Vice President Of China Textile Association Xia Lingmin: Analysis Of The Development Trend Of China'S Textile And Garment Industry 2012

Focus on the survival and development of textile enterprises -- 2012 China

The market forum was held in Shanghai in October 23rd.

Reporter tracking the whole story, Xia Lingmin, vice president of China Textile Industry Federation, made Chinese textiles at the forum.

Industry 2012 development trend analysis, the following is a speech record:

Vice President Xia Lingmin

Xia Lingmin: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen.

Interrupt as much as I can.

Recently, the media is constantly hyping up a problem.

We spin

The dilemma of chain, especially the inventory problem of clothing enterprises, is very much used in the word "end of the world, internal and external troubles" and so on.

It seems as if the industry is heading for recession overnight.

Several guests in the introduction process, we have felt, but also see.

Actually, the problem is not at the end of the world.

Let's make a brief summary of this situation.

It will not be detailed, but the whole clear concept will be given to you.

The basic situation of the industry at present is introduced in front of president Xu. In fact, it still keeps a low growth rate from production. The data on the total retail sales of consumer goods released in September just now show that the total retail sales of clothing products are still higher than the growth of global retail sales. Our clothing category increased by 14.8%, while the global product growth rate increased by 14.6%, while in August, there was an increase of 0.3 over September.

The scale of the domestic market, from the cabinet enterprises, the scale of domestic enterprises continues to expand.

Export bulletin data also fell 0.2 from last month, and this month to September, an increase of 0.54%, the data export market is not continuing downward trend.

Industry investment is also growing, the growth rate of 15.3%, investment structure can be seen in the central and western regions, the growth is still relatively fast, although the eastern region still maintained a major share of investment, of course, the industry profit scale than last year registration ratio has dropped, this is also the feeling that the day is sad, money is not good to earn a very important factor.

The data from 1 to August showed that the profit of the industry decreased by 1.16% compared with the same period last year.

From 1 to September, a basic trend is still the growth of production investment and domestic sales, and export is flat and profits have declined slightly. For the industry, the situation is still grim and the pressure is still relatively large, but there are signs of stabilization.

Let's start with the main difficulties of analysis.

One is the demand of the international market, whether it is the United States or Japan, especially the European Union, the growth rate of demand is declining. The EU's decline is still relatively strong, nearly 7%, which has a relatively large impact on exports. Another major problem is that the price of cotton flower at home and abroad is not as good as that for Chinese enterprises, and the price difference is 5000 yuan per ton. This is a very difficult price difference for the industry, which weakens the competitiveness of our special cotton textile industrial chain. From the decline of US cotton textile products, we can see that China has the largest decline, far higher than that of India and Vietnam.

This is the current industry situation.

The China Federation of textile industry has also made an investigation of the existence of the enterprise for the forum.

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At the same time, many enterprises choose to adjust their product mix and reduce their use of cotton. In fact, they put forward a clear signal for the whole cotton industry chain, that is, our cotton policy can not continue the current situation and control imports, which is extremely bad for the cotton industry chain.

For the future development of enterprises, expanding product coverage, strengthening brand marketing and expanding technological pformation is an important choice for the future development strategy of enterprises.

前面這些情況，實際上也都表明行業(yè)面臨的壓力比較大，問題也確實比較多，但是并不是意味著我們就到了“世界末日”，我們對于未來得發(fā)展還應(yīng)該充滿信心，對于紡織服裝行業(yè)而言，我們作為一個消費者行業(yè)，作為生活的必需品，無論是國內(nèi)市場還是國際市場，需求增長總趨勢不會改變，雖然經(jīng)濟周期會影響到產(chǎn)品的消費，但是增長的趨勢，無論是國內(nèi)，還是以17.8%這樣增長速度在增長，國際上美國經(jīng)濟在回升，增長也在上升，因此總的需求會隨著經(jīng)濟好轉(zhuǎn)還會回來，另外我們產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的優(yōu)勢沒有實施，雖然我們在一些產(chǎn)品，一些行業(yè)，隨著勞動力成本的上升，隨著整個要素成本的上漲，有些產(chǎn)業(yè)的訂單可能會向周邊一些國家有些轉(zhuǎn)移，但這也不是大量的，也不是完全產(chǎn)業(yè)整體轉(zhuǎn)移，實際上我們的產(chǎn)業(yè)優(yōu)勢依然還很明顯，那么2011年纖維加工總量也達到4300多萬

Tons, accounting for more than 50% of the world's total, our exports reached US $254 billion 100 million, and accounted for more than 36% of global garment exports. At the same time, the perfect industrial chain and high-quality workforce are all in a position of comparative advantage in the international competition of the whole industry, which we have not lost.

