Analysis Of Cotton Planting Intention In 2013

< p > to preliminarily grasp the intention of planting a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > cotton > /a > in 2013, the national cotton market monitoring system, which was built by China cotton reserve management corporation, launched the 2013 annual cotton planting survey in late November.

The samples were taken from 15 provinces (autonomous regions), 89 cotton planting counties (cities, farms), and 4493 designated cotton planting information contact households.

The survey showed that the cotton planting area in China was 67 million 515 thousand mu, a decrease of 4 million 272 thousand mu compared with that of the previous year, with a decrease of 6%.

The intention of each cotton producing area is as follows: < /p >

< p > the cotton planting area in the Yellow River river basin is 24 million 431 thousand mu, a decrease of 8.8% over the same period.

Among them, Shandong province decreased by 4.4% compared with the same period last year, and the four provinces in Hebei, Henan, Shanxi and Shaanxi decreased by 13%, 9.4%, 31.2% and 0.5% respectively.

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< p > the cotton planting area in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River is 16 million 500 thousand mu, a decrease of 9.3% over the same period.

Among them, Hubei province decreased by 15.2% compared with the same period last year, and the four provinces in Anhui, Hunan, Jiangsu and Jiangxi decreased by 6.8%, 6.4%, 3.5% and 0.1% respectively.

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< p > the cotton planting area in Northwest inner cotton area is 26 million 418 thousand mu, a decrease of 0.8% over the same period.

Among them, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_p.asp" > Xinjiang < /a > autonomous region decreased by 0.8% compared with the same period last year, and Gansu decreased by 1.9% compared with the same period last year.

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< p > the main reason for the obvious decrease of cotton planting area in the cotton growing area in the whole year: < /p >

< p > 1, some areas were affected, resulting in a decline in cotton planting income.

In mid August 2012, under the influence of Typhoon "sea anemone", some cotton areas such as Anhui and Hubei had cloudy and rainy weather, which affected the growth and development of cotton. During the boll opening period, cotton and cotton were also affected by rainfall in parts of Hebei and Shandong, and the yield and quality decreased.

Under the protection of the purchase and storage policy, although the purchase price of seed cotton has increased over the past year, the decline in output still led to a decline in cotton growers' income from cotton planting in the affected areas, which affected cotton farmers' enthusiasm for cotton planting.

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< p > 2, compared with other crops, cotton < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_s.asp" > yield < /a > fluctuation.

In order to protect farmers' enthusiasm for grain production, the state raised the minimum purchase price of grain every year. In 2013, the minimum purchase price of every 50 kilograms of wheat (three, etc.) increased to 112 yuan, an increase of 10 yuan over 2012.

Because of the higher grain subsidies, the farmers' income is relatively stable and guaranteed, while the fluctuation of cotton prices is relatively large, and cotton farmers' ability to resist risks is relatively poor, and the willingness to continue planting cotton is relatively low.

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< p > 3, the lack of rural labor force can not meet the labor input needed for cotton planting.

At present, young and middle-aged rural labors are more likely to work outside the country, leaving behind less labor force.

Comparatively speaking, the cotton planting cycle is long, the management is difficult and the cost is much invested, so the enthusiasm of planting is decreasing.

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< p > it is worth noting that due to the spring sowing in March next year, the cotton planting area in China still has a large number of variables.

This year, the state bought and sold lint at the price of 20400 yuan / ton, which maximally protected the interests of cotton growers and eased the trend of rapid decline in cotton planting area.

The next step is the domestic cotton market situation is still uncertain, and ultimately cotton planting intention will change with policy and economic situation.

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