Textile Index Analysis Of Keqiao, China In July 2014
Here world clothing shoes The Xiaobian of the hat net introduces Keqiao, China in July. Spin Index analysis.
Off-season production and sales continued to shrink, business index fell
"China Keqiao textile index" in July 2014, the total prosperity index closed at 1416.19 points, down 1.19%, down 1.51% compared with the beginning of the year, down 0.88% compared with the same period last year.
First, circulation continues downward and circulation index falls.
In July, the total market circulation index closed at 1135.94 points, down 0.17%
1. the index of circulation size declined. In July, the market circulation index closed at 1135.05 points, down 0.84%.
2. the circulation benefit index is weak. In July, the market circulation efficiency index closed at 1653.59 points, down 1.57%.
3. the circulating capital turnover index declined. In July, the market circulation capital turnover index closed at 2624.02 points, down 4.08%.
Two, enterprise orders continue to decline, production boom and decline
In July, the total business climate index closed at 1671.84 points, down 2.17%. This month, the production orders of enterprises declined, some garment production enterprises failed to purchase enough, the number of customers returning to the market decreased, orders were down, and orders for weaving and dyeing enterprises continued to show a downward trend, resulting in a slight decline in the production prosperity index.
1., the profit space is compressed and production efficiency is reduced. In July, the production efficiency index closed at 1733.64 points, down 8.86%.
2., the price of products is shrinking and the gross profit margin index is decreasing. In July, the gross margin index closed at 1769.20 points, down 10.06%.
3. the demand fell sharply in traditional off-season, and the turnover rate of inventory decreased. In July, the stock index turnover index closed at 1650.66 points, down 5.72%.
Three, market demand is mixed, confidence index is mixed.
In July, the confidence index of the circulation market closed at 963.27 points, increased by 0.22% compared with the annex, and the confidence index in the production boom reached 900.17 points, down 0.27% in the annulus.
1., the competition in the aftermarket is increasing, and the demand is different. In July, the market demand index for the market outlook closed at 941.37 points, up 0.25% over the previous period, and the market demand index for enterprises closed at 866.82 points, down 2.92% from the previous period.
2, a small rise in circulation, and enterprises will pick up again. In July, the circulation market estimated the index of business prospects to close at 990.93 points, up by 0.04%. The judgement index of our business prospects closed at 936.81 points, up by 2.09%.
Four, the next total prosperity index forecast
In August, the overall growth of textile industry in Keqiao District of Shaoxing was expected to rebound. Due to a small increase in domestic demand and a slight rise in external demand, the domestic textile product demand adjustment continued to expand, and summer product marketing continued to shrink. As China's textile city will gradually get out of the traditional off-season in the middle of 8, the overall industry index will show a slight upward trend in the forecast.
International market competition intensified, foreign trade marketing price continued to fall.
Analysis of foreign trade index in July 2014
In July 2014, the foreign trade prosperity index closed at 1243.98 points, down 0.65%, down 11.13% compared with the same period last year. The foreign trade price index closed at 120.62 points, down 1.07%, down 5.53% compared with the same period last year, and the confidence index of foreign trade closed at 1050.71 points, decreasing by 4.74%.
First, the external demand is weak, and the foreign trade boom continues to weaken.
1. upgrading of EU green barriers. Textile exports Welcome to the final exam again. In the near future, the EU issued a new regulation on textile environmental labeling, and the "green barrier" was upgraded again. At the same time, the official communiqu of the European Union published resolution 2014/350/EU, which formally issued the new regulation of textile environmental labeling (Eco-label).
2. competition in the international market is intensified and market demand is limited. Europe and the United States are facing fierce competition and lack of market demand. Although emerging markets such as Africa are growing faster, many companies and products are entering, and profit margins are narrowing.
The cost of the 3. elements is rising, and the order of textile and clothing is transferred. Because of the high labor cost in China, international buyers transfer some textile and garment orders to Southeast Asian countries. At present, the speed of production efficiency improvement of textile and garment enterprises can not keep up with the speed of cost rise. The development mode based on quantity has ended. Small and micro enterprises are still not optimistic about the development prospect of this year, and the speed of industrial development continues to slow down.
4., demand is insufficient and exports are slowing down. In July, the cotton and its blended fabrics decreased by 16.51% compared with the chain, and the linen ratio of hemp and its blended fabrics decreased by 15.95%. The tufted fabric decreased by 12.81% compared with the ring fabric, the curtain curtain ratio decreased by 15.51%, and the knitted Crochet decreased by 18.73%, which directly affected the decline of the overall situation of the foreign trade.
