Textile Industry Is Hard To Do, And "Severe Winter" Is Still Spreading.

The average inventory of enterprises visited by China filament weaving association is 2~3 months, and the inventory of individual enterprises has exceeded 4 months, or even half a year. A small enterprise in Shengze, which has stopped production, has an annual output of 3 million meters, but its inventory has exceeded 5 million meters.

"In the industry for more than ten years, business has never been as difficult as it is this year." Zhang Xinsu, chief executive of Wujiang Lily textile company, said while busy.

Zhang Xinsu's office is located in Shengze Town, Wujiang, Jiangsu, which is one of the centers of textile industry all over the world. His company is a spray in the sea of Shengze's textile industry.

The survey found that the "severe winter" in the textile industry is still spreading, and textile enterprises generally feel that business is hard to do. In the textile industry gathering place of Jiaxing and Wujiang, over 40 textile enterprises bosses have been running away in the past six months.

　　 The boss runs frequently.

For many enterprises in the textile industry, this is a real severe winter, with serious excess capacity, unsalable products and inadequate construction, behind which many small and medium-sized textile enterprises are suffering.

A chairman of a medium-sized textile enterprise in Jiangsu said that according to incomplete statistics, more than ten textile enterprises have been closed down recently in Jiaxing. Several of their bosses have already run away, and there are many large state-owned banks and other financial institutions involved.

According to incomplete statistics of the chairman of a medium-sized textile machinery enterprise in Wujiang office in Jiangsu, in the past six months, there are ten textile mill owners running on the road in Wujiang alone.

"Textile enterprises tend to interconnect and protect each other. A textile mill will collapse one piece." The chairman of the above medium-sized enterprises in Wujiang said, "in the early December, another large textile enterprise in Wujiang Shengze was faced with bankruptcy. The bank loan balance of the enterprise was about 600 million yuan, and mutual protection with a real estate company with a loan balance of 1 billion yuan. If both of them fell down, I reckon at least hundreds of enterprises would be involved."

According to the chairman of the medium-sized enterprises in Wujiang, as far as he knows, in Wujiang, there are many large state-owned banks and many other banks have been involved in the blast of textile enterprises' boss. According to his estimate, the situation will be more severe next year, and a considerable number of enterprises will be shut down after the new year's day.

Liu Xuewen, chairman of Jiangsu Qun Guan Textile Co., Ltd., said that at present, the textile industry has serious excess capacity and a serious backlog of stocks. According to his observation, many factories in the industry are willing to sell as long as someone buys them, but they do not have to pay 1 cents for the deposit, and 9 months after credit.

The reversal of supply and demand is the direct reason for the severe operation of enterprises. In recent years, production capacity has expanded dramatically, but demand has not risen, and the price of textile fabrics has begun to decline.

"Imitation silk earned one or two yuan per meter last year, and this year it generally loses 5 cents per meter, mainly due to the huge capacity expansion in the second half of last year." HSBC textile, a person who did not want to be named, told our reporter that "now the money is slow, 1 months in the past, and now it is also difficult for 3 months. Capital loan First, it is difficult to achieve. Two, interest is too high, at least ten percent, and great pressure. "

In the view of HSBC textile head, most of the varieties are overcapacity. "Some 1.2 yuan / meter processing costs, 9 cents to sell people do not want to, do not sell the warehouse, what to do?" {page_break}

　　 Long valley bottom

The textile industry is a highly cyclical industry.

Recalled the time from 2010 to the first half of 2011, the owners of textile enterprises interviewed felt that it was really a feast.

Liu Xuewen recalled that at that time, 1 yuan per production of rice cloth, often can earn 35 cents, the textile mill production capacity is huge, if we can maintain such a high profit, that prospect is too impressive.

This is a warm cycle. In fact, as early as 2007, the textile industry already had large capacity overcapacity. In 2008, the financial crisis eliminated a number of production capacity, and the surviving enterprises stayed until 2010, and spring came.

But the feast lasted only 2 years, and the cold came quickly. The reversal of ice and fire is due to the huge expansion of capacity in the past two or three years. Liu Xuewen said that the capacity of new horses in recent years is estimated to be more than the sum of the previous 20 years.

According to Liu Xuewen, at present, the supporting system of textile industry is already very mature, and the newly established factory starts from the beginning to the production, and if it is fast, it will only take four months. And capacity expansion is much easier now than it was 15 years ago.

For example, mechanical equipment, a water jet loom, used to be imported from Japan, each price of up to 300 thousand yuan. In recent years, with the continuous improvement of the price ratio of domestic machinery and equipment, the purchase of domestic equipment has become the first choice for many textile mills. Each loom often gets around 40 thousand yuan, and the cost can be recovered in a year or more.

