"13Th Five-Year" Firmly Grasp The Top Priority Of Development And Do Not Relax.
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The 13th Five-year
The period is the decisive stage of building a well-off society in an all-round way.
Under the new normal situation of economic development, to implement the "13th Five-Year plan" outline and win the great victory of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects, we must firmly grasp this important task of development and vigorously promote it.
The structural reform of supply-side
To speed up the pformation of new and old development kinetic energy.
Firmly grasp the top priority of development and do not relax.
Since reform and opening up, after 30 years of sustained and rapid development, China's economic and social situation has undergone historic changes.
From 1978 to 2015, the total economic volume of our country expanded from 364 billion 500 million yuan to 67 trillion and 670 billion yuan, the rural poor population decreased from 250 million to 55 million 750 thousand, the incidence of poverty dropped from 30.7% to 5.7%, and the developing countries of about 1000000000 population solved the problem of food and clothing, and reached a well-off society as a whole, moving towards a well-off society in an all-round way.
These huge changes are the result of concentrating on developing the first priority over the years.
At present, the per capita gross national income of our country has reached nearly 8000 US dollars, which is at a critical stage of the middle upper income stage and the "middle income trap".
The task of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects and crossing the "middle income trap" has become a more difficult task.
Over the past several decades, world economic history shows that over 100 countries have changed from low income countries to middle income countries, but only a few countries have achieved a leap from middle income countries to high-income countries.
The next few years will be a critical period for China to stride beyond the threshold of income countries, and there should be no slack and loss.
If China's economic growth rate continues to be significantly higher than the world average in the coming period, and the exchange rate remains basically stable, there will be no suspense over the threshold of high-income countries; otherwise, it will take longer to reach the standards of high-income countries, or it may even widen the gap with high income countries over a long period of time.
Therefore, whether we are building a well-off society in an all-round way or crossing the "middle-income trap", we must grasp the priority task of development.
We must focus on economic development and maintain a reasonable economic growth rate.
In the overall layout of "five in one" of socialism with Chinese characteristics, economic construction is the center.
At present, China's economic development has entered a new normal, changing from high speed growth to medium and high speed growth. This accords with the law of world economic development and embodies the phased characteristics of China's development.
At the same time, we must realize that maintaining the reasonable speed of economic growth at this stage is not only necessary but also practical.
By 2020, the gross domestic product and the per capita income of urban and rural residents will be doubled than that in 2010, which is the goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way. To achieve this goal, the average annual economic growth rate in the next 5 years should be over 6.5%.
Steady growth is in the overall situation.
If the economic growth rate is too low to slip out of a reasonable interval, the livelihood security problems such as employment and residents' income distribution and financial risks and financial risks may all be highlighted.
But with the difficult recovery of the world economy and the downward pressure on the domestic economy, more than 6.5% of the rapid growth must be achieved through painstaking efforts.
Therefore, short-term macroeconomic regulation and control should attach great importance to steady growth, and make comprehensive use of various policy measures to ensure that the economic operation is in a reasonable range.
We must focus on improving the quality and efficiency of development and take the new development concept throughout the whole process of development.
The development we seek is to maintain a reasonable growth rate on the basis of improving quality and efficiency.
The fundamental way to achieve unity of speed and quality and efficiency is to implement the new development concept.
We must persist in innovation and development, thoroughly implement the strategy of innovation driven development, give full play to the leading role of scientific and technological innovation in overall innovation, enhance the ability of original innovation, integrated innovation, and introduce digestion and absorption and re innovation, speed up the pformation of innovation achievements into real productive forces, and continue to play the advantage of late development and achieve catch-up development, while creating more leading development based on innovation driven and more giving play to the first mover advantage.
We must adhere to coordinated development, further promote new urbanization and agricultural modernization, implement the coordinated development strategy of Beijing Tianjin Hebei and the development strategy of the Yangtze River economic belt, and continuously promote the coordinated development of the "four plates" in the East, central, West and northeast regions, and give full play to the development potential and enhance the development momentum in narrowing the gap and promoting coordination.
We should adhere to green development, promote green development and lifestyle, and double effective control over energy resources consumption, total emissions and intensity of major pollutants. We should cultivate the energy conservation and environmental protection industry into a pillar industry of the national economy, provide more high-quality ecological products for the masses, and strive to go out of a win-win way to develop the economy and protect the environment.
We must adhere to open development, improve the business environment of rule of law, internationalization and facilitation, promote orderly flow of domestic and international elements, efficiently deploy resources, and deepen market integration, create new advantages of China's participation in international cooperation and competition, and promote a new round of high-level opening up to the outside world to further deepen the reform and optimize and upgrade the industrial structure.
We must persist in sharing development, promote equalization of basic public services, win the battle against poverty, narrow the income gap, improve the social security system, and continuously enhance the overall development level, the overall income level and the overall living standard while continuing to enhance the fairness, universality and inclusiveness of development, so that people can gain more real sense of acquisition.
