Low Interest Rate Plus Market Capitalization Is Equivalent To Reversal. Do You Know?
The stock market is really changing. Only three months later, many people are still immersed in the panic and panic of the stock market crash. The cases related to the stock market crash have not yet dealt with the announcement. We suddenly found that the stock market atmosphere entered the fourth quarter, and the stock market and plate stocks showed positive signs.
Is this a rebound or a reversal? The reversal here is new.
bull market
It means that the Shanghai Composite Index has been adjusted repeatedly, and has finally reached the peak of 5180 this year through the inter annual quotations.
Is there any possibility of reversal? When the SFC announced that the IPO was allocated by market value Yaohao, when the CPI in October was 1.3 and the annulus ratio was negative, the author gradually came to the conclusion that the low interest rate plus the market value distribution equals the reversal, that is, the new round of bull market across the year.
A bull market will bear a bear market.
If the Shanghai Composite Index hits 6000 peaks next year, there will inevitably be a corresponding downward process of bear market.
When the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets enter the next round of bear market or stock market crash, it is too early to judge.
The question we need to consider at present is whether the probability of the bull market going to the bull market or the space to continue downward will be great during the period when the market capitalization is about to start and start. If the logical reasoning is established before, the fourth quarter is the best opportunity to enter the market, and it is an opportunity for the general market to rise across the year.
We only need to earn as much money as we can during the bull market and enjoy more banquets when we rise, so that we can have more resistance to wind and cold when the bear market comes.
The most sad thing about the stock market is that when the stock market takes the bull,
Investment
People are still immersed in the panic mentality of the bear market. They dare not buy goods and cannot enjoy the feast of the bull market. When the bull market reaches its peak, that is, in the latter stage, the hesitant becomes a brave person and goes to the last bull market to meet the next bear market.
There are so many investors in the stock market. It is commonly known that the judgment of the general trend is slow or slow. Then, of course, wealth does not concern you.
Low interest rate is one of the signs of entering a new era of reform and opening up. When the urban population rapidly surpasses the rural population, the per capita national income is 7 thousand US dollars, and changes to the middle and high income, low interest rates will promote universal financial management and universal stock speculation.
However, the stock market is risky. Many people want to be risk-free and have higher interest rates.
Rate of return
As a result, the subscription of new shares has become a very popular investment target for idle social funds.
This is an important reason why the price of new shares in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market is higher than that in old stock market.
Now, when the subscription of new shares is restored to the previous market capitalization, the payment after the lottery will appear as follows: as the market value of the market is up to tens of trillion, even if the number of new shares increases substantially, the rate of success is still very low according to the market value, and it is estimated that 4 shares, or 40 thousand of the market value, may be signed in new shares.
As a result, the price of the IPO will be much higher than that of the same plate, and the price of the old stock will rise differently.
Because new shares are often new industries or new technologies and new concepts, they will also lead to theme stocks and gem.
Therefore, the first 3 months or half a year after the issuance of new shares, the Shanghai Composite Index and the major sectors will probably create a new peak since the 5000 point.
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