry of science and technology.

3) to assist the Ministry of industry and Commerce in organizing and implementing the "market access for viscose fiber industry" to promote industrial upgrading.

4) continue to promote carbon footprint certification. In the first half of this year, another 2 chemical fiber enterprises passed certification, and they were promoting certification in Zhejiang, Xiaoshan and Tongxiang. At the same time, specialized training in organizing carbon fiber enterprises' carbon footprint certification business.

5) promote key technologies for energy conservation and emission reduction. Such as acetaldehyde recovery technology, green pulping technology, energy saving optimization technology of air compressor, etc.

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4, innovative brand promotion activities for chemical fiber products market.

1) develop upstream and downstream industry cooperation and docking

In March 28th, with the knitting Association jointly organized the 2012 new fiber and knitted products development docking conference, the upstream and downstream enterprises reached a lot of cooperation intentions. In May 29th, the non cotton fiber application technology and market forum was organized in collaboration with the cotton spinning association to promote the application of non cotton fibers and ease industry difficulties.

2) promote the new products of chemical fiber. The related work and procedures of the "regenerated polyester fiber" tag have been completed, and the official tag has been launched.

3) innovating the "China fiber fashion trend research and publication" campaign.

The event was jointly issued by the Ministry of consumer goods industry of China Ministry of industry and information technology, the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, Donghua University and the textile and chemical fiber product development center. The aim is to recommend the latest, most cutting-edge, differentiated, and internationally advanced chemical fiber products to the downstream enterprises, introduce them to the end consumers, promote the brand building of industries and enterprises, and focus on integrating all kinds of resources of the industrial chain, and jointly promote the development of ecological, environmental protection, fashion, function and technology textile products, so as to realize the win-win situation of the chemical fiber textile industry chain. In March 29, 2012, the 2012/13 China fiber fashion trend was launched in Beijing. It has received wide attention from all walks of life and has been well received by the majority of chemical fiber enterprises and downstream enterprises.

5, to promote the industry's leading enterprises to go out, in the first half of this year, three key enterprises have made major breakthroughs.

In February 2012, Zhejiang's Neucel group completed a comprehensive acquisition. The company has an annual capacity of 160 thousand tons of dissolving wood pulp and over 200 thousand tons of transformation.

In April 20, 2012, Zhejiang Hengyi Group invested in Brunei's PMB petrochemical project in Brunei. Crude oil and condensate are used as raw materials to produce p-xylene (PX) and ethylene glycol (MEG) and other petrochemical products.

In June 2012, Zhejiang Tong Kun group discussed the investment holding project of Canadian Oilfield Company. The main products of the project involve oil sand, light oil and heavy oil. Has entered the signing stage.

6, carry out anti-dumping work on chemical fiber products.

We should focus on carrying out the sunset review of spandex anti-dumping, assisting enterprises in responding to anti-dumping duties on chemical fiber products, and conducting professional training in trade relief.

Four. The main working arrangements of the association in the second half of the year

Since the fourth quarter of last year, the chemical fiber industry has entered a new round of adjustment stage. We expect that in the 9-12 month, if the downstream market demand is not significantly improved, the overall operation of the industry will remain relatively low, and the market situation is still grim. According to the idea of the whole year, the chemical fiber association carries out the "three breakthroughs" and achieves the "four implementation" around the "one main line" through the "two means". The main tasks are as follows:

1, do a good job of the Ministry of Civil Affairs Association rating work, to ensure that the 4A level, impact 5A level.

2, organize the eighteenth China International Chemical fiber conference, continue to enhance the influence of the conference.

3, strengthen the research on the trend of China's fiber fashion, and guide downstream applications and terminal consumption.

4, strengthen the industry operation tracking analysis, strengthen industry self-discipline, deal with difficult challenges. The key is to cooperate with the Ministry of industry and commerce, and do a good job in the market access of viscose industry.

5, promote energy conservation and emission reduction and circular economy. Do a good job in recycling and circular economy industrial innovation alliance.

6, continue to do a good job in the chemical fiber industry innovation alliance related work. We should focus our efforts on promoting the progress of super cotton imitation and get a number of breakthrough technological achievements.

7, promote the development of high-tech fiber, break through some key technologies and key equipment and downstream application development.

8, continue to break through the strategy of "bringing in and going out". We should focus on promoting the recycling of waste clothing chemicals. Focus on and support Hengye group, Tong Kun group and other major projects to go out.

9, continue to innovate ideas and methods of work to improve service levels. We should strengthen coordination and cooperation between upstream and downstream, carry out multilevel and multi-level exchanges and exchanges between technology, products and markets, and promote standardization of industries.

10, continue to innovate the R & D system and market promotion mode to support the development of new products.

11, continue to strengthen the innovation of service platform, improve service quality and service level.