Where Is The Way Of China'S Cotton Industry?
Qingdao, P > June, has a beautiful flower and a charming climate.
On June 6th, the 2013 China International Cotton Conference was solemnly opened in the beautiful coastal city of Qingdao.
Nearly 1000 experts and scholars, government officials from 17 countries and regions, cotton < a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > textile "/a" industry have conducted in-depth exchanges on current agricultural products trade and macro policy, cotton and textile situation, and jointly plan the future development of China and the world's cotton industry.
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< p > < strong > What's wrong with cotton? < /strong > < /p >
< p > China's cotton market continues to slump. This is a fact finding without controversy.
At the meeting, the China Cotton Association released relevant statistical results.
Because of the uncertainty of textile demand, the risk of cotton industry has increased, and the cost of cotton planting has risen sharply in recent years, and the enthusiasm of cotton growers has declined.
In 2013, China's cotton planting area will drop 6.7% compared with the same period last year. Cotton production will continue to shrink, and the domestic cotton industry's production situation is facing challenges.
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< p > Luo Lin, deputy director of the board of directors of the China national supply and marketing cooperative society, said: "in recent years, under the influence of the international financial crisis, the world economic growth continued to be depressed, and the demand of the main economies was insufficient. The trade of global textiles and < a target=" _blank "href=" http://www.91se91.com/ "> clothing < /a > trade decreased significantly, and the international cotton prices fell sharply.
As a big country of cotton production and consumption, a large exporter of textiles and clothing, China has been greatly affected, and the industrial chain has suffered a lot of pressure.
In his view, although the number of cotton producing areas in the world's main producing countries has been reduced, the situation of oversupply has improved, and China's textile and clothing exports have also resumed growth. However, the environment with insufficient demand has not changed.
If the cotton market continues to slump, the sustainable development of the whole cotton textile industry will face severe challenges.
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< p > Zhou Shengtao, President of China Cotton Association, also believes that since 2012, China's textile industry has gone through unprecedented difficulties due to factors such as insufficient demand, rising costs and internal and external cotton price differentials.
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< p > < strong > < < a href= > http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_q.asp > storage and purchase policy < /a > to brake. < /strong > /p >
< p > April 12th, the website of the NDRC announced that in order to stabilize the cotton production, operators and cotton enterprises market expectations, protect the interests of cotton farmers and protect the market supply, the national development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of finance, the Ministry of agriculture, the Ministry of industry and information technology, the State General Administration of quality supervision and quarantine, the supply and Marketing Cooperative headquarters, and the Agricultural Development Bank of China formulated the "2013 cotton temporary purchase and storage plan", which was issued by the State Council for approval.
It is generally agreed that the cotton problem has not only affected the healthy development of the textile industry, but also has become a top priority for the safety of the cotton industry chain.
But when it comes to the government's policy of purchasing and storing, the views are different.
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< p > Zhu Beina, President of the China Cotton Textile Industry Association, thinks that as a cotton textile enterprise, its products are now going to the market, and sales depend on the market. But when buying materials, especially cotton, it depends on the government.
If the rule of economic development is concerned, I think both should be the market, so that it is in line with the law of economic development.
Ding Haowu, general manager of the national cotton exchange market, thinks that the policy of collecting and storing up is called "a satisfactory or three unsatisfactory".
"One satisfaction" is that cotton farmers are basically satisfied. Through temporary purchasing and storage policy and stabilizing prices, the enthusiasm of cotton farmers to grow cotton is basically stable.
"Three unsatisfactory" or "not satisfied": first, the circulation link, in addition to making storage or importing cotton, there is nothing else to do.
The two is the textile industry, especially the cotton textile industry. The price difference exceeds its affordability.
The difference is four thousand or five thousand yuan or even five thousand or six thousand yuan. In this case, it is very difficult for cotton textile industry to digest this kind of cost.
The three is finance. Now, such a huge reserve stock of cotton reserves is a simple account. The annual national financial potential loss is over 20 billion yuan.
The director of the China Cotton Group Co., Ltd. Shi Kai Kai said: three objective facts still need to be recognized.
