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    China'S Foreign Trade Development Must Take Its Own Road

    2016/3/11 15:45:00 43

    ChinaForeign Trade And Economic Situation

    At the time of the national two sessions, the General Administration of Customs issued the import and export data in February as scheduled. The overall performance is still not satisfactory.

    On the whole, imports and exports, exports and imports in the first 2 months were down by 2 figures, 12.6%, 13.1% and 11.8% respectively.

    Only in February, if nominal performance is worse, imports and exports, exports and imports will drop by 15.7%, 20.6% and 8% respectively. Among them, apart from the external market downturn and the low price factor of commodity prices compared with the same period last year, there is another important factor, which is the dislocation of the Spring Festival holiday.

    According to the data released by the General Administration of customs, if the Spring Festival factor is deducted, the value of imports and exports, exports and imports in the month of February after the seasonally adjusted decline will be 2.9%, 0.8% and 5.5% respectively, which is basically in line with the current international and domestic situation.

    In March, more than CPI, imports and exports and other macroeconomic data have aroused global concern.

    Because this report is not only a summary of China's economic and social development in the past year, but also a development goal for the new year's work.

    Before the two sessions this year, there were media to take stock of the main goals of economic and social development determined by China's 2015 government work report. Of these 25 quantitative indicators, only the "import and export growth of about 6%" has not been achieved, or the actual situation has not yet reached the standard.

    Seeking truth from facts is not a major problem in China's foreign trade itself. Rather, many unexpected or unexpected events occurred in 2015, which led to the global trade market shrinking again after 7 years.

    For example, crude oil and other commodity prices fell off cliff, geopolitical drag on some parts of the economic turmoil.

    According to the latest figures released by the world trade organization, global exports decreased by 11% in 2015 (in dollar terms). China's exports fell by only 2.8%, while exports from the European Union, the United States and Japan decreased by 19.4%, 7.1% and 9.4%. Exports of India, Brazil, Russia and South Africa decreased by 17.2%, 15.1%, 31.6% and 11.5% respectively.

    In view of this, China's exports over the past year have been much better than traditional developed markets or emerging markets.

    In recent years, in the face of new changes in the pattern of global economic cooperation and competition, China has pushed ahead with a new round of high level opening to the outside world at the same time of deepening the reform in an all-round way.

    In the overall work of opening to the outside world this year, we have stressed the importance of constantly enhancing new momentum, adding new impetus and increasing innovation advantages in development, reform and competition.

    In particular, foreign trade, more clearly put forward to "

    Innovation-driven development

    "Innovation development" is also "

    The 13th Five-year

    One of the five major development ideas of China during the "13th Five-Year" period proposed in the planning proposal.

    For example, in 2015, China issued 7 policy documents related to the development of foreign trade. These policies and measures can further consolidate the land and give full play to the actual results.

    foreign trade

    The comprehensive service and cross border e-commerce development mode, after several years of trial, can be more flexible and diversified, allowing more products to go out of the country. As soon as this Spring Festival holiday is over, the State Council immediately replied to the advice on the development of service trade innovation, which can make China's trade structure more optimized. In terms of Customs convenience, it can also reduce the burden and cost of enterprises by reducing the inspection rate of export commodities, helping enterprises to enhance their international competitiveness. In the pformation and upgrading of domestic economy, it can also expand the import of advanced technology and equipment and key components, as well as the shortage of energy and raw materials, and at the same time provide protection for the supply side reform.

    Perhaps due to the increasing number of uncertainties in the global economy and external environment, the 2016 government work report did not set quantitative goals for China's foreign trade development, but put forward the four word requirement of "stabilization and improvement".

    The author believes that this practice is the performance of this government's pursuit of seeking truth from facts and respect for market rules.

    After all, foreign trade, especially exports, can not be decided by the Chinese government or Chinese enterprises, but not by strong buying and selling. It must follow and adapt to the changing laws and tempo of the global environment.

    However, I do not think that setting quantitative goals does not mean that we can do nothing.

    In accordance with the requirements of the key work of 2016 in the government work report this year, China's opening up work is highlighted by a new word, and foreign trade also needs to go out of a new path.

    Today's Global trade competition is more intense than ever. Although China's foreign trade scale has ranked first in the world, it must be clear that the effectiveness of traditional growth momentum of China's foreign trade is gradually decreasing, and the pformation of new growth momentum is increasingly urgent.

    Only by innovating and stepping out of a new road of development can China's foreign trade achieve more quality and more effective development on a new stage, so that we can truly realize the perfect pformation from "big to big" to "superior and superior".


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