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    European Union Bank Of China Interest Rate Decision Whether The Exchange Rate Trend Is Affected.

    2014/5/11 23:22:00 17

    European Central Bank Interest Rate ResolutionExchange RateExchange Rate

    < p > the European Central Bank will announce interest rate resolution at 19:45 on Thursday Beijing time, and then the central bank governor Delaki will hold a news conference.

    No doubt, this will be the biggest risk event in the financial market on this trading day.

    < /p >


    < p > some analysts pointed out that the ECB does not have a strong desire to take further easing actions such as continued interest rate cuts or quantitative easing, unless there is a compelling situation.

    Although the current low inflation rate will force the European Central Bank to continue to maintain a low a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > interest rate < /a > easing policy for the foreseeable future, the European Central Bank's strong unconventional easing measures to boost the euro zone economy still remain low.

    < /p >


    < p > strong > Euro < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > US dollar < /a > /strong > /p >


    < p > the exchange rate of the previous trading day has been adjusted. If we look at the adjustment of the daily trend, the adjustment of the day line will not affect the main trend, that is, the trend of normal upward trend of the downward trend yesterday.

    At the 4H level, the volatility of the exchange rate is good, that is, the short-term adjustment will tend to go upward again.

    The exchange rate is now trading at 1.3924, with a recent pressure of 1.3935 above.

    Short term trend is expected to shake up before the meeting to test the pressure, short-term strategy or more short-term wait and see.

    < /p >


    < p > strong > pound sterling US dollar < /strong > /p >


    The US P trend is more consistent with that of Europe and the United States. However, from the trend of exchange rate, the pound and the US are slightly stronger. They are concerned about the main trend of the pound since July 2013.

    The continued improvement in the fundamentals of the UK has boosted the strength of the exchange rate.

    There is no reason for short.

    < /p >


    < p > Technical chart < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp > > price < /a > the continuous new high indicates that the adjustment continues to rise significantly, the exchange rate is now trading at 1.6960, and the exchange rate is expected to remain unchanged before the interest rate resolution is expected.

    Day support can be seen in 1.6940-1.6925, which can be more strategic with the 1.6925/40 area.

    < /p >


    < p > < strong > gold dollar < /strong > /p >


    < p > gold prices fell yesterday, after the gold price was affected by the situation in Ukraine. However, the price of gold and the attack on the 1320 front-line will only spread the situation to alleviate the market risk and improve the gold price. The drop in gold price will drop more than the previous 61.8% position.

    < /p >


    < p > the trend of gold price tends to be stable during the day, and the fluctuation is only limited to 1287-1292 in the morning, or the news is waiting for the euro area to be stimulated.

    The pressure above 1294/6-1230 is 1287-1283 days below.

    The strategy can be 1297/9 short, target 1290-1283.

    < /p >

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    Since 2014, the RMB exchange rate has depreciated sharply, causing panic in the market. According to the author's estimate, the real effective exchange rate of RMB in February 2014 is still overvalued by 2.7%, and there is still room for depreciation of the RMB exchange rate. The recent devaluation or fluctuation of the RMB is an inevitable process of correcting the equilibrium exchange rate, and there is no need to be too nervous. Next, let's take a look at the details.

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