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Vigorously promote supply side structural reform
China's economic development has entered a new normal, facing the historical opportunity of pformation and upgrading and leaping development. It is also faced with many difficulties and challenges. It is concentrated on the downward pressure of the economy, the difficulties in production and operation, the prominent contradiction between the fiscal revenue and expenditure, and the increasing potential for financial risks.
These difficulties and challenges are the result of the combined effect of aggregate problems and structural problems.
The aggregate problem is characterized by insufficient demand, and the structural problem is mainly the supply side.
From the perspective of consumption demand and export demand, because the supply structure can not adapt well to the needs of consumption upgrading, in recent years, some domestic consumption demand has been satisfied in overseas shopping.
The decline of exports is not only affected by the environment of shrinking international trade, but also to a large extent the result of the obvious weakening of the traditional competitive advantage on the supply side due to the rising cost of labor and other factors.
Investment demand is for consumption and export, and is restricted by consumption and export demand.
Investment demand is bound to be restrained when the typical supply side problem is serious in some industries.
The growth rate of investment in China has dropped markedly in 2015, which fully proves this point.
Therefore, for China's economy, the structural problem is the main contradiction, and the structural problem on the supply side is the main aspect and the crux of the contradiction.
While moderately expanding the aggregate demand, we must focus on strengthening the structural reform of supply side, which is an inevitable requirement for our economy to fundamentally overcome difficulties and achieve stability. It is a major innovation to adapt and lead the new normal development of the economy.
The structural reform of supply side is essentially to adjust the structure, reduce inefficient supply and low end supply, expand effective supply and medium and high end supply, and increase public interest.
product
And the supply of public services, to enhance the adaptability and flexibility of supply structure to demand changes, so as to supply and demand synergy to promote economic development.
The main task of the structural reform of the supply side is to "go to the lower and fill the economy one by one", that is, to go to production capacity, to stockpile, to leverage, to reduce costs and to make up for the shortage of three.
To go to capacity is a difficult task. In the near future, we should focus on the steel and coal industries, actively and effectively resolve excess capacity and clean up "zombie enterprises".
We should pay attention to the use of economic, legal and other means, technology, safety and other standards to encourage enterprises to merge and reorganize, and less bankruptcy liquidation.
De inventory is mainly to gradually reduce the real estate inventory, improve housing consumption policy, effectively release the rigid housing demand and improve sexual demand, raise the proportion of monetization resettlement in urban shanty towns pformation, to meet the needs of new citizens as the main starting point, establish the housing system of purchasing and renting simultaneously, and gradually integrate eligible foreign population into the scope of urban public rental housing supply.
The supply and demand situation of the 1234 line cities in China is very different. We must adjust measures to local conditions and solve the problems of real estate inventory and improve real estate regulation.
In addition, there is also a problem of stock removal.
Deleveraging is to reduce the overall debt ratio of the national economy, especially the debt ratio of enterprises.
While maintaining the reasonable growth of the total scale of social financing, we should promote the development of multi-level capital markets, adjust the financing structure, gradually reduce the proportion of debt financing, and raise the proportion of equity financing.
Influenced by many factors, deleveraging may experience temporary leverage, stop leverage and gradual deleveraging.
We must do a good job in the local government's stock debt replacement work and implement the quota management for the total debt.
We should strengthen omnibearing financial supervision and prevent and defuse financial risks.
To reduce costs, we should start from many aspects, including preventing wage rises from exceeding labor productivity and perfecting the price formation mechanism to reduce the cost of energy consumption (electricity, gas and so on), and to standardize all kinds of charges related to enterprises, and to simplify and reduce social insurance and provident fund rates.
The compensation board is to make up for the weak links in economic and social development, to promote equalization of basic public services, to support technological upgrading and upgrading of equipment, to develop new industries, and to strengthen infrastructure construction in rural areas and central and western regions.
In particular, we must stick to precision poverty alleviation, accurately shake off poverty and fight poverty alleviation, and ensure that all poverty-stricken areas and poor people will enter a well-off society in an all-round way by the year 2020.
To push forward the structural reform of supply side, all regions and industries and related enterprises must resolutely implement the central principles and policies, handle their current and long-term relations with their own realities, creatively carry out their work, and formulate scientific and feasible plans and annual progress plans.
In particular, when doing "subtraction", we should pay attention to solving the problem of "man" and "debt", ensure the proper placement of workers and the overall social stability, and properly handle the relationship between creditor and debt, so as to ensure that there is no systemic regional financial risk.
While doing well in the work of "three ways, one down and one subsidy", more measures should be taken to increase efficiency and increase efficiency.
We should strengthen the innovation drive, release the entrepreneurial potential of the whole society, enable the structural reform of the supply side to have strong support for technological innovation, further promote decentralization, decentralization, and optimize services so as to make the market play a decisive role in the allocation of resources and better play the role of the government, fully stimulate market vitality and social creativity, improve the basic economic system, deepen the reform of state-owned enterprises, establish a new type of relationship between government and business featuring "pro" and "Qing" as the main feature, better stimulate the vitality of non-public sectors of the economy, and form a situation of equal competition and common development of all kinds of ownership economy.
