Stock Market Interpretation: This Year'S Second Wave Of Rising Prices Began.

After a rebound in two or three months, the stock market weakened again in April, and the stock index fell below.

But even so, after entering the May, people still have a lot of expectations about the market.

Customarily, in May, there was a "red May" statement, which used to refer to many festivals in this month, but now it is expected that the stock market can rise this month, and the K line map shows a "red" color.

Quite a lot

There is a habit of catching up and killing, and keen to operate unilateral market. It is difficult for us to adapt to the trend of rising interest.

However, the realistic factors decide that at least now, this is not very realistic.

For the so called "red May", investors should have a rational cognition.

It should be said that the probability of the stock market rising in May this year is really quite large. After all, it dropped much in April, and now the index position is not high, which provides the imagination for the uplink of the May market.

On the last trading day of April, when the central government held a meeting to study the economic situation, it also focused on the stock market.

Healthy development.

The high-level statement is a great encouragement to investors, and we also feel the determination of the country to maintain market stability.

Sure enough, in the first trading day of May, the stock market pulled out the recent rare Zhongyang line, achieving a quantitative upside, and the stock index approached 3000 points.

In form, it shows a trend of trying to get rid of the situation of board and strength.

Some people in the market shouted: the second wave of price rises this year has begun.

But can the stock market really rise all the way in May? I'm afraid it's not that easy.

In fact, on the second trading day of May, the stock market began to weaken, suggesting that upward pressure is quite large.

Obviously, in terms of the current situation, rational investors simply can't see what the market is going to be.

The problem is also that there has been some instability in the peripheral market which has been stationary for some time. The abnormal fluctuation of the exchange rate market and the complex influence on the stock market caused by it are not only difficult to understand, but also bring about a great impact.

Some people say that the international capital market in May may not be so calm.

And China.

Now, the problem is that since the beginning of the year, the central bank has been constantly releasing water, making the liquidity in a relatively prosperous state, which has directly triggered the hot real estate market, and the rise of commodity prices represented by coke and rebar, which has played a positive role in improving the operation of some enterprises on a certain scale, and has also triggered a corresponding rise in the stock market.

However, the relevant data also show that the effective demand from the real economy is not showing significant growth. The impact of ample liquidity is mainly reflected in the capital market and the corresponding financial activities.

Of course, from a historical point of view, generally speaking, from the mobility to the real economy, the effective demand needs to be improved. There will be a conduction period. Therefore, it is not possible to conclude that the central bank's "drainage" measures are invalid, but it will take some time to really see the results.

It is impossible for the stock market to go out of a sustained rebound when investors are concerned about the economic recovery.

This is the case in April, which is still estimated in May.

Therefore, although the "red May" can not be expected too high, because the real economy has not yet been enough to support the stock market's obvious rise, the market can only be characterized by recovery and correction.

But after that, there should be another opportunity, especially in the second half of the year, when the economic recovery becomes clear.