Water Skin: After The Stock Market Plummeted, Everyone Started To Grab Gold Again.
Now, under the famine of assets, people are in a state of panic. The investment variety is at a high point. The direction of many investment products is very unclear.
Gold actually fell during the eleven period, and this fall, as we explained, is a technical callback. Now it is also at a low level, which is a good investment.
In fact, the golden drop during the eleven period is not related to these reasons, but also the trend in the international market.
Because gold prices are mainly determined by Europe and the United States, the natural economic situation of these two economic zones, including their monetary policy, will affect the price of international gold.
In the US, there is no doubt that the hot market speculation is the possibility of raising interest rates by the Federal Reserve in December. Then, in the euro area, the European Central Bank Delagi said that the scale of debt may be reduced from next year.
In fact, the two will undoubtedly have a certain impact on the global economy, and for gold prices, it is also a bad function.
So it is a result of the efforts of central banks, including our right.
dollar
A result expected to be stronger.
As we all know, "troubled times buy gold", so ten years later, in 2011, gold reached a maximum of 1920 dollars / ounce.
When did the inflection point appear?
It was also very simple. Laden was killed, and the chaos of "9. 11" began to go to a paragraph.
So you noticed that in 2011, it was $1920 / ounce, and in 2012 it was $1750 / ounce, and the price gradually decreased every year. By the end of last year, gold was about more than 1000 dollars / ounce.
So this year has actually been a rebound, the high point can rebound to 1300 U.S. dollars / ounce, why does it appear such a trend?
gold
The rise is inextricably linked to the international economic situation.
Because at that time, the global economy was still in a state of depression, and the relevant interest rate policy in the United States was not clear. In the eurozone, the United Kingdom was out of Europe again, and some developed countries in the world were practicing negative interest rates. For this fear, hedge assets would naturally be promoted.
In this case, we have relevant national policy support, for example, "
The Belt and Road Initiative
"Policy" will also have a certain impact on the price of gold.
We know that "one belt and one road" and "belt" refer to the Silk Road Economic Belt. "One way" is the maritime Silk Road. This is our national policy of the highest level, and also a path to outward development, but I don't know why it hangs with gold.
In fact, "one belt and one road" is also a balance to break the existing international economic situation dominated by Europe and the United States. On the one hand, let the RMB take the first step. On the other hand, we pay more attention to the mineral resources along them. The proven gold reserves are about twenty thousand tons, accounting for about 47% of the world's total. And from the investment point of view, there are many countries along the route, such as India and Thailand, which are big countries in gold investment demand or consumer demand for jewelry, and of course, there are also some important gold markets along the way, such as Singapore and Hongkong.
When we export capital, more gold markets or gold pactions are exchanged.
In 2014, China's gold reserves remained at a level of 1054 tons. In 2015 and 2016, it has increased nearly 900 tons. In the past two years, the gold holdings in the country can be seen as a direction of future policy. As long as the gold price is increased, the price of gold will have a sharp increase. I think it should be in 2008 that when China's gold reserve increased from 500 tons to nearly 900 tons, there was a bull market in that period of time. Is this the beginning of the bull market? I think it is worth looking forward to.
When the central bank governor's judgment is the same as that of the institution, the gold trend generally has a clear direction.
In other words, we can still allocate some gold assets.
But there are many kinds of gold investment, for example, you can do futures, you can also buy physical objects, and of course, paper gold. So how do we choose these varieties and institutions? Our next program will come to you in detail, and welcome everyone to pay attention to our series.
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