Xu Kunyuan: The Chance Of Making Big Money By Two Machines Will Never Return.
< p > first, world fiber production continues to show an upward trend.
From 2000 to 2011, the world's chemical fiber production showed an increasing trend.
The main reasons are two points. One is the emerging economies of China, represented by China. With the steady growth of the economy, the living standards of the people have been improving and the consumption of textiles has increased at the same time.
Southeast Asia, Africa, South America and other countries and regions at this stage, the consumption of textiles has varying degrees of growth.
Two, industrial textiles have greatly increased in the field of application and usage.
And in the next 5 years or even longer, the consumption of industrial textiles will increase rapidly.
Overall, consumption of about 7000000000 of the world's population is increasing. The trend of global fiber development will not change in the next 5~10 years.
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The importance of < p > Second, < a href= "http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx Classid=101112107105" > chemical fiber < /a > becomes more apparent with time.
Since twenty-first Century, the output of world textile fibers has increased rapidly, and chemical fiber has played a decisive role.
Chemical fiber has become the main raw material of global textile fiber.
Chemical fiber is no longer just a problem of dressing, and its importance is becoming more and more prominent. Therefore, the world economy is inseparable from the chemical fiber industry.
In addition, in 2011, China's chemical fiber production accounted for 61.2% of the total chemical fiber in the world. In 2012, China's chemical fiber production accounted for about 70% of the global total.
China's economy is inseparable from the development of chemical fiber industry.
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< p > Third, China's chemical fiber industry still has room for growth.
The main reasons are as follows: the first reason is that China's textile industry will continue to develop along with China's economic growth.
In 2012, the production of China's textile industry increased by 10.6%, down from the growth rate in previous years, but still maintained a two digit growth.
With the continuous development of China's economy, the potential of textile domestic demand will be further manifested.
China now has a population of 1 billion 300 million, a population of almost 400 million or a textile consumption type. Other consumption is improved. Now the per capita textile consumption of the world is 11 kilograms. China has already exceeded 20 kilograms. China's textile consumption is not satisfied consumption, but has entered an improved consumption. It requires our textile industry to adjust its structure to meet this level of consumption. China's economic growth is bound to make new demands on China's textile industry.
The second reason is our export level. In 2011, the total export volume of textiles in the world was US $706 billion, and China exported US $248 billion 200 million. In 2012, China's textile and clothing exports accounted for 35% of the world's total. China's textile industry had a solid foundation, and its industrial chain matching advantages were quite obvious. Scientific and technological progress has been developing rapidly in recent years, especially forming a group of enterprises and entrepreneurs and industry experts with economic strength and talent strength. This team has become the main driving force for the future development of China's < a href= "http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx Classid=101112107107" > textile industry < /a >.
The third reason is that the state gives support to labor-intensive industries and people's livelihood industries. China's chemical fiber industry should have the potential and room for development under such an objective environment.
However, because it is not satisfied consumption, it is not quantity growth but quality and variety growth. What is its growth rate? My prediction is synchronous with GDP growth rate.
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< p > Fourth, < a href= "http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx Classid=101112107108" > polyester industry < /a > current difficulties and outlets.
Polyester industry is the most important industry in the chemical fiber industry.
In 2011, the world's polyester production was 38 million 680 thousand tons, accounting for 75% of the total production of synthetic fiber.
In 2012, China's polyester production was 30 million 570 thousand tons, accounting for 80.6% of China's chemical fiber production.
Why is the polyester industry developing so fast? Mainly because of technological progress.
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In the past few years, the realization of localization of large capacity and ultra fine technology equipment has improved the quality level of enterprises and reduced the cost of comparison, so some investors are desperate to invest in the P market.
This is the economic law.
However, during the same period, a large number of similar products were invested heavily, resulting in indigestion finally.
This is not the surplus of backward products, but the development of the same advanced technology and equipment is too fast.
The market is regular. If we do not follow the rules of the market, there will be excessive competition.
Therefore, investors should scientifically predict the change of development, including the investment of PTA, and conform to the market rule.
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