2016 In The Second Half Of The Year, Is The Textile Industry Good Or Bad?
around
G20
The special market has ended, and the second half of the textile market is both bad and positive.
Because of the common squeeze on the upper and lower reaches and the sluggish export market, the textile industry, which has been in an awkward position in the first half of the year, will usher in a good harvest of "golden nine silver ten" in the second half of the year, or will it continue the embarrassment of "sandwich cake"?
Export pressure has increased, but there are still some support.
So far, the total export volume of China's textile industry has shown a negative growth trend. The total export volume of China's textile and clothing decreased by 2.3% in the first half of May this year, but its decline has narrowed compared with last year and the beginning of this year.
The industry expects that the pressure on China's textile exports will increase in the second half of this year, but there is still momentum to support it.
Industry analysts believe that since the beginning of this year, the recovery of the world economy has been slow, and the impetus for the recovery of external demand is still insufficient.
Since the two quarter of this year, China's textile exports will benefit from the RMB depreciation and other factors in the second half of this year.
In addition, it is important to note that in recent years, the EU's overall economy is sluggish.
Textiles and garments
The decline in exports to the EU is obvious. In the first half of May this year, China's textile and clothing exports to the EU fell by nearly 4% over the same period last year.
In recent years, due to the active economic and trade relations between China and Britain, the proportion of China's textile and clothing exports to the UK has increased. The United Kingdom is the largest market for Chinese textiles and clothing in the European Union and a relatively stable market.
Despite the overall decline in exports of Chinese textiles and clothing to the EU in the first half of May this year, it still maintained about 3% growth in the UK.
But after the referendum in Britain, the market instability has increased, which will affect the export of Chinese textiles and clothing to the United Kingdom and the European Union.
Price increases in some dyeing factories
Due to the restriction of domestic environmental protection, the price of dyestuffs has doubled and skyrocketing, and the government must limit emissions. Therefore, the dyeing and finishing industry must invest heavily in the construction of sewage pretreatment and water reuse for multistage treatment facilities, resulting in a significant increase in the operation cost of sewage treatment, and the annual increase in wages, water and steam. The enterprises have been unable to restrain the pressure of continuous rising production costs and can not maintain the meager profit operation.
At present, many enterprises have chosen to increase their prices.
It is understood that there are not less than 15 printing and dyeing enterprises in Jiaxing, compared to the first half of this year, the price of dye products, conventional products rose 1000-2000 yuan / ton, the increase was around 10%~20%, while a few varieties of prices still maintain the original price.
Not only Jiaxing, but also the printing and dyeing areas in Suzhou, Shishi and Shaoxing, and printing and dyeing processing fees have been raised to varying degrees in August to maintain production and operation.
Many traders shake their heads and cry up 2000, unable to communicate with customers, unable to accept! Business is hard to do!
There are still more uncertain factors in raw materials.
Polyester polyester fiber is still difficult to judge in the second half of the year. The start-up rate of the polyester plant after G20 is believed to be high, while the supply and demand relationship between upstream and downstream, Xiaobian believes, is still the deciding point of this game.
On the contrary, before G20, relying on
G20 quotations
The impact of joint insurance and speculation on the market will continue to weaken.
On the PTA side, there will be more equipment shutdowns and overhauls in the second half of this year. I believe there will be some support. However, the trend of crude oil price is still confused, the Fed's interest rate rises, the progress of the OPEC conference, and how much support PTA can provide on the cost side is still unknown.
In conclusion, the textile industry in the second half of the year is still uncertain. What is the attitude of the partners to the second half of the year?
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