Our market share in major import countries and regions, though fluctuated by a small margin, increased by 1%, and decreased by 2%. However, the dominant position has not changed. From 1 to August, the textile and clothing imported from China accounted for 40% of its total imports. The European Union 36% and Japan reached more than 70%. The import of the United States from second to Vietnam and India is only 7%, 5%, which is still far away from our total volume, so we have not lost our position in these regions.

At the same time, compared with our competitors, the market environment and factor cost increase that we are facing are the problems that we all face together, but the degree is different.

Just now, several speakers in the front mentioned that foreign countries, including India, including Vietnam, including Bangladesh, are also faced with these problems, such as rising wages and rising staff prices. Our outstanding problems mentioned above are mainly due to some improper macroeconomic policies, resulting in a problem that is different from other competitors, that is, cotton prices.

Therefore, for China's textile and apparel industry, we still have very good development conditions, and the prospects are still very good. But the pressure is relatively great. This is our advantage. At the same time, we can see that in the many industries of our manufacturing industry, the profit of textile industry has dropped by 1.9% in the first half of the year, and the profit of the whole industry has also dropped by 2%. Compared to light industry, steel, petrochemical, machinery, building materials and nonferrous metals, textile is second only to light industry and machinery, which is better than other industries. This shows that the current situation of industrial enterprises, as a consumer goods industry, will be faster in the pformation process, and our machinery can break through faster.

As the market changes,

In the first half of the year, the total investment in fixed assets will be 2.26%. In such a large proportion, we will make up 6.4% of the total business income of the manufacturing industry, 4.97% of total profits, 12.27% of exports, 10% of the total retail sales of social consumer goods, and 153% of the trade surplus. These figures also indicate that the status of textile industry in the manufacturing industry is still prominent. In the consumption of consumer goods, our share can also be seen from the proportion of investment. The total profit and fixed assets investment are also good investments to make profits.

　　因此，對于行業(yè)發(fā)展，應(yīng)該還要堅定信心，到底怎么發(fā)展?前面五位嘉賓，徐會長已經(jīng)講了，產(chǎn)業(yè)還要調(diào)整結(jié)構(gòu)還要轉(zhuǎn)型升級，其他四位嘉賓分別從不同的角度來闡述企業(yè)的發(fā)展，行業(yè)的發(fā)展所要關(guān)注的問題，到底怎么去做，借阿里巴巴馬云講過一句話：“我們企業(yè)應(yīng)對困境，更多的要聽企業(yè)家的，不要聽經(jīng)濟學(xué)家的，聽經(jīng)濟學(xué)家的企業(yè)更得死一半”，前面有四位企業(yè)，我們行業(yè)協(xié)會給出的走過的脈絡(luò)，我們并不更多去關(guān)注以前到底如何，我們是希望通過對前面的梳理得出結(jié)論，我們今后發(fā)展到底如何，具體路徑怎么走，不管是優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈實現(xiàn)合作共贏，還是去非洲抓住非洲的發(fā)展機遇，還是黃冠華總經(jīng)理的精細(xì)化管理，還是溫動全球市場布局，這些都是給大家很好的建議，在發(fā)展過程當(dāng)中可以取長補短，可以實現(xiàn)共贏的思路，路還是需要靠我們各個企業(yè)和行

The industry itself is coming. Our industry associations are striving to win from the macro level in terms of policies and related issues, including cotton issues, including tax issues, which can solve some burdens and problems for the industry.

But these problems need to be solved. We rely more on ourselves. We must go on the road of scientific development. The goal of 12th Five-Year and 13th Five-Year should not be stagnant because of short-term difficulties, or we must unswervingly move forward. We can achieve our dream of power in 13th Five-Year as soon as possible.

Thank you!