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    Analysis Of Textile Index Of Keqiao, China In September 2012

    2012/10/10 0:14:00 33

    KeqiaoTextilesIndex

      

     

    Output increase

    Sale

    Growth boom index higher than expected


    Analysis of prosperity index in September 2012


    In September 2012, the overall prosperity index closed at 1317.90 points, an increase of 2.82% over August, and an increase of 10.65% over the beginning of last year, up 0.47% from the same period last year.


    In September, the business climate index increased and the production confidence index increased.

    In September, the business climate index closed at 1722.79 points, up 0.92% from August.

    The company's production confidence index closed at 852.02 points, up 0.85% from August.


    1. the index of scale and efficiency of production boom index is higher than that of other companies.

    Part of the regulatory model of Shaoxing textile and garment enterprises in the crisis against the trend to forge ahead, industrial upgrading enterprises have increased, the market forced pformation to make the industry repositioned.

    In September, the indicators of scale, efficiency and confidence in the production boom indicators were higher than those in August. The confidence index of business operators to the future of enterprises was higher than that in August, but the market demand and product profitability were lower than those in August.


    2. raw materials, home textiles, clothing accessories, production climate index increased unequal volume, grey fabric and clothing fabric production index fell.

    In September, the raw material production boom index closed at 1252.28 points, an increase of 6.48% over August; the grey fabric production boom index closed at 2602.85 points, down 0.21% compared with August; the fabric production boom index closed at 1339.21 points, down 2.22% compared with August; home textile production boom index closed at 1215.03 points, up 2.64% over August; apparel accessories production boom index at 2125.60 points, 14.81% increase over August.


    3. the service center of the online trading center of the textile city has expanded rapidly.

    Online trade has obvious advantages that are not restricted by geographical boundaries. Today, the online trading center of light textile city has set up sub centers in Yue Zhou Industrial and Trade Park to attract local merchants to launch online trade in light textile city online trading market.

    China Light Textile City online trading market is the first online trading platform of China's textile industry, backed by the modern logistics group of Binhai port and backed by the Shaoxing Binhai logistics center, with the aim of "basing itself on the spot, upgrading the spot, serving the spot and returning to the stock market" as the core objective. By setting up the operation platform of "traditional textile + modern logistics + e-commerce", it provides one-stop, all-around comprehensive services for the enterprises in the textile industry chain, such as information, paction, settlement, warehousing, logistics, financing, quality inspection and so on, and ultimately promotes the circulation of goods.

    Following the 11 online launch in May this year, it has lasted for more than four months. It has more than 1000 registered merchants. The average daily turnover has exceeded 300 million yuan, which has been highly recognized by the market. The company has also become one of the benchmark enterprises of e-commerce in Shaoxing county.

    Yue State Industrial and Trade Park has a good geographical location and good industrial agglomeration effect.

    The establishment of a service center in the industrial and commercial park also marks the launch of the market for the opening of the service center in the national textile raw materials distribution center. It is estimated that in a year, the online trading market of China Textile City will set up 10 service centers in Qian Qing, Nanjing, Suzhou, Wuxi, Shengze, Hangzhou, Ningbo, Zhuji and other places, so as to provide fast, convenient and secure spot online paction services for local traders.

    It is reported that after the first sub center is set up, it will mainly provide account management, business rules and operation training.

    The selected sub centers are all the focus of the domestic textile industry. The Shaoxing county money clearing sub center will be opened this year.


    Two, in September, the market circulation index rose and the market circulation confidence index rebounded.

    In September, the market circulation index closed at 1028.76 points, up 5.46% compared with August, and the market circulation confidence index closed at 970.44 points, up 2.08% compared with August.


    1. the index of scale and efficiency in circulation prosperity index is higher than that in the index, and the index of confidence has rebounded.

    In September, China's textile market continued to shake up, and the turnover of traditional fabrics in autumn continued to grow compared with August.


    2. raw materials, grey fabrics, clothing fabrics, home textiles, clothing accessories, market circulation index of prosperity increased unequal.

