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    The Stock Market Has Already Stabilized To A Greater Degree Of Divergence.

    2016/5/21 12:17:00 39

    Stock MarketEconomic SituationFinancial Market

    For now

    economic situation

    There are different claims, though different angles, but there is one thing in common: that is the stabilization stage after the macroeconomic decline this year.

    At present, in fact, it is the most painful and the darkest, but it is the last stage to go out.

    At this point, those of us who still remain in the stock market and stick to the stock market are waiting for the majority of people to leave the field and wait for the new lows to go again. Or do they lie down and wait for the stock market to stabilise and wait for the next peak?

    In the first half of 2015, GDP growth rate dropped from over 7% to 7%, and in the third quarter dropped to 6.93%. In the fourth quarter, it was estimated that only about 6.7% was calculated according to 6.9% annual data.

    From the trend line and slope of quarterly decline in GDP data in 2014, most experts predicted a 6.5% interval in the first quarter of this year, resulting in the first quarter GDP data of 6.7%, which is basically the same as the fourth quarter of 2015.

    This data is beyond the expectation of most experts. Optimists even predict that the economy will be U.

    However, the data in April did not show continued strength, because the GDP data were quarterly reports, and the market was plunged into pessimism or wait-and-see.

    However, for the current data itself, apart from different interpretations of different angles, GDP growth has gradually dropped to 6.5% intervals in the past few years and has stabilized. This conclusion is consistent with the "L" view.

    In the process of economic pformation, the heavy industry and the cyclical industry need to go to stock, adjust the structure, and the economic base has also increased.

    Gross domestic product

    70 trillion the size of RMB and 10 billion US dollars, so the annual average growth rate of 6% is a country with high growth rate.

    To maintain an increase of 6% and last for several years, we should say that it is stable for China and for the world economy.

    about

    equity market

    The judgement that has stabilized is quite different.

    This time, breaking 2800 points from 3070 points directly hit the market sentiment again.

    Most stock commentators in the market think that they will break 2638 points.

    In fact, the stock market is still in a relatively stable low box area.

    At the current price level, management's determination and measures for stability are becoming more and more obvious.

    On the new stock market, the pace will slow down, enterprises will be reduced every week, and the private managers' qualification examination will be relaxed in time.

    In the strict control of the non standard behavior in the backdoor reorganization, we should pay attention to different treatment.

    There are more and more signs and reports of the national team entering the stadium quietly.

    Hot stocks such as lithium-ion batteries, state owned assets reform and so on are coming one after another, and the market once again has massive decline and decline in kinetic energy.

    The most powerful reason is that the volume of pactions between Shanghai and Shenzhen has dropped to 1/10 of last year's peak.

    Many private-owned and large families withdrew from the market, and the market went to the stage of talking about stocks.

    Full warehouse or overdraft has become a rare and rare market.

    The market is panic, more panic than last year's stock market crash, less popular, and lower share price.

    All this shows that the market has dropped to the full since last year's 5178 drop.


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