China'S Textile Industry Is Facing More Severe International Market Environment.
After the US sub debt crisis, the global economy is in the hands of governments.
Central Bank
The large-scale stimulus policy has been phased in, but the global economy has not yet found a new round of growth.
The main driving force for the recovery of the total economic volume comes from the stimulus of expansionary monetary policies of various countries. However, the potential growth rate of the economy has gradually declined, and the sovereign debt risk of the government continues to threaten the stability of the global financial system, and thus has a serious negative impact on economic development.
Although the US economy is optimistic about the improvement of household income and the decline of the unemployment rate, its financial cliff problem has a great influence on its economic impact, and the EU economy is in a dilemma of continuous debt crisis fermentation and high unemployment rate.
Overall, the demand for international market is weaker than that in the first quarter, and the impact of shrinking external demand is gradually deepening. The international market environment facing China's textile industry is more severe.
Compared with last year's domestic and foreign market driven by two wheels, the external market driving force of China's textile industry has significantly weakened since the beginning of this year.
According to the comprehensive data of China Textile Industry Federation, in 2012 1~7, China's textile and clothing exports increased by only 0.3% compared to the same period last year, which is lower than the national freight export growth rate (7.8%) by 7.5 percentage points.
Comparatively speaking, although the domestic economy is also facing the risk of continued low growth rate, the GDP in the two quarter of 2012 hit a new low of 13 quarters, an increase of 7.6% over the same period last year, but the domestic demand market has become an important supporting light for China's economic growth.
The study shows that although the growth rate of the domestic demand market is still falling faster than that of the same period last year, the domestic consumption in the first half of 2012 has pulled the economy to 4.5 percentage points. Since the sub item data was released in 2009, consumption has contributed more than GDP to investment and net exports for the first time in two consecutive quarters, indicating that consumption has played a significant role in driving economic growth.
Consistent with the overall domestic economic pillar, China's textiles
clothing
The growth of domestic demand market has also become an important support for China's textile industry since the beginning of this year.
According to the National Bureau of statistics, in 2012 1~7, the domestic sales value of China's textile industry was 257 million 700 thousand yuan, an increase of 12.5% over the same period last year, accounting for a further increase of nearly 84%.
Compared with the unbalanced contribution of domestic and foreign markets, the whole industry chain also shows the characteristics of positive contribution from downstream industries.
The continuous high price difference between domestic and foreign cotton has seriously weakened the competitiveness of China's cotton textile industry chain. The price of chemical fiber products has been greatly reduced and the price of raw materials fluctuated greatly, resulting in the rapid decrease in the profits of the chemical fiber industry. All of these have made the upstream industry of China's textile industry benefit negatively from the industry, while the downstream industry has been improving its industrial efficiency by virtue of its close to market terminals and strong digestion and absorption capabilities.
In the first half of 2012, the profit of China's textile industry dropped by nearly 2%, slightly narrowing the decline of China's industrial profits.
The release of the data indicates that the operation of the industry is still grim, and the external downturn is hard to improve in the short term. The bottom up debate on the peripheral economic environment is still ongoing.
Even the chief economist of IMF said that the global economic recovery was not as strong as it had been predicted, and that the downside risk is even more worrying than the slowdown.
Weak demand in the international market will continue, and manufacturing industry in developed countries will have an upward trend of return, and global manufacturing competition will intensify.
In order to deal with the problems of shrinking external demand and increasing pressure on business operation in the development of China's foreign trade, the Executive Council of the State Council discussed and adopted several issues concerning the steady growth of foreign trade in September 12th.
Opinion
"Clearly put forward eight policies and measures to speed up the export tax rebate and expand the scale of financing. If implemented as soon as possible, it will boost the next stage of foreign trade development, and also release positive policy signals to the vast number of foreign trade enterprises.
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