    In September, the circulation index of raw materials market reached 781.43 points, up 0.59% compared with August, and the grey market circulation index reached 888.63 points, up 3.44% compared with August. The clothing fabric market circulation index closed at 1295.32 points, 8.64% higher than August; the domestic textile market circulation index closed at 1077.32 points, up 7.37% over August; the clothing accessories market circulation index reached 1778.09 points, up 4.93% over August.


    3., the number of fabrics has increased and the turnover of autumn fabrics has increased.

    Supported by domestic demand, the textile fabrics of China Textile City rose in September, and the sales volume of marketable autumn fabrics increased incrementally.

    By the beginning of September, the marketing of creative flower fabric was much more smooth.

    In late September, the turnover of fabrics in autumn and winter increased day by day, and sales of many kinds of fabrics continued to be smooth.


    It is expected that the prosperity index will continue to show a slight upward trend in October 2012.

    The industry expects: by the year October, China's textile market will continue to sell well in the traditional autumn and winter fabrics, and the traditional fabrics and creative fabrics will interact with each other. Sales will continue to show a certain trend of increase, and the turnover of home textile fabrics will also show a certain trend of growth.

    In the autumn and winter, creative fabrics will continue to explore and innovate in the aspects of technology, product development, market development, sales mode and so on. In October, fabric turnover will continue to show a trend of concussion, and the sales of traditional textile market will continue to grow by the end of October.

    {page_break}


    The international economic environment is weak, and the volume of foreign trade marketing prices continues to fall.


    Analysis of foreign trade index in September 2012


    In September 2012, the foreign trade prosperity index closed at 1305.92 points, down 4.38% from August, down 22.44% from the beginning of last year, down 32.63% last year, and the foreign trade price index closed at 108.42 points, down 0.65% compared with August, and fell 12.84% at the beginning of last year, down 21.12% last year.

    The confidence index of foreign trade closed at 968.50 points, down 2.92% from August.


    1. In September 2012, the index of foreign trade prosperity continued to show a downward trend.


    1. the international economic environment is weak.

    At present, the demand of international market is weaker than that of the first half of the year, and the degree of the impact of shrinking external demand is gradually deepening. The international market environment of China's textile industry is more severe.

    Compared with last year's domestic and foreign market driven by two wheels, the external market driving force of China's textile industry has significantly weakened since the beginning of this year.


    2. the downside risk of the external demand market is aggravating.

    The continuous high price difference between domestic and foreign cotton has seriously weakened the competitiveness of China's cotton textile industry chain. The low prices of chemical fiber products and the sharp fluctuations in raw material prices have led to the rapid decrease in the profits of the chemical fiber industry. All of these have made the upstream industry of China's textile industry benefit negatively from the industry, while the downstream industry has been improving its industrial efficiency by virtue of its close to market terminals and strong digestion and absorption capabilities.

    Upstream and downstream game, the domestic textile industry profit space has been compressed, the industry is still grim situation.


    3. textile enterprises are still in a difficult situation.

    In September, the Sino Japanese dispute over sovereignty over Diaoyu Islands intensified and trade between China and Japan weakened.

    The international economic situation is not optimistic, and exports of textile and clothing that rely on foreign demand are hard hit.

    At the same time, domestic economic growth has dropped and labor costs have risen.

    Textile industry

    Production deceleration, enterprise efficiency decline, export competitiveness weakened.


    4. the new round of market shuffling has arrived.

    Sharp decline in export orders, rising labor costs, shrinking product profits, difficulties in financing enterprises, sweeping the global economic crisis, China's textile and garment industry has been in an unprecedented predicament, vulnerable people suddenly collapsed, and those who stick to it are still watching.

    China's textile and garment industry is standing at a crossroads of adjustment and pformation, and the new market shuffle has arrived.


    5. Russia is becoming a new emerging market of Shaoxing county's export.

    In August 22nd, Russia officially became the 156th member of the World Trade Organization (WTO).

    As an emerging market of Shaoxing county's export, Russia's accession to the WTO has brought impetus to Shaoxing enterprises.

