PTA Warehouse Receipts Continue To Climb High Positions Do Not Have To Worry Too Much.

In March 20th, Zhengshang announced 3 new delivery brands, 1 inspection free brands and 5 deliveries (6 new libraries, suspended an old library).

"

Increasing brand can fully meet the delivery needs of the market and meet market expectations.

Wang Yuanyuan, an analyst with Yongan futures, believes that it is a concrete manifestation of the exchange to serve the real economy and meet the needs of the market in order to exclude rules and regulations for participants in a fair and fair manner.

"The stock exchange has actively responded to the problem of insufficient storage capacity and stabilized the market's unease."

Many people in the industry say that the expansion of the delivery repository is a market-oriented measure synchronized with the spot market, which alleviated the market to a certain extent.

Problems of concern.

"There are many intertemporal arbitrage, cross variety arbitrage funds and some hedge funds in the current PTA1505 contract. As the delivery date approaches and the margin of the exchange rises, these contracts will increase.

It will speed up the evacuation and do not have to worry too much about the current high position. "

Wang Guangqian said.

Due to the critical period of shifting the warehouse for the month, and the price difference between the PTA1505 contract and the 1509 contract is near 160 yuan / ton, part of the arbitrage funds can buy 5 to sell 9.

In Wang Yuanyuan's view, the arbitrage of multiple arbitrage warrants can reduce the cost of arbitrage, and PTA1505 contracts may have huge deliveries.

But this may not create pressure on the spot market.

"Due to the centralized cancellation of the warehouse receipts in September, when the stock market in the spot market is higher, the warehouse price will be dragged down after the cancellation of the warehouse receipt."

Wang Yuanyuan said.

Related links:

It is a wise move to encourage other high-income crops to be planted in areas where cotton is low.

In recent years, news about cotton farmers' growing cotton has not been profitable, especially since last year, the state no longer bought and sold cotton prices.

Where is the way out for the cotton industry? How to adjust the structure? Recently, the reporter conducted in-depth interviews on this topic.

Since 2013, cotton production has been in a predicament. In that year, the charm of "emperor's daughter and snow white" was dim.

Wu Renming, director of the Bureau of grain and oil, Changde Bureau of agriculture, analyzed cotton production for four reasons.

Reason 1: severe climate loss causes serious reduction.

The hot and dry weather from 6 to August in 2013, the heavy rain in from August 23rd to 25th and the continuous rainy weather in early September resulted in a significant reduction in autumn peach and a large number of rotten bolls in the later stage.

The long rainy weather from 5 to June in 2014 led to the prolongation of the seedling stage, the stunted growth and development, the poor overall growth of cotton, the low temperature in August, and the rainy weather in September, which affected the Bolling rate of cotton, and reduced the number of autumn peach and late autumn peach, and increased the number of rotten bolls, resulting in a serious reduction in cotton yield than in normal years.

Reason two: cotton prices continue to fall.

In the early 2011, after the domestic cotton market was difficult to sell, in order to protect the interests of farmers, the state implemented a temporary cotton purchase and storage policy for 3 consecutive years, resulting in a huge increase in state reserves.

So far, the stock of China's reserve cotton management company is more than 11 million tons, while domestic cotton consumption is only 600 to 8 million tons per year, forming a situation that supplies far more than sales.

Because of the difference between domestic and international price mechanism, the difference between domestic and international cotton price spreads is quite large.

In 2014, the state adjusted the relevant policies, and domestic cotton prices began to go down all the way.

To achieve domestic cotton prices in line with international prices, there is still a big drop in domestic prices.

Reason three: the state has made a major adjustment to the cotton purchase and storage policy, that is, "cancel the temporary cotton storage and purchase, and start the pilot project of cotton target price subsidies in Xinjiang".

In recent years, affected by temporary purchasing and storage, the development of cotton industry has shown a special form. In the market, cotton can not be found, and cotton storage has become the only way. Under the pattern of excessive concentration of cotton, the risk of cotton regulation is too high, the price is high, the price is high, the price is low and the farmers are injured.

At present, the government needs to unload the burden gradually, so that the cotton industry will steadily return to the market and the cotton price will be determined by the market.

Reason four: the rural labor force has been greatly reduced. However, the cotton production season is longer and the labor cost is much higher.

At present, the main labor force of cotton planting in our city is the elderly and women. There is a widespread shortage of labor. It is very difficult to achieve the traditional intensive cultivation mode for cotton planting.

Cotton growing is due to the long growth cycle, and it belongs to the crop which needs more labor. Moreover, the price of labor is rising constantly, resulting in the rising cost of labor, which affects the benefit of cotton planting.