"The Sequelae Of Warm Winter", The First Wave Of Commodities Market Came Ahead Of Schedule In January.

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< p > January 31st, < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > commodity > /a > data providers. In January 2014, the commodity supply and demand index BCI was -0.64, all rose to -1.60%, reflecting the contraction of the manufacturing economy last month and the downside risks of the economy.

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< p > all of the 8 plates monitored in < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > BCI < /a > all fell.

The biggest decline was the energy sector, which fell by -3.76%, followed by agricultural and sideline, a decrease of -2.27%.

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< p > January, BCI achieved a new low in 19 months. In 2014, the first wave of commodity market fell early, < /p >

< p > the latest data show that the supply and demand index of commodities in January was BCI, -0.64, which rose by -1.60%, reflecting the contraction of the manufacturing economy in the month and the downside risks of the economy.

Of the 8 plates monitored by BCI, all fell.

The biggest decline was the energy sector, which fell by -3.76%, followed by agricultural and sideline, a decrease of -2.27%.

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< p > it is worth noting that in January, BCI received green. This is the first time that BCI has been recorded. In January 2012, BCI was 0.22013 years January, and BCI was 0.24.

By contrast, in January 2014, BCI's -0.65 not only lost its tradition of opening up in the past 2 years, but also created the lowest value since July 2012 (the lowest value of BCI in 2013 appeared in March, -0.61).

The situation in 2014 was not as good as in previous years, and the economic situation in the commodity market and manufacturing industry is grim.

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Liu Xintian, principal analyst of P, thinks that the first wave of 2014 a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > commodity market < /a > fell ahead of schedule (according to the rule of the past 2 years, the first wave usually falls at the end of the first quarter or the beginning of the two quarter).

In the 4 quarter of 2013, the performance in the first quarter of 2013 was better than that in the same period in 2012, and some parts of the bubble were accumulated in 2014. The most typical one is to enter the 2014 market, the most typical one is the coal char industry chain (the power coal has a large callback of 7%, the coking coal has a callback of nearly 6%), and the two is the "Spring Festival syndrome". First, the market before the festival began to decrease. In the case of the market downturn, the producers' shipments increased, while the stock and downstream users' willingness to make stocks decreased, and the contradiction between supply and demand led to the market's "worsening". Secondly, from the past two years, the market performance after the holidays was not as good as before the festival, which also led to a subtle change in the market psychology this year. The reasons for the first wave of 2014 fall are mainly two points: first, "a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp "warm winter < /a > sequela", and the commodity market is

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< p > Liu Xintian anticipate that market sentiment is expected to be repaired after the festival, given that the actual economic situation is not bad. The BCI situation in February will be better than January.

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