The first is the cotton purchase and storage policy has been implemented until now, and its positive role in China's cotton industry must be affirmed and clear.
Two, any policy, its introduction, its maturity, its perfection must have a process, to some extent, it may pay a price.
Three, the existing problems of temporary purchasing and storage policy lie in the separation and separation of the international market and the domestic two markets. This is one of the most important or prominent problems that our policy has now led to.
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At the same time, the policy itself is not very effective in playing the role of P.
In addition, macroeconomic regulation and control should also play a market role, and the two must not be antagonistic.
Whether the government or macroeconomic regulation is good, we must pay attention to giving full play to the role of the market.
Du min, a rural economic research center of the Ministry of agriculture, said: "the starting point and goal of this policy are very good, and there is executive power in operation.
But this policy is not economical and its operation cost is too high.
So here, I think it can brake. "
She said that we should take precautions against any policy, and now we should consider what we should do in the future.
Brakes are a problem. How to go in the future is a more important issue.
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Gao Fang, director of the cotton and hemp Bureau of the China Federation of supply and marketing cooperatives and the executive vice president and Secretary General of the China Cotton Association, bluntly pointed out: "the implementation of this policy to such a level is like an overextension of one's merits, and it will also become a shortcoming." P
Now that the problem is exposed, the next thing we all know is the same as how to find a better policy for China.
Liu Xiaonan, deputy director of the State Economic and Trade Commission of the State Development and Reform Commission, pointed out: we believe that the evolution of policies is very natural. There is nothing to be surprised about.
The basic starting point of policy has been achieved, but it is undeniable that any policy has its limitations.
For example, our temporary purchasing and storage policy is considered to be a great pressure to buy and store, pressure from management, and the weakening of market mechanism and market regulation.
The link between the price of domestic and international cotton market has been hindered. I think this is very objective.
What to do? There are many opinions on all aspects of these questions.
Whether it is our industry associations or our textile enterprises, as well as business enterprises have made a lot of comments.
What I want to tell you is that we attach great importance to these opinions.
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< p > < strong > cotton stocks have hidden worries? < /strong > < /p >
< p > up to March 31st this year, cotton temporary storage and storage ended in 2012, and the total storage and storage of cotton was 6 million 500 thousand tons, of which Xinjiang cotton accounted for 65%.
At the same time, in view of the excessive cotton price difference at home and abroad, the Chinese government enlarged the import of cotton, and in 2012, China imported 5 million 140 thousand tons of cotton.
On the other hand, in order to ensure the needs of textile enterprises to use cotton, the Chinese government began to put cotton reserves into textile enterprises from January this year. As of May 27th, the total turnover of cotton reserves was 1 million 820 thousand tons.
Shi Jinkai is not worried: "we are doing business.
Any enterprise should consider the normal stock level. Similarly, we feel that when the state considers reserves, even if the country is a large enterprise, it should also consider a reasonable inventory level.
That is to say, at what level should our country's reserve level be the best and most reasonable, it can not only protect and regulate the demand and supply, but also do not affect or distort the market price, so we must consider our inventory level.
He believes that if the impact of the financial crisis is not affected by the financial crisis for several hundred thousand tons in a few years, the 900 thousand tons will be about 2000000 tons in 3 months without breaking through the 3 million tons, which is the normal level of national reserves.
But now that the financial crisis has been in a special period, the state has adopted the policy of collecting and storing. Now that we have reached the astronomical figure, such a large volume is not normal and unreasonable.
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< p > < strong > increasing cotton planting subsidy? < /strong > /p >
The impact of "P > cotton temporary purchase and storage policy has attracted the attention of all aspects of the cotton industry chain.
So what kind of policy can solve the current cotton problem? Insiders say that the long and serious hang up of cotton prices at home and abroad will eventually jeopardize the interests of cotton farmers. It is suggested that China's cotton purchase and storage policy be adjusted, and cotton farmers should be directly compensated to ensure the enthusiasm of cotton growers.
