Employee Stock Ownership Concept Stocks May Become Active Again And Again
Recently, the SME Board Index and the GEM Index have formed a trend that echoes each other. This is mainly because some listed companies in the small and medium-sized board also have the glory of emerging industries through extensive mergers and acquisitions and integration, such as Baiyuan Pants, New Century, Santai Holdings, etc. They are either involved in the field of mobile Internet through mergers and acquisitions, or involved in emerging industries such as biotechnology and new energy powered vehicles through business expansion. Therefore, in the context of the popularity of emerging industries, the small and medium-sized board index has also quickly gained popularity, becoming a major highlight of the recent A-share market.
However, with the recent recuperation of emerging industrial stocks, the adjustment pressure of short-term small and medium-sized board indexes has also increased. However, the future is bright, especially from the medium-term trend, the liquidity of the A-share market is still optimistic, so the medium-term trend of the SME board is not too pessimistic. Therefore, it is still a lesson for investors to make use of each adjustment to attract the advantageous strong stocks.
At present, there are two types of stocks that can be tracked. First, the industry trend is relatively certain to grow in varieties, including Sanquan Food and Macuire in the food and beverage industry. The second is the concept stock of employee stock ownership plan. Employee stock ownership plan is actually an extension of shareholder stock ownership plan. Because in previous years, the increase of large shareholders' shareholding has become an effective factor for the rise of stock prices in the secondary market. Because all major shareholders actively increase their holdings in the secondary market, which reflects that major shareholders are optimistic about the prospect of the evolution trend of the performance of listed companies, and then there is a strong upward trend.
But let listed company There are many factors that make performance truly optimistic, among which, staff Our efforts occupy a very important position. And the efforts of employees come from effective incentives. Equity incentive mechanism and employees Shareholding plan It was also introduced. Therefore, the concept stock of employee stock ownership plan is worth tracking. In addition, it is also advisable to actively track the increase in the secondary market holdings of executives who also belong to the ranks of employees.
Because they can, from the perspective of industrial strategy, launch industrial development plans that match the company's development characteristics, and even do not rule out the possibility of integration and acquisition in the near future. For example, Hager Communications launched its shareholding increase and employee stock ownership plan in November 2014, and launched its suspension plan on January 26, 2015. Investors can track individual stocks such as Julun Shares and Balin Technology.
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The GEM index broke through 2000 points this week, reaching a peak of 2032 points. At the same time, the daily turnover rose to 85 billion yuan, a record high. How do investors view such a hot GEM market? Is it a historic opportunity or a huge risk after 2000?
Since 2015, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index has maintained a wide range of fluctuations between 3000 points and 3400 points, but the GEM index is unique. From the low point of 1429 at the beginning of the year, the GEM index has gone all the way to overcome difficulties. This week, the high point was moved up to above 2000 points, reaching 2032 points. However, after a series of upward movements, the GEM index showed a rapid decline on Thursday and Friday this week. So, is 2000 on the GEM a flash in the pan, or is it a normal retracement in the medium and long-term upward trend?
What's your opinion on the medium-term trend after the GEM index broke through 2000? The survey results show that the number of votes for "it is difficult to stand above 2000", "2000 is a new starting point rather than an end point" and "unclear" were 441, 504 and 215 respectively, accounting for 38.02%, 43.45% and 18.53% of the votes respectively. From the survey results, investors have significant differences on the medium-term trend of the GEM. Investors who are bullish on the GEM are only 5 percentage points higher than those who are bearish on the GEM. The huge differences between long and short may indicate that there will still be big fluctuations in the future market.
Investors have different opinions on the medium and long-term trend of the GEM. Do they also have different judgments on the short-term trend of the GEM?
The survey on "What's your opinion on the short-term trend of GEM index. From the survey results, although the proportion of investors who believe that the GEM will strengthen in the short term does not exceed 40%, by contrast, the proportion who believe that the GEM will be significantly adjusted is about 9 percentage points higher. Obviously, bullish investors have a certain advantage when the GEM continues to rise. Considering that the time of this survey is Thursday, many investors did not expect the rapid adjustment of GEM on Friday in advance.
From the daily K line chart, the GEM index directly tests the 10 day moving average after crossing the 5 day moving average. The 20 day moving average, which twice supported the GEM index in the first ten days of February this year, will move up 10 points every day next week. Whether the GEM will stabilize on the 10 day moving average or continue to look down for support, waiting for the market to give an answer next week.
In recent years, the trend of GEM index is obviously stronger than that of SMEs and Shanghai and Shenzhen main boards. Is the growth of GEM stronger than that of SMEs?
The survey on "Do you think the growth of the GEM must be higher than that of the SME board?" shows that the number of votes for "yes", "no" and "unclear" is 360, 633 and 167 respectively, accounting for 31.03%, 54.57% and 14.40% of the votes respectively. From the survey results, although 30% of investors think that the growth advantage of the GEM is more obvious, more than 50% of investors do not agree that the growth of the GEM will be more significant.
In fact, according to the statistics of the net profits of GEM and SME board listed companies from 2011 to 2014, the net profits of SME board companies in 2012 fell by about 9% compared with 2011, and the net profits in 2013 rose by about 7% compared with 2012; The net profit of GEM companies in 2012 fell by about 6% compared with 2011, and the net profit in 2013 rose by about 10% compared with 2012. The growth rate of net profit of companies on the SME Board and the GEM, which have announced their performance forecasts for 2014, is about 15% and 20% respectively. From the data in recent years, the performance of the GEM is slightly better than that of the SME board, but the growth advantage is not obvious. What's more, in recent two years, the M&A and reorganization of the GEM and the SME board have prevailed, which has boosted the performance growth to a certain extent, so neither the SME board nor the GEM has shown growth advantages.
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