The Central Economic Work Conference: The Three Major Policy Signals Of The Economy

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The central economic work conference was held in Beijing in from December 14th to 16th. Xi Jinping delivered an important speech at the meeting, analyzed the current domestic and international economic situation, summed up the economic work in 2016, expounded the guiding ideology of economic work, and deployed the economic work in 2017.

In his speech, Li Keqiang expounded the orientation of macroeconomic policy next year, made specific arrangements for next year's economic work and made concluding remarks.

So, what new references and new highlights should we pay attention to? What are closely related to our lives? Let's take a look together!

This year's central economic work conference released three important policy signals:

First, the main tone of the work will continue to be steady next year. We will continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy. In monetary policy, there is a completely new formulation, namely, we must adjust the money gate and make efforts to unblock the channel and mechanism of monetary policy pmission and maintain the basic stability of liquidity.

He also hoped that more money could flow to the real economy.

Ensure stable growth and structural adjustment of capital demand.

Two, second aspects will be the deepening year of supply side structural reform next year. Compared with this year, how to deepen it, and also put forward in the communiqu tion that we should further advance the "three go down, one down and one subsidy", and further push forward the structural reform of agricultural supply side, focus on revitalizing the real economy, and establish a long-term mechanism to promote the steady and healthy development of the real estate market.

Three, in addition, preventing financial risks is also an important task for next year. The communiqu also puts forward that we should put the prevention and control of financial risks in a more important position, resolve to deal with a number of risk points, focus on preventing and controlling asset bubbles, improve and improve regulatory capability, and ensure that there is no systemic financial risk.

I believe that after the Central Committee's deployment of next year's economic work, we will also confirm the new orientation of China's economy in 2017.

1, 2016 supply side reform initial success.

Mr. Zhang Yansheng, principal investigator of China International Economic Exchange Center: first, 2016 is the first year of 13th Five-Year. The main line of 13th Five-Year is structural reform of supply side. For the reform of supply side structure in 2016, the evaluation of the central economic work conference is called "taking initial effect". Next, in order to achieve remarkable results in 2017, its only way is to deepen reform.

Supply side structural reform is "three go, one fall, one subsidy".

Zhang Yansheng: among them, we say "go to production capacity", this central economic work conference put forward to use market method and rule of law method to deepen our capacity reform.

When I was visiting abroad, my friends from abroad often asked me if China could use the market method or administrative method to make use of the method of rule of law or rule by man? They think you need to use the market method and use the rule of law. Then they will ask, "will your next capacity go to China to produce capacity in a crisis way?" or will there be an economic hard landing?

Therefore, this central economic work conference is very clear, to go to capacity is to use the market and the rule of law to solve some of our system, mechanism and various obstacles in the middle of production capacity, so that we can achieve better results in capacity.

3, the structural reform of supply side should be deepened and promoted on the basis of stability.

Zhang Yansheng: because stability is the overall situation, what is its purpose? The purpose is to deepen the structural reform of the supply side. If we can not handle the relationship between the three short-term stable growth, the medium-term adjustment structure and the long-term reform, it will be very difficult for us to realize the main line of the supply side structural reform established in 13th Five-Year.

In fact, we will find that GDP broke 82015 in 2012 and GDP broke 7, but there was no economic and social instability. In the past few years, in the middle of reform, we have dealt with this problem better, but this year we will find that we have real estate fluctuations, exchange rate fluctuations and stock market volatility.

In this way, we will find that our government, our enterprises and our people have met the problem of how to adapt themselves to the new normal. How to adapt themselves to the new normal?

Li Yining, chief economist of China's economic circles: continue to deepen structural reform of supply side.

The central economic work conference pointed out that the structural reform of supply side this year has achieved initial results and will continue to deepen next year.

So what will be the focus of next year's reform? Where is the difficulty of structural adjustment? We also interviewed Mr. Li Yining, economist and director of the National Bureau of statistics, Ning Jizhe, and heard what they said.

Li Yining, honorary president of University of Guanghua School of Management: steady progress, because this year, though the economy is getting warmer, it is such a long time after all. It is not effective in the short term. It will continue to adjust its structure next year and continue to foster short version technology.

The central economic work conference pointed out that next year is the year when the structural reform of supply side deepens. Li Yining believes that reform is a long-term process and can not be anxious for success.

We should combine production capacity with deepening the reform of state-owned enterprises, and focus on resolving the three or four tier cities' real estate inventory.

Li Yining, honorary president of Guanghua School of Management, Peking University: it should be said that this structural reform is a gradual process and can not be haste to succeed.

Plus, we must set a target in the short term.

Ning Ji zhe: in the supply side structural reform, we also need to defuse debt risk.

Next year's economic work put the prevention and control of financial risks in a more important position. For this reason, Ning Jizhe, deputy director of the national development and Reform Commission, said that in the structural reform of supply side, we also need to defuse debt risks.

Ning Jizhe, deputy director of the national development and Reform Commission and director of the National Bureau of statistics, can not believe that this year has achieved results. It believes that more problems should be seen and new problems and new problems arise.

The 13th Five-Year plan has put the structural reform of supply side as a main line of our economic work in the next 5 years, and we should follow the main line in the next few years.

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