The Main Reason For The Current Economic Downturn Is Not To Strengthen The Environmental Fashion Industry.

"Environmental protection is a factor affecting the economy, but it is not a major factor affecting the current economic downturn."

Li Zuojun, deputy director of the Institute of resources and environmental policy of the State Council Development Research Center, is also the basic judgement of an analysis report just completed by the Ministry of environmental protection.

Chen Sheng, deputy director of the science and Technology Department of the Ministry of environmental protection, said that in two months, they organized technical experts through field research and empirical analysis to form an analysis report on the impact of environmental protection on the economy under the new normal.

The report shows that the short-term impact of environmental protection on the economy is mainly due to the elimination of backward production capacity resulting in GDP reduction.

According to the macro calculation and study, during the "11th Five-Year" period, China increased energy conservation and emission reduction efforts, vigorously eliminated backward production capacity, and accumulated a total of GDP1869 billion yuan, which accounted for 0.12% of the GDP in the same period, with little impact.

After the implementation of the action plan for air pollution control, the elimination of backward production capacity resulted in a decrease of GDP of about 114 billion 800 million yuan, accounting for 0.03% of GDP in the same period, of which the steelmaking industry decreased by 81 billion 200 million yuan, with a smaller overall impact.

The report also pointed out that although the results of macro calculations reflect some of the negative impacts of some environmental protection measures on China's economy, it is only in the short term that it has played a leading role in the development of new industries such as thermal power, steel, cement, flat glass and so on, and has played a leading role in the development of new industries such as modern service industry, environmental protection industry and equipment manufacturing industry, and has significantly improved the industrial structure.

According to the on-the-spot investigation of Tangshan, in recent two years, Tangshan City has continuously intensified its efforts to prevent and control air pollution, and the number of enterprises banned by the market and environmental protection has reached 2382, which has had a certain impact on the economy in the short term.

After preliminary calculation, the iron and steel industry closed down, affecting the current price output value of 27 billion 650 million yuan, accounting for 6.4% of the total output value of the steel industry; the closure of the cement industry affected the current price output value of 650 million yuan, accounting for 2.5% of the total output value of the cement industry; the coking industry closed down 6, affecting the current price output value of 4 billion 730 million yuan, accounting for 9.5% of the total output value of the coking industry.

The total tax revenue of the above enterprises is 1 billion 846 million yuan.

Although in the short term, Tangshan City's economy has been negatively affected, the main reason lies in the fact that Tangshan City's industrial structure tends to converge, its industrial chain is short, its product grades are low, its competitiveness is not strong, and the prices of traditional industries are all down.

A rational view of the overall and local, long-term and short-term relations between environmental protection and economic development is a "recognition" that must be achieved in environmental protection and economic development.

If we fail to pass this barrier, we will inevitably have doubts like this or that.

"China is ushering in the era of green development, which is also the trend of world development."

Hu Angang, Dean of the Institute of national conditions of Tsinghua University, said that after entering the new normal, the Chinese economy has shown several important innovations. First, the green development goal has been put forward. For the first time in this year's government work report, energy conservation and emissions of major pollutants are included in the main objectives of the annual national economic and social development.

Hu Angang said that from "11th Five-Year" to "12th Five-Year" and then to "13th Five-Year", we are heading towards the stage of decoupling total emission reduction from economic development. Although environmental quality improvement is still somewhat difficult, we will explore a way for emerging economies to become a country with good environmental governance.

Wang Jinnan believes that the importance of environmental protection in promoting economic development is to enhance the driving force of green.

"We need to increase green technology innovation, increase effective investment in environmental protection, promote the development of green economy with environmental protection input, improve the mechanism of environmental protection marketization, and create new economic growth points."

With the ever increasing environmental protection and strict environmental protection standards, if there is no feasible, reliable and stable management technology, enterprises will have more than enough strength to meet the new emission standards.