Two, international competition intensified to suppress prices.
1. Southeast Asian countries contend for export market share. In the Southeast Asian countries and other countries, squeezing out low cost labor force, some of Shaoxing's textile and garment enterprises and Textile City textile products have to take part in the price reduction, and the profit margins of the public products are still relatively compressed, pulling the foreign trade price index down in July.
2. competition intensified and prices fell. In July, the cotton and its blended fabrics decreased by 10.30% compared with the chain, the tufted fabric decreased by 5.33% compared with the ring fabric, the embroidery products decreased by 18.38%, and the knitted Crochet was down by 3.12%, which directly affected the decline of the total foreign trade price index.
3. lack of right to speak affects prices. In July, the international market demand continued to descend. Most of the small and medium-sized enterprises in Keqiao District of Shaoxing still lack the right to speak for price because of mass products.
4. most export enterprises are mainly short and medium sized orders. Due to the high cost of labor and other factors, foreign trade enterprises' undertaking has declined, and textile export enterprises mainly focus on short and medium orders.
Three, the next forecast of foreign trade index
For the export situation in August this year, the industry analysts believe that although the global economic recovery this year is not as strong as expected, the overall performance of the international market is stable and weak, but the export environment of China's textile industry is basically good. From the perspective of development trend, with the gradual recovery of the benign effect of economic recovery on the consumer market, the export growth rate of China's textile industry is expected to show a trend of shock recovery. Through positive structural adjustment, the foreign trade will enhance the level of innovation in the manufacturing industry, appropriately reduce costs, keep the exchange rate stable, and introduce some measures to facilitate customs clearance. The improvement of exports should be a big probability event, but we can not expect foreign trade to return to the track of high growth. The problems of resources and environment, labor costs and other issues are still outstanding, which will affect the sustainable development of China's textile industry.
Weak market turnover upward shock, price index slightly upward trend
The 20140804 phase price index analyzes the 20140804 textile price index of China Keqiao textile index at 104.26 points, an increase of 0.07% over the previous month, a decrease of 1.29% compared with the beginning of the year, and a decrease of 1.56% over the same period last year.
First, raw materials fell slightly, prices fell steadily.
According to the monitoring, the price index of raw materials was reported at 87.76 points, down 0.17%, down 4.17% compared with the beginning of the year, down 5.32% from the same period.
1. polyester raw materials more obvious shocks, polyester market declined slightly
Polyester raw materials price index fell slightly, some DTY polyester market prices downward trend, FDY quotes were stable, total turnover and last week has dropped. Judging from the variety of transactions, FDY75D's sales are flat, and the quotation is temporary.
2. nylon slow rising acrylic fiber is strong, spandex market is weak.
Domestic acrylonitrile market manufacturers have issued the initial listing price in early August. At present, except for the slight increase in the price of some brands, the other varieties are flat compared with the 7 mid month listing price. The overall load level of the acrylic fiber market is improved, but the downstream market keeps normal demand, and the price of the acrylic fiber market is relatively strong.
Two, grey cloth market rebounded, prices picked up slightly.
The price index of grey fabric has picked up slightly. At present, although the textile business is in the traditional off-season, the local margin has increased slightly, and the demand for autumn cloth has increased slightly.
Three, clothing fabric litres, prices rebounded slightly
The price index of clothing fabrics has picked up slightly. Although the summer is off season, the sales of summer wear fabrics have dropped, the autumn fabrics have increased, and the spot business has recovered.
Four, home textile transactions fell, the price index fell slightly.
Home textile prices index fell slightly, bedding transactions fell slightly, polyester, cotton, T/C polyester cotton printed sheets, quilt cloth transaction volume decreased, the price index fell slightly.
Five, market demand growth, excipient index litres.
Clothes & Accessories The price index of accessories increased slightly, due to the increase of clothing orders in the autumn, the linings category increased significantly, the price index increased considerably, the rope class transactions rebounded significantly, the price index increased considerably, the overall supply and demand increased, the orders increased, the price index increased slightly, the price index rose slightly, the flower edge class turnover rose slightly, the price index increased slightly, and the overall price index of clothing accessories increased slightly.
It is expected that the overall market situation of the textile city will be a shock pattern next year. As the textile market is still in the off-season stage, the sales of fabrics will continue to decline in summer, but the demand for fabrics will continue to shrink, and the market demand will continue to shrink.
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