When The Market Is Boring, Learn To Calm Down.
In the early morning, the stock index was all the way to show surprise, but the subsequent downturn and concussion made the market calm. On the disk, there was still no outstanding performance. However, the short and short game was gradually fierce, and the market was not strong enough to accelerate the rotation. Short term opportunities still existed. According to statistics, as of the end of August, A shares were up to 61 million, and retail investors continued to withdraw from the stock market.
In March, April, May, June and July, the number of empty warehouse investors accounted for 50.87%, 51.39%, 52.16%, 52.98% and 53.58% respectively.
This is also the number of short positions investors who have exceeded 50% for sixth consecutive months.
From the proportion of holders, obviously feel the lack of market confidence and the frigid market; technically, after the stock price skips down, the short term gap is more difficult to compensate, especially in the days of shocks, volume can not be released in the index oscillation cycle or will be lengthened.
On the whole, there are several important events in the market to be expected: one is Shenzhen Hong Kong, according to the news that the Shenzhen Hong Kong Tong start date or November is announced, and the majority of the securities companies are expected to open deep Hong Kong in November 17th or will be opened, and whenever open, Shenzhen Hong Kong will bring new vitality to the market; two is the accession of the people's currency to SDR, once the entry blue will increase the openness of the stock market, to a certain extent, is also good; in addition, the current global market concern in the US interest rate increases, the possibility of increasing interest rates has gradually decreased, market concerns will also suspend.
Therefore, under these expectations, the market is still in good condition. At present, we must wait for the opportunity to increase our position.
This morning, the market continued to show a trend of shrinkage and shock, and the plate hot spots were chaotic.
Only when Baosteel will absorb the news of the merger of WISCO, will the iron and steel plate be stronger.
capital
There is some inflow, but from the midline, though there is still room for this plate, the space should not be too high.
We believe that the 2980-3000 point support is still strong. Once again, this area should be low priority. The downward trend should be limited under the 3000 points of the central line. The recent fluctuation range is roughly 2980-3080 points.
Some of the bottom stock theme stocks can be adjusted by low absorption, and the overall band operation is appropriate.
In the early morning, the Shanghai stock index once again refreshed the minimum amplitude record, with no fluctuation. What is the money making effect? What operational value can it have?
But this market is only a phased feature, which is mainly caused by the supervision and suppression of speculation by the competent departments, and it is impossible to continue.
It is better to shut down business if there is no fluctuation market, so there must be some symbolic events to break the deadlock.
Judging from the trend of the broader market, the current one minute level rebounding is still continuing after the one minute grade downward trend. It is the trend of the central concussion around the one minute level, and also the central process of concussion forming one minute level.
After forming a one minute level center or a central concussion, we will see it.
Market
The direction is chosen.
Is to continue to shake up and consolidate, forming a large scale of the 5 minute level of the center; or the upward breakthrough or the pullback decline, depends on how to choose the market, at present, the shock of China can not be judged.
If the market continues to rebound later, it will still be a one minute level of rebound trend, then lighten up will have to wait for one minute to rebound.
Down to form a one minute level of callback trend, then wait for a minute of the level of callback in place and then make up, because one minute after the end of the fall, can not be strong rise will inevitably have a 5 minute level of central concussion, there must be a one minute level rebound trend to appear.
Investors need to be aware that there is no market at present.
Money making effect
There is not much operational value, so seeing more or less is still a good choice. When there is a clear popularity plate in the market, it will be late if there is money making effect.
As for the central line, as long as the market can not appear strong trend of rise, the risk of falling has been there, careful is.
Tuesday's market trend is nothing special. The Shanghai Composite Index has only 12 points in the whole day, and the volume is still running in the land area, and the final closing is on the small line.
The gem index is similar to the Shanghai Composite Index, but the overall shape is slightly weaker than the Shanghai Composite Index.
The two sides are competing for 3025 points in the short-term technology position all day long, and explain to you that the Shanghai Composite Index 3025 is the critical value of the short term strength of the big market.
It can be said that the market has received more than 3025 points today, and the possibility of continuation of the short line and the upward attack of 3050 points will be relatively large, and even there will be an opportunity to operate near 3100 points.
On the contrary, the market may end up below 3050 points.
If the short-term market is blocked, the overall form of the Shanghai Composite Index will be pformed into a more typical form of decline.
The author once said that after the market was blocked, the index could stand firm again for 3000 points. It may not be enough to wait until next year.
Let me talk to you about rest. I have a record that has not been broken yet.
Many years ago, I once had an experience of waiting for the end of the contract in half a month. This process was very painful, but there was a real empty warehouse looking at the big market crash, watching many people being deeply set up, watching that their account funds did not shrink due to a big crash, they would realize that opportunities such as empty positions and so on are important for investment.
Since March this year, the most important thing for the author to do is to select stocks. Up to now, more than 20 stocks have been selected. Maybe in a few months, these stocks will become the heavy stocks of my private equity fund.
I just want to remind investors that when the market is boring, we should learn to calm down and prepare for the next round of market.
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