To this end, we should speed up R & D and promotion of new technologies for energy conservation and environmental protection, and strive to solve the bottleneck of environmental technology.

Wang Jinnan suggested that, combined with the major national strategies such as "one belt and one road", coordinated development of Beijing Tianjin Hebei region and the Yangtze River economic belt, we should take 3 ten and "13th Five-Year" plans for gas and water as the starting point, and formulate and implement 8 major engineering systems, namely, green and clean energy, air pollution prevention, water pollution prevention, soil environmental protection, solid waste recycling, comprehensive improvement of rural environment, ecological protection and construction projects, and intelligent environmental protection.

The above analysis report of the Ministry of environmental protection also suggests the establishment of the national green environmental protection industry development fund, adopting the mode of cooperation between the government and social capital (PPP) and the third party mode of environmental pollution.

Strict environment

Legislation and the establishment of a fair competition environment have become the general consensus of experts.

In addition, in order to minimize the negative impact of environmental protection on the economy, we should combine the combination of dredging and blocking, and strengthen relevant environmental protection efforts to establish and improve relevant safeguards policies so as to help the government and enterprises tide over the difficulties.

Wang Jinnan introduced more data: according to estimates, the implementation of the "ten atmosphere" will stimulate China's GDP growth of 1 trillion and 940 billion yuan, and increase employment of 1 million 960 thousand people.

The implementation of the "water ten item" needs total investment of 4 trillion and 600 billion yuan in environmental protection, driving GDP to increase by 5 trillion and 700 billion yuan, and accumulatively increasing the number of non-agricultural employment about 4 million people, and driving the energy conservation and environmental protection industry output value to exceed 1 trillion and 900 billion yuan.

"At the macro level, China's increasing annual environmental investment has played a more positive role in boosting economic development, stimulating domestic demand and increasing employment."

Wang Jinnan said.

In addition, strict

The regulation will phase out industries with high energy consumption and high pollution and drive industrial pformation and upgrading.

The data showed that during the "11th Five-Year" period, the proportion of China's backward production capacity was reduced by 0.36%, the proportion of pollution intensive industries dropped by 0.39%, and the proportion of the third industry increased by 0.24%.

The implementation of "ten atmosphere" and "ten water" will play a significant role in optimizing the industrial structure. The proportion of high polluting industries such as thermal power, steel, cement and chemical industry has dropped significantly, and the proportion of new industries such as high-tech, equipment manufacturing and environmental protection industries involved in air and water treatment will rise.

Wang Jinnan further pointed out that in Zhejiang Province, by improving environmental protection standards, the government closed down 224 lead-acid battery enterprises, and the total output value of the battery industry in this province did not drop, increasing by 41.3% compared with before the regulation, and the profit increased by 75%.

Bi Jun, Dean of the school of environment at Nanjing University, said that some studies in China showed that when the environmental control cost increased by 1%, the R & D input intensity, the number of patents authorized and the sales revenue of new products increased by 0.12%, 0.30% and 0.22% respectively.

The direct contribution to the economy is the environmental protection industry.

The development of energy saving and environmental protection industry brings new economic growth points.

It is estimated that the implementation of the "water ten item" will directly invest in the purchase of environmental protection products and services to 13926 billion yuan, and indirectly drive the output value of the environmental protection industry to increase by 485 billion 600 million yuan.

According to another data, during the "12th Five-Year" period, China's energy saving and environmental protection industry grew at a speed of 15% to 20%, and the investment in renewable energy reached US $67 billion 700 million, ranking first in the world.

Taking Zibo as an example, in 2014, the city's environmental protection investment amounted to about 40000000000 yuan, and the increase in environmental protection investment stimulated the rapid development of the environmental protection industry. Under the pressure of economic downturn, the environmental protection industry in Zibo continued to maintain a growth rate of more than two digits, and made room for the development of high-end industries. The proportion of high-tech industries accounted for 30.7% of the above scale industries.