China'S Fourth Quarter Economic Growth Slows Down In 2013 And Wins Steadily.

< p > a number of organizations have predicted that in the four quarter of 2013, China's a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > economic growth rate < /a > will slow down to 7.6%.

In this regard, expert analysis, this is because the fourth quarter of 2012, the GDP base is larger; on the other hand, because the two quarter of 2013, there is no new economic stimulus measures, economic growth is relatively stable.

China's economic growth is expected to stabilize at around 7.5% in 2014.

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Recently, the prediction of China's economic growth has been released by P.

The market generally predicted that the GDP growth rate in the fourth quarter of 2013 was 7.6%, compared with the figures released by the National Bureau of statistics. Compared with the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp "manufacturing industry < /a" Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), there was a downward trend.

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< p > macro economic analysts believe that China's macro-economy is still stabilizing in the turmoil, which is affected by the global economic environment, economic pformation and upgrading, and liquidity control.

With the release of the reform dividend and the stimulation of the vitality of the private economy, the potential of China's economic growth is still huge.

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< p > < strong > the economy stabilizes in the shock < /strong > < /p >

< p > "the forecast for the fourth quarter GDP growth year on year has been released, slightly above 7.5%."

In an interview with reporters, HSBC macroeconomic analyst Ma Xiaoping said.

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< p > in fact, many agencies believe that the average and median of GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2013 were 7.6%, which was lower than the 7.8% level in the three quarter of 2013, released by the National Bureau of statistics.

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< p > Ma Xiaoping said that there are two main reasons for this: first, in statistics, the GDP base in the fourth quarter of 2012 is relatively large; two, after the two quarter "micro stimulus" initiative, the fourth quarter did not increase new stimulus measures, and the growth rate remained relatively gentle.

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Wang Jianhui, deputy general manager of the securities research and development department, said in an interview with reporters, "at the macro level, the state has initiated measures such as pformation and upgrading, restructuring and containment of official consumption, which has slowed down the economic growth objectively" P ".

Moreover, the state has strengthened supervision over trust, debt and shadow banking, controlling liquidity and weakening the pulling force of investment on the economy.

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< p > recently, the National Bureau of Statistics recently released the December 2013 a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > purchasing managers' index < /a > 51%, changing the rising trend since June 2013.

Zhang Liqun, a researcher at the development research center of the State Council, believes that, overall, it is expected that the industrial growth rate will decline in the future, and the export growth rate may also decline, and there will still be downward pressure on economic growth.

"These data show that economic growth will stabilise in the concussion."

Wang Jianhui pointed out that the current economic slowdown is formed in the global economic environment and the pformation and upgrading of the domestic economy, and the macro economy will fluctuate with the domestic and international situation.

However, with the advance of reform and the release of reform dividends, the quality of economic growth will be significantly improved.

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< p > < strong > growth is more important and quality and efficiency less than /strong > /p >

< p > "there is no uncertainty in economic development at present. It is only a matter of time."

Wang Jianhui said, "the key problem is not knowing how long it will take to produce effect."

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< p > Ma Xiaoping said that with the reform entering a critical stage, economic growth is facing many opportunities in 2014. For example, the release of private capital and the exertion of market forces will bring more vitality and motivation to economic growth.

"The release of the vitality of the civil economy requires a series of reform initiatives, such as deregulation, state-owned enterprise reform, the digestion of overcapacity, and the resolution of debt risks. After these initiatives, the civil economy will have a greater space for development."

"Economic growth is expected to remain at around 7.5% in 2014."

Ma Xiaoping said that macroeconomic factors and uncertainties existed in 2014, and opportunities and risks coexisted.

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< p > Wang Jianhui said that after the economic growth rate dropped in 2012, it will continue to fall in 2013 and in the next 5 years, and the economic growth rate may eventually fall to about 6%.

"I am worried about returning to the high speed era, because the urgent need for development is over, we need to develop better and more quality. If we maintain high speed, we will have many problems such as high pollution, high resource consumption and so on, or go back to the old road of investment in the past."

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