In fact, during the two sessions this year, a number of CPPCC members, including Bian Zhiliang, Wang Shuli and Liu Dajun, jointly submitted the proposal on raising the price of temporary cotton purchase and storage and improving the subsidy policy for seed cotton, and suggested that the state continue to implement the cotton purchase and storage policy, and raise the cotton temporary purchase and storage price before the new cotton planting as soon as possible, so as to mobilize cotton farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton.
Referring to the policy of direct subsidy to grain, the cotton direct subsidy mechanism should be established as soon as possible.
In accordance with the subsidy of not less than 100 yuan / mu standard, direct subsidy to cotton farmers should be implemented to stabilize cotton planting area and maintain domestic cotton self sufficiency rate.
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Wang Dingwei, Secretary General of China Cotton Association cotton growers branch, focused on this issue. He said: "from the perspective of cotton production, I feel that cotton production is now entering the ice age. It is not so optimistic. Despite this policy support, we can see that our area is still sliding further underground. If there is no such a policy of collecting and storing, the sharp decline of P will be inevitable."
He suggested that the state could make great efforts to spend a large amount of money and sell it at a price.
From the point of view of production, he can consider from the cotton farmers' direct subsidy.
Grain subsidies have been well done now, and the magnitude of the grain subsidy is greater than that of cotton planting. Under such circumstances, the state should at least be able to subsidize cotton subsidies equal to two times and three times more than grain subsidies, and I think it is not enough to support cotton farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton.
If the subsidy is not strong enough, it can be imagined that cotton in the mainland will decline significantly, including Xinjiang, and it is impossible to maintain a stable area.
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< p > in fact, the cotton farmers direct subsidy experience in the United States is worth mentioning.
For a long time, the US government has subsidized cotton farmers in various ways, including production subsidies, sales subsidies and export subsidies which have been used but have been cancelled.
But Gao Fang believes that "any country's way to move to China is not applicable. 40 million farms and twenty thousand farms in the United States can not be duplicated in any way."
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How does "P" < strong > cotton "national condition" change? < /strong > < /p >
Ke Bingsheng, President of China Agricultural University, said: what is the great challenge facing China's agriculture? How to use less and less land, less and less water resources, less and less agricultural labor force, and increasing production cost to produce more, better and safer agricultural products? This is a very big challenge. P
The whole grain area is decreasing, the increase of grain area and the increase or decrease of cotton area have a very close relationship. When the grain area increases, the area of cotton tends to decrease, and vice versa.
The common problem facing the cotton industry and the agricultural industry is that the cost is increasing and the agricultural labor force is decreasing. These two things are linked together.
There are more and more farmers in cities and towns, especially the new generation of migrant workers. They will not go back to grow grain and cotton.
A direct result of less rural labor force is the increasing cost of labor. For example, the cost of cotton picking in Xinjiang has risen from 50 Fen or 80 Fen kilograms a few years ago to more than two yuan.
Therefore, how to realize mechanization and replace manual labor by mechanized cotton picking has become a very important way out.
The main challenge is how to produce more products on a decreasing area, which requires us to raise more production per unit area.
Increasing yield per unit area is a trend.
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< p > < strong > Wang Dingwei said, for the future of cotton planting, I want to have the following points: < /strong > /p >
< p > the first point is scale, which is an inevitable trend in the future.
The second is that cotton farmers should be professionalized. Only by being professionalized can cotton farmers master the necessary technology.
The third is that agricultural equipment must be refined.
We can not now cotton growers of the new generation, like cotton farmers in the past, face the back of the loess, and the sweaty scenes can never happen again.
Especially for cotton, its technical requirements are very strong, and more needs to be done. This may be one aspect that needs government guidance or strengthening support in the future.
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< p > < strong > How do enterprises think and act positively? < /strong > < /p >
< p > the new generation of textile people is very open-minded.
General manager of Shandong Huachen Textile Group, Shi Qi Ting, said: "we are a whole industry chain company. I am very confident about this industry from the perspective of concrete microcosmic feeling of textile enterprises.
First, from the perspective of emerging markets, the textile industry has great room for development.
