The Global Economic Growth Situation Is "Supersaturated" In The World Market.

The situation of global economic growth is still not optimistic. From the perspective of economic growth figures, I am afraid that only three countries are pretty good-looking. One is China, one is the United States and the other is India.

Though the three countries are

The figures are pretty good, but the situation in India is uncertain. It often boasts more than China.

Some European and American research institutions are willing to see this point, so they are also blowing India. But India is not too competitive. By the end of the year, a "banknote incident" has been launched. It is said to be "anti-corruption". Overnight, the original large amount of banknote was abolished. These bills account for the total 80% of the total, and suddenly the financial system is completely chaotic.

The abolition of a few banknotes can "fight corruption". If this can really work, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection has estimated that it has already dried up. The idea is too simple. It not only exposes the problem of serious corruption in India's economy at once, but also estimates the cost of the investment environment in India.

Chen Gong, founder, chairman and chief researcher of Anbang company

In this way, India's economic growth will be affected. Some people say that only about 4% this year. I finally estimated that 7% would not be higher than China.

It is estimated that this result will catch up with many people's eyeballs. Of course, some Westerners with thick skins are excepted.

The European economic rebound is expected to be evident only in a small number of countries, most of which are still stuck in a quagmire.

Now, the main problem is the three problems. One is the problem of Europe, one is the rise of populism and the other is Turkey.

Apart from Europe, the Englishmen opened their heads, and behind Italy, the failure of prime minister Lenzi was actually related to the dissolution of Europe, but more importantly, the amendment of the constitution. Why did he want to amend the Constitution? Because he also wanted to engage in "supply side structural reform", but the Italy Congress did not support it. It was said that there were 5600 rounds of discussions and 83 million votes in the reform of the two houses, and the 83 million amendments to the text of the amendment were made in the two chambers before the final text of the amendment containing 122 articles was finally formed.

No one can stand this. No one in our world wants to do anything. The Italians not only do not work, but also those who want to do things with good play, so Lenzi wants to amend the constitution.

What's the result? Lenzi went home! Populist, this is also a trouble for European politicians. The populace is white grass, and grass roots are all right. They should eat and drink, that is, don't let the grass root grasp the handle.

In Europe, refugees are not easy and sympathetic, but Europeans' political sympathy goes beyond their ability to govern society.

The flood of male refugees' hormones has immediately moved the sensitive nerves of European men, echoing the masses and raising the populism.

Ireland's economic growth can sometimes reach an astonishing 26%, but the growth rate in Europe as a whole is still down to 1.6%.

As for Japan's economy, Japan's economy is not dead, it's not good, it's not bad, it doesn't increase, it doesn't diminished. Japan is almost a constant. Although Japanese politicians have frequent activities and Japanese products have great influence, Japan's influence on the world economy is negligible from the Perspective of growth.

The economic growth of 2015 years is 0.4%. In 2016, it will be 0.9% or even lower. In short, it will not be 1 yuan.

What is the future of domestic demand in a seriously aging country? It is mainly external, so it is understandable that Japanese politicians are struggling.

In terms of global economic growth rate, 2015 was 3%, and it was expected that the economic growth in 2016 would be 3.4%. The result was wrong. Now it is estimated that the economic growth of 2016 years will be around 2.6%.

What is alarming is that the size of the world market is shrinking, not expanding.

The biggest problem now is the "supersaturation" of the world market.

The past was traditional.

Entered the modern society and entered the consumer society.

Later, some Asian countries such as Japan, Korea, and four Asian dragons.

After this round, an Eastern giant has also entered the production society. This is China. What is even more frightening is that the production capacity of the eastern giant is still very large and amazing. It quickly jumped to the world's first place in many production areas.

As a result, our world has gone all the way to a buyer's market.

Some people say what China buys and what is cheaper.

Why is this so? It is because the world produces many things and lacks buyers. When China is a buyer, OK finally has someone to buy things, and immediately the price goes up! And the demand side has not changed much. The countries that can afford to spend money, together with the size of the market and so many things, and the more things they produce, the world market is already in a state of over saturation, which is a supersaturated world.

For a long time, we are looking at this issue in an ideological position. In the face of all kinds of anti-dumping, facing all kinds of trade challenges, we feel that people are bullying us.

Although our economists are numerous, they do not use much. They are all trying to figure out how to "overcome others" and let Chinese products have more market share, and it is natural for others to quit.

Few people will calm down and look at the real world. Has it changed?

As we all know, it is meaningless to discuss under the assumption that the condition is wrong.

From the last 40 years of the last century, economics has been desperately trying to tell you how to invest in production. No one really cares about the market space and real demand, or even the real market demand based on what is sold. As to whether this reflects real purchasing power, nobody cares at all.

Therefore, we have been running on the wrong road, and China has indeed won for some time.

In the future, China can only try to win on the one hand and make full use of the mechanism of WTO.

On the other hand, we should adopt a rational attitude and pragmatically seek global cooperation to solve the problem of over saturation of the world market.

I can say, in the future world, who can see clearly this "supersaturation" state, who can be the leader of the world.

(according to Chen Gong, editor of Anbang founder)

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