Gui Haoming: The Market Is Stronger Than Expected.
Now, the situation is better than expected. On the two trading day, the general trend of the stock market is relatively stable, and shows a rebound trend. Turnover is still at a low level, and the stock market has corresponding activity.
Many investors are concerned about this situation: after the introduction of stock options, although the paction is not very active, the turnover is not high, but the trend of its varieties is quite rational, it is not difficult to see that the participants are optimistic about the expectations of the future market.
Because of this, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50ETF as an option has also risen, and has driven the strength of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index 50.
In the past month, the trend of Shanghai 50 index is relatively weak, which is also an important factor leading to the end of the stock index's monthly line.
Now that index is picking up, it has played a positive role in restoring investor confidence.
In addition, although the early two consecutive weeks of more than 4% decline has indeed cast a shadow on the operation of the market, but most investors still believe that the current round of market has not finished, the basic conditions to support the market upward has not fundamentally changed.
In particular, it is now approaching the Spring Festival holiday, buying stocks at this time in history. After the Spring Festival, most of the stocks will be recovered.
Therefore, most people will consider the former when holding a festival or holding money.
As for the pressure on the old stock market caused by the issuance of new shares, this is indeed a problem, but after the announcement of the last week's announcement, the stock market has been opened too high, giving many ready to cash in.
capital
It provides excellent shipping opportunities.
So when it comes to issuing new shares, the pressure is not so big.
Further, before the Spring Festival, new IPO is issued, and only one of these two factors usually occurs.
Repo rate
It will skyrocket, but this time the two factors stack up, but the repo rate is not rising much.
This also reflects a considerable level of market capital from a level.
This can explain why the news of the contraction of capital levers has not been very intense in the market.
In other words, it also shows that this wave of capital driven market has its inherent realistic basis.
Think about it. Now the real economy is not ideal, which hinders the flow of capital in this direction.
Although the stock market has risen a lot, but this time the callback is also more, and soon to the distribution season.
It has a corresponding appeal to external funds.
In fact, over the past few years, QFII, RQFII and Shanghai and Hong Kong have bought a lot of shares. This may also suggest a certain attitude of OTC funds to the stock market.
Perhaps it is precisely because of these factors that the market which was originally considered to be plunging is actually better than expected.
Because of this, investors now anticipate that after the peak of the IPO, the stock market is likely to rebound further and usher in the Spring Festival.
In fact,
Investor
What should be seen is that the stock market did rise too fast some time ago, and the leverage of the fund could also be used too much. Therefore, a certain degree of adjustment is normal.
However, the general pattern of the market has not changed. Therefore, even if some negative factors appear, they will not change the upward trend of the market.
The market shock brought by the IPO is not the first time. The irregularities in credit pactions have been investigated several times, and people have made more preparations for it.
And the introduction of stock options objectively enhances the strength of doing more. Therefore, the market is less adjusted than people expect and can rebound quickly, objectively speaking, there are sufficient reasons.
In view of this, a modest rebound will be launched in the future market, with a more balanced stock market as the main line, so that the stock index will gradually recover its lost short-term average, which is likely to happen.
Because of this, investors should now put in a positive attitude and embrace the spring market.
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