And now we are entering an era that has changed many things because of network changes.
I know very well about the African continent, India, Pakistan and Southeast Asia. The industrial foundation is not or just to the spinning level. We have not taken into account the pformation level. We have this awareness that we have won half the battle.
Circulation industry seeks new hope in gaps.
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< p > Lu Jianhua, general manager of Changzhou Ke Teng Textile Co. Ltd., said that China has come to a very important upgrading process of the textile industry or the whole cotton industry. In this upgrading process, how do our young people understand how our cotton industry likes our cotton industry and precipitate this heart to do a job for our industry.
I think we should also have our own cotton training institutions at this time, bringing together our new generation to share a deep understanding of cotton and a lot of experts and scholars can share their knowledge and experience on this platform.
Old brand enterprises are also thinking about new ideas.
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< p > Zhou Ke, deputy general manager of Shanghai leading Limited by Share Ltd, said that our leading company has Shanghai's old brand. The earliest one is chrysanthemum. It was founded in 1914. The most famous brand is "three guns".
Over the years, we feel that our brand is not operating very well.
Because in the past 100 years, attention has still been paid to "making" without thinking of "creation".
This time, the Chinese Cotton Association has creatively typed the "China cotton" brand, and I think it has a positive effect on the promotion of our national brand.
So we combine cotton with old brands and are considering how to integrate our old brands with online sales.
All in all, my idea is that as our end user, we hope that through our brand and China's cotton, we will create this wealth instead of creating it.
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< p > < strong > there is great hope for accelerating pformation. < /strong > /p >
< p > Zhou Shengtao, President of the China Cotton Association, pointed out that although China's cotton industry is facing great difficulties at present, I always believe that China is the largest cotton producing country in the world and the cotton producing country, and the prospects for the cotton industry are still promising.
We should sum up experience and lessons, study how to improve the mechanism, and design a long-term and forward-looking system.
China Cotton Association put forward many years ago that we should establish a sense of crisis and establish a long-term mechanism for the development of cotton industry.
Therefore, in terms of policy design, cotton farmers' interests must be mainly considered, so that cotton farmers can have a steady comparative benefit. At the same time, they should pay attention to the combination of market allocation resources and government regulation, and find a balance between the three interests of agriculture, industry and commerce through "Invisible Hands" and "visible hands".
It is necessary to consider comprehensively the grain and cotton price ratio, the basic income of cotton farmers, the difference between inside and outside cotton, and take into consideration the factors such as the affordability of textile enterprises and the reasonable profit margins of the circulation enterprises. From the perspective of industrial sustainable development, a long-term, flexible and active macro control mechanism should be established to avoid the vicious circle of damaging cotton and cotton farmers.
He also stressed that China's textile industry needs to accelerate the pformation of development mode and change its excessive dependence on exports and low cost elements.
First, we should increase the intensity of product mix adjustment and actively explore the international and domestic markets; two, we should actively explore and promote the allocation of resources in pnational, p regional and inter industry sectors, enhance the efficiency of resource allocation, and accelerate the pace of industrial pformation and upgrading; three, take market demand as the fundamental premise, base on long-term and innovative management, and truly establish a production and operation mode that is suitable for its long-term development.
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< p > Yang Shibin, assistant to the president of the China Textile Industry Federation, said, at present, we see some gratifying phenomena. Some factories have done very well in their replacement work. Especially now we are strongly recommending the development of Imitation cotton fibers from the industry angle, mainly with polyester fiber, but we should see that because of the great difference between man-made fibers and natural fibers, it is still very difficult for the work to achieve the goal in the short term.
I want to work together in a particular historical period to make our industry better.
Liu Xiaonan reminded us to be confident: we have been meeting with relevant departments recently to study this matter. The theme is how we can further improve and improve the existing regulatory mechanism, and explore a long-term mechanism to promote the long-term and stable development of China's cotton industry.
Next, we look forward to hearing more constructive suggestions from all sides.
In my view, the core issue is how to deal with the relationship between government regulation and market regulation, that is, the relationship between the government and the market.
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