Cotton Yarn Prices To Pick Up Difficult Years Ago, Hope Is Not Warm.

There is still a week left in 2016. Although the year is a little early, there are still more than a month to go to the new year. For the cotton textile industry, this period of time is a bit bitter. Some cotton textile enterprises show a sense of helplessness and pressure. Especially at the end of the year, the year-end effect appears, and the enterprises are at a loss as to where to go.

Is it really necessary to take a vacation early and go home for the new year? Let's look at the specific situation. In recent years, Zheng cotton is obviously not a little "harmonious". The fluctuation of the disk has caused a series of fluctuations in the spot market.

At present, in Henan, Shandong, Hebei and Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, the "double 28" hand picked cotton warehouse has a pick-up price of about 16000-16200 yuan / ton; the "double 29/ double 30" hand picking cotton price is about 16300-16500 yuan / ton, which is 200-300 yuan / ton compared to the mid December, while the 1.4D*38mm polyester staple price is 8450-8500 yuan / ton, which is 500 yuan / ton higher than that in 9-10 months.

Therefore, textile enterprises have said that after more than half a month, spinning 40S below the whole cotton yarn basically no profit or even loss, cotton mill finished product inventory showed a mild upward trend.

So what causes yarn price to rise?

First, the sharp rise in dyeing costs engulfed the profits of weaving factories, garment factories and trading companies. The larger the initial receipt, the longer the delivery date, the bigger the loss. The cloth mill can only shift the risk to the upstream cotton mill.

It is understood that, due to the relevant departments of the state to increase the monitoring and auditing of pollution control and sewage disposal, the printing and dyeing enterprises that are not up to standard will stop production and pform, and the backward production capacity will be eliminated directly. This affects the overall dyeing and finishing fees of Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Fujian, Guangdong, Hebei and Shandong, which have risen by 0.50-0.60 yuan / m, and the printing and dyeing plants are generally extended until mid February.

Factory orders are changed rapidly from profit to loss. In order not to lose money or reduce losses, they can only "get away" by "squeezing and pressing down".

Two, outside the port yarn "pillow to wait for the day", especially India, Indonesia, Vietnam yarn and so on rush into the Chinese market at any time.

According to the survey, as of the end of 12, China's main port bonded cotton yarn was about 9.2-9.5 million tons (including a small number of cloth factories or middlemen purchased but not exported), mainly in India, Vietnam and Pakistan.

The contracted shipping price of C21S and C32S yarn is generally 2.45-2.50 USD / kg, 2.58-2.62 USD / kg (CNF price), and the cost of customs clearance is 700-1000 yuan / ton lower than that of domestic yarn quotation. Moreover, as the price of cotton in India and Pakistan is lower than that in China, the profit margins and competitiveness of the cotton mill are stronger.

Traders from Qingdao, Guangzhou, Zhangjiagang and other places reflect that since November, import and export of cotton yarn has been quicker, and C20S-C32S and C32S/2, JC32/2 and other high matching or jet and rapier yarns are better sold. Once the price of domestic yarn rises again and the difference between internal and external price reaches 1000 yuan / ton, then the yarn Market of C32S and below will be handed over to imported yarn.

Three, near the end of the year, textile and garment enterprises are mainly going to inventory, and the liquidity and repayment pressure are great.

According to convention, more than a month before entering the Spring Festival, cotton, cotton textile and clothing enterprises enter the repayment of loans (banks generally follow the principle of "first repay the loan"), the cost of clearing materials and the rhythm of the wages and bonus of workers. The recovery of goods and the discount of selling goods are the most important ones, so the price increase of cotton yarns is equivalent to "self search for death".

Recently, some small and medium-sized spinning mills and weaving factories in Shandong, Hebei and other places took the lead in reducing prices, and most of the enterprises in China will follow suit.

The acquisition was cold and cheerless, with strong wait-and-see sentiment.

In December 22nd, according to Zhao Jingli, head of a 400 type ginning factory in Cangzhou, Hebei, on the 20-22 day, the factory lowered the price of seed cotton 0.05-0.1 yuan / Jin, at 3.65-3.85 yuan / jin (lint 38-39%, moisture regain 10%).

After the adjustment, cotton farmers' enthusiasm for sale was significantly weakened. The daily purchase volume was 300-400 Jin, and the haze fog was heavier recently.

Not only Hebei, Shandong, Dezhou, Binzhou and other places seed cotton purchase also showed cold.

According to the head of a ginning factory in Shandong, "in fact, everyone is watching, for fear that cotton prices will drop sharply and enterprises will lose more."

Spot prices fell slightly, and small package cotton declined significantly.

As of 22 days, Hebei Cangzhou, Hengshui, Shandong Dezhou, Binzhou and other real estate cotton price center of gravity fell 100-200 yuan / ton compared with the previous week.

The small cotton price dropped considerably.

In December 22nd, according to the person in charge of a small factory in Hebei, "recently, small cotton bags are not being asked. At present, there are nearly 170 tons of small cotton inventory in the enterprise, and the price has dropped considerably."

According to the analysis, the price of small cotton is decreasing. First, the downstream factories are closing down and increasing production, and the downstream demand is weakening. Two, Xinjiang's machine picked cotton is pouring into the mainland, occupying part of the market share; three, the recent fluctuations in Zheng cotton, and the pressure of small cotton ginning factories can not help reducing prices.

Since late November, cotton textile raw materials have been greatly increased due to the integration of Chen cotton and new cotton. The rise of crude oil and commodities has led to the increase of polyester staple fiber and the increase of cotton yarn pportation costs. The quotation of cotton yarn has risen by 500-800 yuan / ton (a few big factory brand high yarn has risen 1000 yuan / ton).

Downstream weaving, fabrics, clothing links and foreign trade companies at all levels of the price increase and "do not buy it."

For more information, please pay attention to the world clothing shoes and hats net report.