A small factory can produce 1 million meters of cloth a day, which is equivalent to producing 1 million pairs of trousers a day.

How fast is the capacity expansion? The chairman of the above-mentioned Jiangsu textile enterprise has given examples from several places in Jiangsu.

Take Xuzhou Xinyi as an example, in the past 5 years, Xinyi's new textile industry has exceeded the sum of the previous 15 years. In the past, there were only about 200 loom looms in Xinyi, and now there are more than 2500. A large number of textile mills have moved into or built in Huaian and Suqian.

Local governments play an important role in capacity expansion. Several textile enterprises executives told our reporter that some less developed areas were inviting investment, spare no effort, land and factory buildings were almost free, and helped coordinate loans and taxes. The textile mills were able to set up new factories with almost no capital contribution.

Textile enterprises are also in serious stock. According to the China silk weaving Association's "2013 summer filament weaving small and medium-sized enterprises Field Research Report", the average inventory of enterprises visited around the country is 2~3 months, and the inventory of individual enterprises has exceeded 4 months, or even half a year. A small enterprise in Shengze, which has stopped production, has an annual output of 3 million meters, but its inventory has exceeded 5 million meters.

Liu Xuewen believes that in the next few years, Spin About half of the capacity of the industry can be eliminated, so that the balance can be restored.

Overcapacity and falling prices, but the cost of textile mills is rising.

Xu Wenying, vice president of China Textile Industry Federation, has found that the cost of labor in the chemical fiber weaving industry has increased year by year, and the pressure on the cost of various production factors is obvious. For example, there are 120 thousand air-jet looms in the Wujiang area of Jiangsu, and the looms have become the most popular jobs. Therefore, the Wujiang area has become the highest wage area in the national textile industry, and the 8 hour salary has reached 4500 yuan per month.

　　 Polarization

Other statistics show that the textile industry is still relatively well-off.

According to the Ministry of consumer goods industry of the Ministry of industry and commerce, from January to September, the textile business above Designated Size reached 45586 billion yuan, an increase of 11.7% over the same period last year, a 2.4 percentage point increase over the same period last year and a total profit of 215 billion 200 million yuan, an increase of 17.4% over the same period last year, which is 17 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. {page_break}

According to the statistics of National Bureau of statistics, from January 2013 to October, the added value of China's textile industry increased by 8.5% compared to the same period last year, a slight decrease compared with the first half of the year. Among them, the textile industry increased by 9.2% over the previous year, 0.4 percentage points slower than the first half of the year, the apparel industry grew by 7.5% year-on-year, unchanged from the first half of the year, and the chemical fiber industry grew 10%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points over the first half of the year.

But the chairman of the above textile machinery company feels quite differently. He firmly believes that the textile industry is more difficult than the statistics.

In this regard, Wang Weicheng, editor in chief of the first textile network, thinks that the deviation between statistical data and the feelings of enterprises should be analyzed concretely. He believes that the statistical scope of the National Bureau of statistics is more than 3 Textile Enterprises above Designated Size, but there are tens of thousands of textile enterprises across the country, and statistics can not be fully covered. In addition, the polarization phenomenon in the enterprises that are included in statistics is becoming more and more obvious in recent years. At present, a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises have been caught in the cold winter, while the top companies have achieved profit growth.

Compared with the small and medium-sized enterprises slaughting in the "Red Sea", enterprises with superior scale and R & D capability are in a much better position. Many enterprises have broken through a new path through innovation.

A staff member of a domestic chemical fiber giant in Shengze told our reporter that their products were high and medium end. This year, "they can still be". The production and sales of chemical fiber products are basically flat. In his view, as the raw material of textile industry, the demand of chemical fiber products is very large, and the market demand for product quality and performance is rising.

One of the typical products of the chemical fiber giant's new road to innovation is memory fiber. In terms of upstream raw materials of memory fiber, the company's biological PDO project has started construction. After the breakthrough of PTT polyester synthesis technology, the cost of the PTT polyester product of the company is 15000~16000 yuan / ton, which is far below the current monopoly price of DuPont Co 21500 yuan / ton.

Xu Wenying recently mentioned in an industry forum that in recent years, China's coastal enterprises in Fujian have made further breakthroughs in the development of fine denier nylon high-density fabrics, and their products are widely used in outdoor sports wear and winter clothes. market The pursuit of popularity has gradually won the recognition of the international market. Some enterprises have always been able to go to the forefront of industry development and lead the development of the industry.