"Enter Two Retreat One" Continue The Slow Cow Pattern
On Friday, the two cities dropped and continued to adjust.
On the disk, early morning traders, insurance and bank violence index raised market vigilance, stocks fell, but the overall decline was smaller.
Shanghai Stock Index station adjusted for 4 consecutive days after 3100 points.
Faced with the new changes in the global market and real estate regulation, the short-term market will enter a troubled period, but the downside space is limited.
Among them, capital construction represented by PPP has become an important configuration in the four quarter.
Next stage, we need to observe the effect of property market regulation. If housing prices continue to rise, we will not exclude regulatory policies from continuing to increase.
At the same time, investors should pay close attention to the progress of global negative events and make good time difference.
In the context of extreme weakness in the surrounding market, the A share market once again showed strong shocks.
In the near future, the trend of A shares coming back to two will probably indicate that the ideal long-term "slow bull market" is continuing.
For the year November and the end of the year
investment opportunity
Next, the factors that affect the trend of A share are the opening of Shenzhen and Hong Kong and whether the Fed's interest rate boots are landing.
Many analysts believe that investors can focus on the "complementary" market in Shenzhen and Hong Kong.
On the other hand, there is a view that A share investors have already digested the Fed's interest rate hike ahead of schedule.
A shares
It has already responded to the US interest rate hike ahead of schedule this year.
In the context of extreme weakness in the surrounding market, the A share market once again showed strong shocks.
The market has neither continued to rise, nor has it continued to fall. If we enter two, retreat one, advance one and retreat one, the ideal long-term "slow cow" trend may be coming into being.
This year, the stock market as a whole is a shock market, but the bottom and the top are constantly lifting.
A shares went out of the spring after eleven, rising two points from 3000 to 3100.
In January this year, the high point of the stock market's "slump" plunge was 3140 points in August 16th and 3137 points in October 24th. Many analysts believe that the breakthrough of A shares is only a matter of time.
Yang Delong, chief economist of Qianhai open source fund, expects the best rebound this year at the end of the year.
Yang Delong said that this week is the last trading week in October, and the market will expect to announce the opening of Shenzhen Hong Kong Tong on a Monday in November starting next week.
Though I don't know which Monday, I do not know.
Shenzhen-Hongkong Stock Connect
Before opening, we will advance the layout of related benefits.
Hong Kong and Shenzhen are benefiting from the scarcity of the HKEx, for example, liquor, medicine and military industry.
After its opening, it may become the target of foreign investment.
Secondly, the securities companies were benefited. Although their performance in the first half of this year is not good, mainly because of the excellent performance in the first half of last year, the performance of the securities companies in the first half of this year is generally down by fifty percent. However, when we switch the time point to the second half of the year, the performance of the securities companies has improved.
Once the big market breaks through the high rebound point of the previous period, the rebound of the brokerage stocks is relatively established.
Another major event is the Fed's interest rate hike.
According to the study of CICC, the Fed has a higher probability of raising interest rates in December.
According to its anticipation, the Fed may raise interest rates in December 14th.
As for the impact of the Fed's interest rate hike on A shares, there is a view that A shares have already digested the rate hike ahead of schedule.
Insiders say that the US interest rate hike will have a blow to the global capital market, and it has not risen since July, especially for A shares. This indicates that A shares have adjusted the Fed's rate hike ahead of schedule for a period of 2 months.
Therefore, A shares have already responded to the US interest rate hike ahead of schedule this year.
Even if the Fed really increases interest rates at the end of the year, A shares will only be opened at a low opening rate.
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