2015 Cotton Production Declines And Structural Contradiction Between Supply And Demand.

2015 domestic

The output and quality have aroused great concern, especially in the beginning of 2015.

The quality and quantity of specific cotton can not be accurately counted, but there is a big difference between the market value and the estimated value.

In the afternoon of September 25th, a forum was held in Akesu for the inspection and docking of mainland enterprises.

Li Cheng, general manager of cotton and hemp Co., Ltd., the first division of the Xinjiang production and Construction Corps, said that in 2015, the cotton planting cotton area of the autonomous region increased by about 5000000 mu, and the reduction was about about 500000 tons. According to the output of about 4500000 tons of cotton last year, cotton production should be about 4 million tons this year.

Affected by the high temperature in July, the cotton production in the early stage is expected to decrease by 5-10%. Now, according to the situation, the reduction rate should be 15-20%. If the yield is calculated by 20%, the lower limit of cotton production will be 3 million 200 thousand tons. If calculated according to 10%, the cotton yield limit should be 3 million 600 thousand tons.

Cotton production is expected to be around 320-360 tons.

In the case of a large decline in cotton production, cotton quality can not meet the needs of downstream textile enterprises.

The head of the procurement department of a textile enterprise said that from the northern Xinjiang to the southern Xinjiang, there was no new cotton that met the needs of enterprises.

Quality makes enterprises very worried.

Chinese cotton

Ye Jianchun, vice president of trade association, said that from 2002 to 2012, domestic cotton spinning capacity expanded from 40 million to 120 million spindles. In the process of scale expansion, the domestic cotton demand was 11 million tons, while the national cotton output was about 8 million tons, and domestic cotton production was in short supply.

It is understood that at this stage of development, textile enterprises in order to fight for limited cotton resources, and continuously reduce the quality of cotton demand, resulting in the domestic cotton production quality is getting lower and lower.

At present, although cotton

Quotas were restricted, but the import of cotton yarn was increased greatly. As of June, the import of cotton yarn was 1 million 200 thousand tons, which seriously affected the domestic low-end cotton yarn market.

In this situation, the domestic cotton textile industry increases the proportion of blended products on the one hand, on the other hand, adjusts the product structure to attack the high-end products, but high quality cotton materials can not meet the production needs of the enterprises.

Ye Jianchun said that the development of domestic cotton textile industry has been greatly affected by the global economic downturn in 2014. According to the statistics of China Cotton Textile Association, the actual opening rate of cotton textile enterprises in China in 2014 was 7000-8000 million ingots, and dropped to 5000-6000 million ingots in 2015, and the demand dropped sharply.

First, a large number of low-quality cotton is not available; two, the supply of high-quality cotton is in short supply, and the structural contradiction between supply and demand of cotton is extremely prominent.

It is reported that the total length of cotton in Northern Xinjiang last year was between 27-29mm. This year, cotton is affected by high temperature and low temperature. The quality of cotton is greatly affected. Especially in southern Xinjiang, from the current situation of public inspection data, a large number of cotton length is concentrated in 26-27mm, and the length of 28mm is relatively small.