European And American Data Decline Geopolitical Risk Eastward Shift
Economic growth in the first quarter of the year P is not ideal. The economic outlook for the quarter is expected to be optimistic.
However, the poor performance of a series of us real estate data has stimulated investors' concerns and has had some impact on the prospects of the Fed's monetary policy.
This week, the Fed's high-level speech was more cautious. Loose monetary policy was expected to suppress the US dollar. During the day, the Fed continued to pay attention to Yellen's speech.
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P, Europe, the first quarter of the euro area rose by 0.2% in the first quarter of GDP, less than expected in the market.
In the same period, the annual CPI value rose by 0.7% in April, unchanged from the initial value.
The economic recovery of Member States is mixed. Germany's GDP growth in the first quarter has accelerated significantly, which is conducive to stabilizing the euro.
Ukraine risks remain unresolved, and we need to be vigilant against international risk aversion.
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(P) Vietnam's outbreak of large-scale Anti China riots, the situation in the South China Sea has become tense, and has become a new geopolitical hotspot.
Overnight risk avoidance in the international market has pushed up the bond market and the callback of US stocks, and there are great opportunities for us dollar and yen.
The proportion of China's foreign exchange holdings is still on the high side. The renminbi's continued decline is expected to affect Australian dollar, while the NZD has been under pressure after Treasury Secretary English's speech.
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< p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > foreign exchange < /a >: on Thursday, the US dollar index was on the high side. The individual currencies were expressed as follows: < /p >
< p > strong > euro to us dollar < /strong > /p >
< p > overall shake down, high 1.3730, low 1.3650.
The European Central Bank's easing of monetary policy is expected to continue to suppress Euro selling. Ukraine's geopolitical risks and Sterling short rally all have negative effects on the euro, while the euro area's GDP performance has become the main negative factor for the euro's short term pressure.
Concerned about the euro area March trade account and the European central bank executive Cole delivered a speech, supporting position 1.3630, resistance 1.3770.
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< p > forecast: the euro is more likely to shake against the US dollar.
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< p > < strong > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > Australian dollar to us dollar < /a > /strong > /p >
< p > overall high concussion, high visibility 0.9390, low see 0.9330.
The situation in the South China Sea has become tense after the expansion of Vietnam's irony and uprising. The further rebound of the Australian dollar has been affected. The poor performance of the European and American economic data in the international market has put a damper on the market, and there is a downside risk after the Aussie dollar.
Concerned about the situation in the South China Sea and Australian data, the support level is 0.9320, and the resistance level is 0.9400.
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< p > forecast: the Australian dollar is more likely to be callback than the US dollar.
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< p > < strong > < a > href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp > > Gold > /a > /strong > /p >
< p > the overall pressure callback is 1304.96, and the lowest is 1290.80.
European and American economic data are not ideal, and international geopolitical risks are the same. However, the US dollar index has been sorted overnight, and the European monetary system has not fallen sharply.
Concerned about the Fed's high-level speech and the situation in Ukraine, the support level is 1280, and the resistance level is 1320.
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< p > forecast: international gold price or maintain wide shock, short term maintenance in 1280-1320 wide range of operation.
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