When The Market Is Back In Place, It Will Usher In A Low Risk Opportunity.
From a global perspective, pension market can play a stabilizing role in the stock market.
For this point, not only will it take action, but also more importantly, it reflects the high-level recognition of the current position.
In addition, Wu Qing, chairman of the Shanghai stock exchange this week, pointed out that all sides of the capital market should be brought together to make precise poverty alleviation and jointly promote social harmony.
This is the further statement and measures of the two big events this week.
So, looking forward to the future, the general direction has been fixed, and the short term fluctuation is inevitable. But we should not care about the support and pressure of the annual line and the 3100 point integer pass. However, in the future, we have clearly pointed out four directions in the selection of hot spots in the last week.
Get into
equity market
In the past more than 20 years, if we want to make an accurate prediction of the stock market, this refers to the medium and long term trend, that is, the end of a stock market or market.
Instead of short-term fluctuations, the following four major factors are ranked as policy, capital, fundamentals and technology.
A policy plane was brought out of the womb.
When the Chinese stock market was established, its original intention was to provide services for the state-owned enterprises to turn round the losses and get rid of difficulties. Since then, every big market has been directly related to the completion of an economic task.
Two, the capital side is actually part of the policy side. "Policy is gate, capital is water, closure is closed, and water sluice".
This time, the intervention of pensions is also a channel for funds to drain water. Of course, it is more desirable to "orderly guide savings capital into equity".
It can also be called family plus leverage for enterprises.
De-leveraging
。
Three the quality of fundamentals is basically related to the ups and downs of the stock market.
Four the fundamentals of technology are irrelevant, and the technology is not enough. It is simply that each round of market starts at a relatively low level.
So only through the policy can a relatively accurate prediction of the medium and long term trend of the stock market, and the other few are deviant or fundamentally inaccurate.
Because of this, from June, I saw two thousand and eight hundred to three thousand and one hundred of the boxes, and more effective breakthroughs were only 3100 this week. The trend of four months was in my unswerving prediction.
Why? It is from the thorough understanding of the policy, from the authoritative speech of May 9th to the later high-level statements and opinions, plus the fact that the national team, which most of the people did not see at all, has been controlling this important factor, so there is a four month accuracy.
However, from October 10th
Debt to equity swap
The arrangement of the task and the arrangement of the poverty alleviation work in September 10th made me feel that in order to get these two big jobs, the middle and long lines are coming. The retirement pension announced this week can be verified. The people's daily commented on this: this means that the nation's determination to develop the capital market is more firm, which can lead domestic capital to enter the A share market in an orderly way.
Shanghai stock index fell sharply in early trading, the plate differentiation is obvious, the big financial stocks led by banks are strong, but Hengda concept, stock pfer and other hot concept plates are adjusted across the board.
After two consecutive days of adjustment, the market remained strong. The stock index rose 0.03% to 3113 at noon closing. The Shenzhen index dropped 0.27% to 10759 points, and the gem fell 0.25% to 2177 points.
On the disk, banks, high pfer, securities, Internet finance, cold chain logistics, and other sectors are among the top gainers. Hengda concept stocks, equity pfer, steel and instrument instruments are among the top ones.
Shanghai stock net outflow 210 million.
After the market opened today, it began to rush ahead in the wake of the brokerage. After hitting 3128 points again, it began to fall back to the green market, and finally closed up 1 points.
Today, I have already predicted this kind of backfire structure. The day before yesterday, I said there was a last rebound of 3120-3130 points in the pressure zone. Once the structure was complete, it began to fall.
Rebound does not amount to more reflects the main attraction.
The main board of the market replicated the structure of the last 3140 points after 60 minutes.
The adjustment will continue. The first goal is to step back to the 3080 position of the annual line, break down here and look at the 3060 position again.
The time to step back is in 11 months.
The time window of No. 26 is in line with the high point of the market, so the next time window is the low point of the market.
At that time, no matter which position the market is going to tread, as long as time is up, the market will naturally rise.
In December, there is another Federal Reserve raising interest rate action that interferes with a big market, and then rises to the next year to achieve the first quarter of next year.
Gem - gem or sideways arrangement of the weak structure, the 2218 point is the pressure position, the 2140 point is the supporting position, convergence triangle has reached the end, will choose the direction.
Then follow the trend.
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