    Shaoxing enterprises generally say that Russia's accession to the WTO will not only contribute to the modernization of Russia's domestic economy, but also inject new momentum into the development of its own economy and Global trade, and benefit the export of Chinese textiles to Russia.

    The business development of Shaoxing textile enterprises and textile companies exported to Russia is more optimistic, which restricts the decline of the September foreign trade prosperity index.


    The 6. part of textile exports continued to decline.

    The foreign trade prosperity index of cotton and its blended fabric, curtain curtain, and dip, coating and coated textiles fell unequal, and the overall foreign trade prosperity index declined.


    Two, in September 2012, foreign trade price index continued to show a downward trend.


    1. international market demand is low and price competition is increasing.

    The global economy is in a very uncertain state, and the sovereign debt crisis in the euro zone continues to crack down on business and consumer confidence. In 2012, the textile and garment market was in a doldrums.

    Recently, some of Shaoxing's textile and garment enterprises and Textile City textile products continue to take part in the price reduction, and the profit margins of the mass products are still compressed, pulling the foreign trade price index down in September.


    The 2. part of the price of textile exports continues to show a downward trend.

    The foreign trade price index of cotton and its blended fabrics, chemical short fiber fabrics, embroidery and household textile fabrics has dropped unequal, leading to a downward trend in the overall price index of foreign trade.


    The foreign trade prosperity index is expected to rise slightly in October 2012.

    Recently, the State Council has promulgated 8 policy measures to promote the steady growth of foreign trade, including "speeding up the progress of export tax rebate", and supporting commercial banks' efforts to expand trade financing for small and micro enterprises, improving the level of trade facilitation and simplifying examination and approval procedures.

    This year, through the operation of overseas offices, Shaoxing county will also integrate the creativity and the market through the world's largest textile trading platform, and promote the upgrading of the value of creative textiles and guide the pformation and upgrading of the industry.

    {page_break}


    Autumn market turnover daily incremental price index picked up slightly


    Brief comment on the 20121001 price index


    1. Summary of pactions in China Light Textile City in September 2012.


    According to statistics, the monthly report shows that in September 2012, the textile market volume of China Textile City was 326 million 370 thousand M, up 88.75% compared with the same period last year, and fell 8.07% last year. The total volume in 1~9 months was 2 billion 920 million 140 thousand M, up 0.47% from the same period last year.

    In September, the turnover of textile market in China Textile City was 4 billion 59 million 570 thousand yuan, an increase of 83.02% compared with the same period last year, an increase of 20.87% last year, and a total turnover of 34 billion 810 million 640 thousand yuan in 1~9 month, an increase of 9.03% over the same period last year.


    Two, the recent general situation of the fabric Market:


    Recently, the autumn market turnover of China Textile City has been increasing day by day. To the eve of the national day and Mid Autumn Festival, the traditional market sales are more smooth and the market volume has increased.

    Part of the front shop, the back of the factory and the scale of the retail business, and the sale of the fabrics in the autumn and winter, and the increase in the number of orders increased.

    In the autumn and winter, the number of garment fabrics increased, and the turnover of dyeing, printing, jacquard, embroidery, coating and yarn dyed fabrics increased.


    Three, textile major price index analysis:


    The 20121001 price index of China Keqiao textile index closed at 105.81 points, up 0.21% compared with the previous period.


    The current price index fell 0.89% compared with the beginning of the year, down 3.10% last year.

    This period shows that the price index of grey fabrics, clothing fabrics, clothing accessories and other accessories has been increased unequal, and the overall price index has picked up slightly.

    However, the price index of raw materials and home textiles fell unequal, which restricted the recovery of the general price index.


    Four. Analysis of the operation of the current price index:


    1. polyester raw material market fell more or less, cotton prices continue to rise.


    2. polyester market continues to show downward trend.

    The marketing of polyester is stable. Some of the business outlets are dominated by sideways, and the market trend is first down and then up.

    Most factories offer relatively stable quotations for polyester chips, but the trend of turnover shows a pattern of differentiation. POY is slightly better in production and marketing, DTY remains unchanged, and FDY sales decline.

