How To Break The Stock Market In The Year Of Monkey?

The stock market in 2016 is really hard to do. Since the beginning of the year, the dream of peach picking has not started at the 3500 point of the Shanghai Composite Index, and it has been knocked down by five of the two snub sticks.

It's hard to be scared at 3000, licking the wound, struggling through 145 trading days, hoping to make up for losses and struggles. However, turning over the books is still green and thin and full of losses.

From January 4, 2016 to July 31st, 2856 stocks rose in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, with 474 rising, excluding 70 new shares, with an increase of 404 from 29% to 0.05%, accounting for only 14.1% of the total.

After removing 11 companies, the remaining 2371 stocks accounted for 83.1% of the total.

According to the data of the flush sample, the loss of all shareholders in the first half of 2016 was 35953 yuan, with a yield of -16.03%.

Specifically, the loss group accounted for 81.52%, with an average loss rate of -21.72%, with an average loss of 58711 yuan.

An average profit of 18.48% of the profit making group was 9.11%, with an average profit of 64182 yuan.

Flush this half year income change into a picture has created such a rugged road: one month, grief into a river, a loss of 22.19%; in February, the death brought back to life, the loss narrowed to 2.01%; in March, the pursuit of success, the loss of profit, the yield reached 11.18%; in April, the heart was like a knife, a loss of 2.81% again; May, muddled, loss slightly narrowed to 1.68%; June, return to light.

Turn to 3.44%.

It is difficult to earn money in monkey year.

From the perspective of global stock market, the A share of Chinese stock market declined, the first half of 2016 was the third in the world, the same as in 2015, and the second runner up. In the global shareholders' per capita loss ranking, the Chinese investors ranked second, and Russia is the most difficult one in the world.

Looking back at the earnings of private equity funds in the first half of 2016, it seems too bad to see.

According to the relevant statistics in January this year, the existing private placement fund is 15 thousand and 500, but as of February this year, when the Shanghai Composite Index fell 24%, the gem index fell by 32%, the average private placement fell by 13.23%, and some products fell by more than 50%.

As of the end of April, 3577 publicly traded stock strategies, the average yield of private equity products, was -9.79%, of which 6 fell by more than 50%, with a decrease of over 30 to 40% of 92.

If calculated from the stock market crash, there are nearly 1400 private equity net worth under 0.8 yuan in one year.

There are also some structured products, with a net value of only 0.006 yuan, and many of them disappear in liquidation.

According to the financial statistics on the grid, 11481 liquidation ends in a year, and only 3881 products have been liquidated this year.

A group of brilliant times.

If the net value of more than 20 products dropped to 0.566-0.655 yuan, the net value of more than ten products of Jing Lin asset dropped to 0.7 yuan.

Private placement, public offering is also dusty.

From the two quarterly report of the publicly offered fund, the overall share of the fund has shrunk by 0.2% at the end of 2015, and the net asset value has shrunk by 5.13%, which undoubtedly shows a greater redemption pressure in the decline of the performance.

In the first half of the overall market downturn, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 17.22%, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 fell 15.47%, partial stock funds almost completely annihilated.

China Post Fund, once famous for its losses for two consecutive quarters, lost 7 billion 759 million yuan in the first half of the year and turned into a loser.

Why is it difficult to rise? One of the reasons is that the resistance is high, which has been fully predicted from the 2015 K-line.

I clearly pointed out in the "six big prediction of the annual K-line" that 3258.63 points open to 3539 points and 15 trillion and 900 billion of the 280.6 points, which will become the resistance of the future.

In particular, 1639.01 of the upper shadow line means the accumulation of 92 trillion and 930 billion chips, and its pressure can be imagined.

1 trillion and 500 billion of the national team funds, as well as those involved in the rescue of the market and the funds of the brokerages, are all rising exponentially.

From the Shanghai Stock Index daily K-line analysis, from October 2015 to date, the most concentrated pressure level of chips is at 2993.8 points, which shows that the 3000 point competition of Shanghai composite index is definitely not easy. At this point, there is also the size of the non lifting of the ban, IPO first and refinancing.

Therefore, it is really hard to overcome the difficulties of making a strategic pass.

Secondly, it is difficult to pform.

It must be consistent with the state's macroeconomic and financial policies, from speculative speculation, subject matter concept to value investment, deleveraging to reality, deleveraging, defrothing, and reducing false fire.

Therefore, a series of measures have been adopted by regulators, which will undoubtedly affect the short-term activity of the market.

The investment behavior of Bo Chi, represented by Xin Tai, will be limited. Since the stock resumption in July 12th, the share price of the 14 trading days has dropped from 14.55 yuan to 3.08 yuan, or 78.83%.

However, some people are still risking buying near the suspension, which may be related to the stock market in China, which has always been dead and stiff.

At present, management has made a real move, so that the market speculation has been astringent. Recently, a group of stocks that have been restructured by speculation have entered the decline.

But the market has also paid a price drop for its activity.

Its three difficulties lie in confidence.

In today's market, there is no shortage of funds, no shortage of policies, no shortage of hot spots, and the only thing missing is confidence.

Under the shadow of the stock market crash 3, the bear mentality of the two sides of the market is the most important investor's investment behavior, while maintaining stability is the main thrust of management.

Therefore, a small increase and a drop of 200 to 300 points in the range of shocks will virtually become the consensus of all parties.

Difficult is reality, but difficulties will eventually overcome. In the face of difficulties, time is needed, patience is needed and confidence is needed.

The saying goes: how long is the horizontal and how high the vertical one is.

The consolidation from August 1994 to February 1996 produced a bull market of 194.9%. The consolidation of February 2002 - June 2005 produced 513.6% bull market, and January 2012 - July 2014 consolidation resulted in a 157.6% bull market.

Today's consolidation is bottoming up. Who is not the gestation of the next bull market? And is it not an effective strategy to tackle the difficult problems of growth stocks and the revitalized stocks of state-owned enterprises?