The Raw Material Atmosphere Of The Yarn Is Gradually Changing.
First, cotton: after now, cotton has been performing poorly both in futures and in cash, and prices have kept steady and small.
Entering the April, although the market is sometimes volatile, in the middle of April, the NDRC announced that Xinjiang cotton target price in 2015 was set at 19100 yuan / ton, which gradually made the mentality stable and stable, and the price of the cotton yarn was slightly deadlocked. The shipment volume of cotton yarn in some areas has improved, such as Jiangsu.
But at home and abroad, the enthusiasm of cotton producers and cotton mills is still hard to lift, and the cautious mentality is getting stronger.
Spot on the surface "calm", although some cotton enterprises in the actual decline in the supply of higher cotton and other energy costs, some shipments are carefully, but cotton enterprises because of the middle and lower reaches of yarn, fabric has been plain and difficult to improve and psychological pressure, etc., more wait and see psychology.
To this end, the market has been in a helplessness of the pattern, hovering around the main fatigue, price stability and fatigue ahead, the mainland 329 lint mainstream to the factory price is always around 13700 yuan / ton up and down.
In May, though cotton was relatively lower than domestic cotton stocks (mainly high-end goods), the number of cotton watching cotton in Xinjiang increased gradually. Other raw materials such as polyester staple fiber and viscose staple fiber rose quite a bit. But futures performance was not actively cooperating, and the relative fatigue and oscillation trend was the main trend. For example, Zheng cotton CF505 closed at 13180 yuan / ton in May 4th, CF505 at 13155 yuan / ton in May 6th, and CF505 at 12960 yuan / ton in May 8th.
Market outlook: cotton yarn Market in recent years has been slightly lower than that in April, and manufacturers are unstable. It is hard to cut down the prices. Although prices remain stable, the corresponding situation is weak. At present, the mainstream price of Shaoxing 32S combs is about 20550 yuan / ton, and the ICE phase cotton weakness is wandering. Cotton mills' mentality is cautious and so on. To a certain extent, it is difficult for the cotton market to get out of the "hesitation" state.
Two, polyester staple fiber: after entering the April, it was greatly unexpected. Its performance was more turbulent and active. It was popular after many times, and the quotation was frequently increased, which made the industry unprepared.
Especially after a few days after the Qingming Festival, it was mainly due to the PX explosion in Gure, Fujian on the evening of the 6 day. On the 7 day, the raw materials of polyester raw materials rose sharply, and the price of raw polyester staple fiber also rose sharply. The price of the mainstream 1.4Dx38mm in Jiangsu and Zhejiang rose to 6900 yuan / ton from the beginning of the month, rising to 7650 yuan / ton, and the total price rose by 700 yuan / ton.
The middle of the month is steady, the atmosphere is general, and the volume of shipment is slowing down.
But in the second half of the year, it turned out to be a turning point. On the 21 day, the explosion of MEG workshop in Nanjing factory once again stimulated polyester to rise. The mainstream trading price of Jiangsu and Zhejiang rose to 8150 yuan / ton, and this month the total price rose by 1200-1300 yuan / ton in the month of.
In May, the price of upstream polyester raw materials weakened.
Psf
Looked weak, gradually lost support point, short fiber manufacturers shipped slightly higher prices, slightly soft.
Despite the occasional rise in raw materials and short term effects, the overall increase in prices is not small.
cautious
The demand in the middle and lower reaches is flat compared with that in the early stage. The main center of 1.4Dx38mm polyester staple in Jiangsu and Zhejiang is priced at 8050 yuan / ton.
Forecast for the future market: relatively speaking, the market in April was more optimistic, but in May it was relatively low in the current downstream market. Shipments in the cotton mill were obviously slowed down, stocks rose slightly, and the mentality of traders was much more cautious.
Judging from the upstream raw materials, under the unstable crude oil, although the market volatility will continue, but in the short term, the staple fiber will be stabilized and collate.
Three.
Viscose staple fiber
This year viscose staple market quotation is a bit of a day, mainly in April, viscose staple fiber prices have been stable almost always, the mentality is good, the price is strong, the situation is obvious.
In May, the relative growth of 1.5x38mm viscose was slightly slower. The price of viscose staple fiber from the beginning of April was 11450 yuan / ton from the mainstream in the early April. It has continuously risen to the current mainstream price of RMB 12550 yuan / ton, increasing by more than 1000 yuan / ton.
For the viscose staple, the main factor is that the price of viscose short fiber has fallen last year, the shortage of short fiber manufacturers is obvious, and the measures of limited price are taken, the phenomenon of expanding and increasing production has been obviously restrained, and the total output of viscose short fiber has begun to decline.
Under such circumstances, the viscose staple fiber market has been effective this year, and the supply volume has dropped.
On the other hand, the 4-5 month is the traditional textile peak season, especially the cotton cloth. This is the peak season for production. The demand for cotton yarn demand has increased in weaving mills. Plus, "there must be a drop in prices." the cotton producers keep the cost margin. Whether it is the increase in merchant or factory replenishment quantity and the improvement of cotton yarn sales, the demand for raw viscose staple fiber in cotton mill has increased, and the enthusiasm for purchase has increased.
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