Adopting these measures to increase efficiency can increase total factor productivity and constantly emancipate and develop social productive forces.
We should integrate supply side structural reform and demand management.
Supply and demand are two basic aspects of market economy.
Without demand, supply can not be realized; without supply, demand can not be satisfied.
New demand can generate new supply, and new supply can create new demand.
Supply management and demand management are two basic means of regulating the economy.
At present and in the coming period, we must focus on the main aspects of major contradictions and contradictions, and stress the structural reform of supply side. At the same time, we should do a good job in short-term regulation with demand management as the main content, solve the problem of total quantity, maintain stable operation of the economy, and make the supply side structural change and demand management complement each other and complement each other.
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Accelerating the conversion of new and old development kinetic energy
Just as a rocket is driven by multi-stage power, it enters a predetermined orbit, and the organism grows by metabolism. The economic development also needs the continuation of kinetic energy.
When the original kinetic energy is weakened, it is necessary to cultivate and expand the new kinetic energy, so that the economy can continue to develop at a reasonable rate.
The key to the pformation of new and old kinetic energy is to speed up the development of new kinetic energy.
We should nurture new technologies, new industries, new formats and new business models, and expand and develop high-tech industries, strategic emerging industries and modern service industries.
For example, we should support the development and standardization of sharing the economy, effectively activate and organize all kinds of resources that are scattered or inefficient in the whole country and even the whole world, so that more people can participate in and benefit more people, and support the research and development of virtual reality technology and products, so as to supply new creation and stimulate new demands.
The growth of new kinetic energy is often a process from scratch, from small to large, from weak to strong. We must be good at identifying new kinetic energy, carefully protect new kinetic energy, energetically cultivate new kinetic energy, enable the new kinetic energy to enter the orbit of accelerated growth as soon as possible, and compensate for the gap brought by the weakening of old kinetic energy as much as possible, and gradually become the initiative of economic development.
To realize the pformation of new and old kinetic energy, we should also focus on upgrading and upgrading traditional kinetic energy.
We should vigorously use modern science and technology and modern production and management mode to pform traditional manufacturing industry, traditional service industry and traditional agriculture, promote revolutionary changes in production mode, management mode and marketing mode, and promote significant upgrading of industrial chain, supply chain and value chain, so as to pform the traditional industry and renew vitality and vitality.
We should make full use of the historic opportunities brought by the new round of technological revolution and industrial pformation.
At present, a new round of technological revolution and industrial pformation is booming in the world. Information networks, biotechnology, artificial intelligence, clean energy, new materials and advanced manufacturing are developing a number of disruptive technologies, which will spawn major industrial changes.
The rise of intelligent manufacturing and green manufacturing will promote the pformation of manufacturing from mass production to customized and distributed production, and better meet the personalized and diversified needs of people.
In particular, with the rapid development of Internet +, new forms of cloud computing, Internet of things, industrial Internet, energy Internet, and vehicle networking have springing up. New technologies such as smart city, intelligent pportation, smart home, intelligent life and other new technologies have been constantly expanding, changing the production and life style of human beings in all directions.
The business opportunities brought by the new round of technological revolution and industrial change and its impact on the economy and society may be beyond many people's imagination.
In recent years, China's R & D investment has increased significantly, and its technological innovation capability has been continuously enhanced. In the field of basic science, frontier science and strategic high technology, we have obtained a number of important research results with international influence.
In particular, China has the largest number of Internet users in the world, the broadest broadband network and the fastest growing information consumer market, and Internet technology and its applications are developing rapidly.
In the face of the new situation, we must seize the historic opportunity and catch a new round of technological revolution.
We must strengthen the new generation of network infrastructure and promote the wide application and deep integration of modern information technology in various industries, so that "Internet +" will become an accelerator for the pformation of new and old energy.
We should give full play to the multiplier effect of integrating intelligence and power.
Our country has more than 1 billion 300 million population, 900 million labor force, 150 million all kinds of professional and technical personnel, graduating college students every year about 7000000, about half of them are science and engineering students. This is the vast human resources that other countries in the world are unable to compare with. It is the biggest cost of our development.
The outline of the 13th Five-Year plan clearly stated that "we should further promote public entrepreneurship and innovation."
The vigorous innovation of mass entrepreneurship is conducive to fostering the new driving force of economic development and the new advantages of international competition. It is conducive to expanding employment and adjusting the structure of income distribution, and promoting the vertical mobility of society and the pursuit of life value by individuals.
We should further improve policies, continue to simplify policies and decentralization, implement tax reduction and profit making, increase financing support, strengthen talent incentives, protect intellectual property rights, optimize entrepreneurial innovation services, create public innovation, crowdsourcing, public support, public funding platforms and all kinds of innovation space, create an innovative environment that is bold and tolerant, and strengthen international cooperation in Entrepreneurship and innovation, so that the creation potential of hundreds of millions of high-quality talents will be fully developed and become a powerful force to push forward development.
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