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China'S Textile Industry Is Hard To Replace. Do Not Need To Be Overly Pessimistic.

2012/12/4 14:55:00 28

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Textile Textile Chinese Textile Industry

Global and Chinese a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile > /a > growth is the important basis for us to judge the main chemical fiber varieties such as polyester. The fact that the textile industry is generally worried about spanferring to other Asian countries is far less than what we all feel. Domestic cotton's premium on the international market is constrained by domestic purchasing and storage and quota policy will continue for a long time. The high internal cotton will affect the demand of domestic cotton products for a long time. 
 import of the world's major textile consuming countries should not be overly pessimistic. The main net importing countries, the United States and Japan, are relatively high, with an increase this year. Imports of textiles from the EU and South Korea declined significantly. But in addition to South Korea, the proportion of textiles and raw materials imported from China by major consumer countries (42%) is stable, and there is no trend to be replaced. 
 Asia's major textile exporters have not replaced the trend of China. In the case of four major Asian textile exporters, the scale of exports in recent years has not been able to get close to China or the export growth rate is much faster than that of China. For the time being, there is no indication that these countries will be able to shorten the length of China's textile exports in the short term. 
 China's domestic textile output value has slowed down, and domestic demand has been relatively stable. Domestic a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile exports < /a > delivery value declined with the demand in Europe and America. It is expected that this year's year-on-year average is basically flat (5%). Domestic consumption data after excluding export delivery values were relatively robust (increased by 11.5%). 
 from the comparison between the main consuming countries and exporting countries of textiles, we can not see that the market is generally concerned about the trend that Chinese exports are replaced by emerging Asian countries. The 14% largest drop in imports in China's EU market is the main factor that affects domestic exports. However, the current decline has reached a historical low level. We expect that in the long term, gradual recovery is a big probability event. Moreover, after years of development, domestic consumption has already exceeded 80% of the total demand. This growth rate is relatively steady, and the market does not need to overdo demand. 
 < a > href= > http://cailiao.sjfzxm.com/Matertial/show/default.aspx > cotton > /a > the proportion of textile materials is decreasing year by year, but its vane is of great significance. 
 supply and demand basically balance in the international market, and the high inventory in the world is mainly due to China. Limited by China's import quotas in the most important market, the price of cotton will remain weak in the future. 
 purchase and storage and quotas guarantee the premium of both inside and outside cotton, but inhibit downstream demand. Purchasing and storing prices will boost domestic prices and import quotas will restrict imports. Cotton premium will continue in the future. The high cost of cotton products and the lack of competitiveness in the outside world will restrain the downstream demand for a long time. 
 domestic cotton prices will not be able to bridge the international market premium in the short term and will suppress domestic downstream demand. Chemical fiber is beneficial to a certain extent, especially products that have substitute effect with pure cotton, such as polyester.