Cotton Prices Continued To Decline In December 2013.
Since December, domestic cotton Market prices began to decline continuously, and prices had already fallen below 20 thousand per ton, equivalent to less than 8 yuan per kilogram. The reason why cotton prices go down is not difficult to analyze.
Every year from the end of the year to the second year before and after the Spring Festival is the peak season for cotton farmers to sell cotton, and the price is relatively good at this time. Ejinaqi is the main cotton producing area in Inner Mongolia. Cotton has gained a good harvest this year. Wu Jun, a cotton grower in Dongfeng town of Ejinaqi, planted more than 270 mu of cotton. He said he was very satisfied with the purchase price this year.
Wu Jun: "cotton grows well this year, and its output will increase by ten to more than 20 kilograms. At present, the purchase price is still temporary, which is four or five cents higher than in previous years. For now, it's a kilogram of eight yuan and two. "
From September 9th this year, the annual cotton temporary purchasing and storage work started, and domestic cotton prices have been rising slightly. However, the seemingly stable cotton market also hides some problems. Since December, the price of domestic cotton market has started to decline continuously, and the price has already fallen below 20 thousand per ton, which is less than 8 yuan per kilogram. Sun Liwu, an agricultural product analyst at Zhuo Chuang:
Sun Liwu: "in the first week of December, at home Unginned cotton The average purchase price is 1.1% lower than the last week of the month. This is also the biggest midway drop since September when the price of seed cotton is high. At present, the average price of seed cotton is still falling slowly.
The reason why cotton prices go down is not difficult to analyze. This summer, in the Yangtze River Basin of the Yellow River, one of the main cotton producing areas, drought and continuous rainy weather have an impact on the overall quality of cotton. Therefore, analyst Sun Liwu introduced, from the current cotton area survey, there are many cotton farmers there is difficult to sell cotton.
Sun Liwu: "more than 9 of cotton processing enterprises are mainly based on storage and storage, so the cotton which does not meet the storage standard can only be used for small and medium-sized processing enterprises for small cotton mills, and the other part can only be used for personal use, or stacked at home can not be sold. At present, the Yellow River cotton region such as Henan, Shandong and Hebei cotton farmers have at least 4 of the seed cotton stock.
When the whole industry is looking forward to the country's slant subsidy policy, the Ministry of Agriculture announces that the domestic cotton temporary purchase and storage policy will no longer be implemented in the 2014/2015 cotton season, and the 3 year policy of temporary collection and storage will come to an end. In the past two years, because of the high cost of planting, the phenomenon of abandoning cotton and growing grain is widespread. The overall planting benefit is not ideal. What will happen to the future cotton market when the temporary purchase and storage policy is abolished? Mao Shuchun, a post scientist of the national cotton industry system, thinks that
Mao Shuchun: "the first is that the international cotton price will come down, the price difference between the international and foreign currencies will be narrowed, the consumption of domestic cotton will increase, and the pressure on the international cotton inventory will slow down. This is a change. The second change is that farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton has declined, cotton planting intention has dropped, and cotton planting area has decreased, showing an increasing trend.
Under such expectations, how to stabilize cotton production and cotton farmers' interests has become the key. At this point, how can cotton growers get better returns? Mao Shuchun suggested cotton growers should divide their flowers and flowers in bad ways according to the method, and enterprises should also pay the price according to the level, so as to protect the cotton farmers' income.
Mao Shuchun: "scientific cotton planting, only high yield can cope with the decline in prices and higher production in China. cost To grow an acre of land, grow an acre of land. There are two things to do in terms of technology, one is to choose good varieties, and the other is to adopt good cultivation and management techniques. Second. Another suggestion is that rural areas should do well in technical training aimed at sending science and technology to the countryside.
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