Gui Haoming: You Can Be Very Optimistic About The Future Market.
Following the sharp rise in the stock market on Monday, and the Shanghai stock index hit a new high in the year, Tuesday's market continued to strong upward, and the highest index climbed to 3504 points, breaking through the high rebound point of 3478 points set in August 2009, and opened up the upward space in form.
Correspondingly, the paction volume of the two cities on the same day once again exceeded 11000 billion yuan, forming a trend of increasing price.
The stock market continues to rise and constantly rewrite the record highs, reflecting that the market is in a strong position.
However, there are some noteworthy trends from the disk side.
For example, the previous trend has been very strong gem, the same day, although the decline is not very large, but in the trend is against the general trend, indicating that the plate has a small adjustment pressure.
And when the growth enterprise market falls, the main board and small and medium-sized boards also have corresponding callbacks. Other plate indexes generally have to erase most of the previous gains.
It can be seen that in the case of the index's impact on the integer closing position, and at the same time the cumulative increase is relatively large, the market can not ignore the inherent adjustment pressure.
Of course, this pressure was finally resolved in the face of the strong motherboard, especially the pportation, steel, defense, military and non silver finance 4 plates rose, stabilized the market.
However, after all, these plates are poor in overall quality and need to observe whether they can continue to lead.
In particular, the climax of the new issue has passed, and the purchase funds have basically been thawed. Whether there is incremental capital to enter the market is not too sure at the moment.
In addition, there are many similar varieties of gem in the form, and in other words, with the further deepening of the market, the adjustment pressure of related stocks will increase further.
So it is hard to say that after 3400 points on the index station, we can quickly expand space.
In the futures trading on Tuesday after the close of the stock market, the short positions were clear.
The air side chose to compensate for the loss, which also led to the further rise of the futures index. This pattern will undoubtedly affect the disk of the day after tomorrow. Now it seems that big funds tend to do more and make full use of all kinds of financial derivatives to operate, which strengthens the upward atmosphere of the market.
And this kind of
pattern
Obviously, it can not be changed in a short time, so the market outlook can be optimistic.
It is only in this general case that the market is optimistic.
reason
It is necessary for investors to prepare for possible adjustments.
From past experience, the index for integer break through, there will be repeated.
The adjustment that has already appeared in gem has actually sent a signal of strong variety with callbacks.
Of course, if the peripheral capital continues to enter the market in large quantities, and the blue chips continue to exert force, then the adjustment of the gem will not have any impact on the market trend, and the stock index will continue to accelerate upward.
However, the possibility of this situation appears to be small, as long as the paction can not be maintained at the trillions of levels, the mainstream.
Blue chips
Also can not effectively break the previous high point, then it may lead to the market continues to shock, and does not rule out the Shanghai Composite Index and other callbacks.
After this wave of market rising, the stock index daily line has had two times seven even the Yang, but now the stock index has been five Lian Yang, the synthesis factor analysis, again seven even the possibility of Yang is not big.
Even if there is, the space is limited.
That is to say, phased adjustment may appear in the near future.
Of course, there is no need to worry too much about the relay adjustment in the uplink process.
But if this is still very aggressive, it may not be the safest investment strategy.
Constantly accelerating the market is exciting, and the stock market is more intoxicating.
The author believes that it is necessary to remain sober here, and it is necessary to avoid possible adjustment risks, even though it can be very optimistic about the future market.
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