Export Reappears In September, And Foreign Trade Policy Needs To Join Hands With Industrial Policies.

At present, the growth space of foreign trade is adversely affected by the changes in the pattern of international trade.

On the one hand, the developed economies promote their manufacturing industry to revitalize their development, so that some of the high-end manufacturing industry will return from our country to developed countries. On the other hand, with the low cost advantages of labor and land, emerging economies will increase the attractiveness of pnational corporations, and accelerate the pace of the rise of middle and low end manufacturing industries, resulting in a certain squeeze on the market share of China's traditional dominant products.

In part of the high-end manufacturing industry, the return of developed countries and part of the labor-intensive industries is replaced by Southeast Asian countries. This year, China's foreign trade is still showing a steady trend of quarterly, and the leading index has improved for three consecutive months.

The Customs issued the foreign trade data of the month of September and the first three quarters of this year.

In the first three quarters of this year, the total value of imports and exports of China's goods trade was 17 trillion and 530 billion yuan, down 1.9% from the same period last year.

In September, it fell by 2.4% compared with the same period last year, of which exports dropped by 5.6%.

According to customs statistics, in September, the total value of imports and exports was 2 trillion and 170 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.4%.

Among them, exports fell by 5.6%, imports increased by 2.2%, and trade surplus narrowed by 25% to 278 billion 350 million yuan.

In August, after 5 months of growth, exports maintained an increase of 5.9%.

"Foreign trade is going up and down, good times and bad times. This is also a new normal for foreign trade.

Similar to the trend of L, foreign trade is still at the bottom.

Bai Ming, deputy director of the International Market Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, said.

Exports fell in September because of a general decline in exports to major trading partners.

From the export area, China's exports to the United States increased by -8.1%, exports to the EU increased by -9.8%, and the export growth rates to China, Hongkong, China, Taiwan, Japan and ASEAN were -10.3%, -10.2%, -7% and -0.8% respectively.

In addition, exports to BRICs countries are also negative.

According to the online data review of the Bank of China, the export growth rate of the major trading partners has almost all declined, and there is no obvious cardinal effect, reflecting the weaker demand for the current external demand.

Facing greater pressure.

"The international market has not fully recovered, and trade frictions have increased significantly in recent years. Especially in labor-intensive industries, China's competitiveness has gradually been replaced by some Southeast Asian countries, which are the weak factors of export again."

Bai Ming said.

Data show that in the first 7 months of this year, the share of China's labor-intensive products in the US and Japan markets decreased by 1.1% and 1.7% respectively, while the share of similar products in some Southeast Asian countries in the same period increased by 0.7% and 0.9% respectively in the US and Japan.

Even so, in the eyes of industry experts, the space for further downward export is limited.

Although the growth rate is slow, our new competitive advantage in foreign trade is growing, while the traditional labor intensive industries have some relocation, but there are also new ones coming into being, combined with the pformation and upgrading of industries, and gradually have the advantage of comprehensive competition.

In addition, at present, there are 11 free trade zones, which are playing a role.

All these support the foreign trade. "

Bai Ming said.

"Although the value of imports and exports, exports and imports in the first three quarters of the year is still declining compared with the same period last year, we saw a steady trend of quarterly fluctuations."

Huang Songping, spokesman of the Customs General Administration, said in a press conference at the State Council new office 13.

Data show that in the first quarter of this year, China's imports and exports, exports and imports fell by 7.2%, 6.3% and 8.3%, respectively. The three data in the two quarter were -0.2%, 0.6% and -1.3% respectively; in the third quarter, they were 1.1%, 0.4% and 2.1% respectively.

Enterprises are speeding up "going global" and promoting the international market.

The export of equipment manufacturing and high value-added products has been promoted, the export of motor and generator has increased by 5.7% in the first three quarters, the export of medical equipment and equipment has increased by 6.3%, and the export of textile machinery has increased by 1.2%.

Meanwhile, the import value of high-tech products increased by 1.4% over the same period last year.

Bai Ming believes that the current foreign trade has stabilized signs, but has not yet generated a trend.

In particular, further efforts are needed to achieve "good" because it depends on whether there is any change in fundamentals.

"However, if the import and export data for the whole year are to achieve a negative growth of 1.9% over the first three quarters, it is still not easy."

Bai Ming said frankly, because this means that in the last quarter of this year, we need to achieve about 6% positive growth.

Huang Songping analysis, "to help foreign trade through the" double squeeze "difficulties, the policy should be more focused on the industry.

The policy of supporting trade simply is not enough, and it needs to be connected with the policy of supporting the industry.

At the same time, in conjunction with the five major strategies of "China made 2025", Northeast revitalization, the Yangtze River economic belt, "one belt along the way" and the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, we should further actively attract foreign capital to participate in China's innovation driven development.

Bai Ming said that the strategy of the free trade area has yet to be further explored.

Because, at present, the largest and highest level China, Korea and China Australia FTA have been signed for more than a year.

The advantages have not yet been fully realized, and there is still potential to tap in this respect.