    The stock of polyester enterprises is increasing slowly, but the inventory pressure can still remain within the controllable range.

    The national day and the Mid Autumn Festival are approaching. The weaving enterprises in the lower reaches have been partly stocked up and the purchasing volume has increased slightly. However, the overall market sales are still insufficient, and some polyester enterprises are still sluggish.


    3. the price of cotton yarn is basically deadlocked, and the market is weak.

    Recently, the price of the upstream cotton market continued to rise slightly, and the spot price of cotton remained firm.

    However, the downstream textile enterprises have fewer external orders, some enterprises are losing sales of cotton yarn, and the number of enterprises has increased, and the demand for cotton has been correspondingly inadequate, resulting in a low turnover rate of cotton reserves, and the market is in a doldrums.

    Pure cotton yarn market prices remained basically stable, and sales continued to be deserted.

    Xiao Shaochun cotton yarn market prices are relatively deadlocked, turnover is relatively weak.

    The market of pure cotton yarn in Qian Qing raw material market of China Textile City is relatively weak, the price is basically deadlocked, but the volume is relatively insufficient.


    4. grey cloth pactions rose slightly.

    Recently, the turnover of natural fiber grey fabric showed a certain trend of recovery, and the price picked up slightly.

    The turnover of blended fiber fabric showed a certain trend of decline, and the price dropped slightly. The chemical fiber fabric showed a slight downward trend, and the price fell slightly locally, which relatively restricted the price index's pushing up.


    5. the fabric price index picked up slightly, and the fabric turnover increased on the eve of the double festival.

    On the eve of Zhi Guoqing and Mid Autumn Festival, the number of merchants in the traditional market increased day by day.

    The pure cotton fabric, pure linen fabric, polyester and wool fabric, polyester and viscose fabric, polyester / nylon fabric, viscose fabric, viscose fabric, nylon fabric, nylon fabric, nylon cotton fabric and fashion fabric have been showing an uneven trend. The price trend has steadily increased and the price index of clothing surface has picked up slightly.


    6. the home textile market is still down, and the daily use of home textile fabrics has dropped.

    Recently, the home textile market of textile city is still in decline, of which the daily use of home textile fabrics showed a certain trend of decline, and prices fell slightly.

    But curtains closed slightly upward, the price trend picked up slightly, jacquard curtain cloth, printing curtain cloth part of the creative flower fabric spot pactions and fixed point orders have increased locally, the registered version of the registered flower fabric local paction increased increments.


    7. the enterprises have won the award for the administration of the class A and the AA management qualification government.

    In order to encourage the construction of the credit system of export enterprises, Shaoxing county will grant 5000 yuan and 20 thousand yuan to each of the enterprises that have obtained the class A and AA management qualifications of the same year, respectively, and awarded RMB 20 thousand yuan for each export enterprise in Zhejiang Province in the same year.

    This is the first reward subsidy system of Shaoxing's export integrity system.

    It is reported that, with the exception of preferential policies such as "customs declaration, port inspection and release", import and export enterprises with AA and class A qualifications can also enjoy preferential customs declaration, inspection and release procedures for goods, giving priority to arranging urgent clearance procedures on non working hours and holidays, and implementing bank's margin account "idling" according to regulations, and giving priority to a series of customs clearance measures such as processing trade's filing, changing and reporting procedures.

     


    Five, the post market price index forecast:


    Due to the advent of the Mid Autumn Festival and the National Day holiday, as the merchants from all over North and South are leaving home on a daily basis, the autumn marketing of light textile city will drop somewhat before the long holidays. The turnover of the traditional trading area and the company trading area will decline day by day, and the turnover of clothing, home textiles and clothing accessories will be insufficient.

    But after the long holidays, the north and South merchants returned home from home every day, autumn and winter.

    Fabric

    There will be an increase in the number of mobile sales, the advantages of creative fabric marketing will continue to highlight, the price trend is basically stable, and the sales of local fabrics will show a slight upward trend.


     

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