Overall Economic Stability In June, Textile And Garment Retail Growth Declined Slightly
The GDP level was flat in the 2 quarter. In June, industry, investment, consumption and exports rebounded.
Since July, the economy has been stable as a whole: demand for real estate and passenger car sales are not bad. The growth of coal consumption in the end of production has picked up slightly.
Looking back over the past few years, loose finance and
monetary policy
As well as the stimulating demand side, the economy rebounded slightly, but the real money growth far exceeded the demand of the real economy, which led to excessive financial development and excessive economic borrowing.
In the first half of the year, the economic position was flat, and the 3 quarter started smoothly, pointing to the pressure of steady growth pressure in the second half of the year.
The emphasis of financial work conference on financial regulation coordination and financial services entities means that monetary policy is difficult to be loosed in the short term and the financial leverage has not ended.
Demand: downstream property, passenger cars, textiles, wholesale and retail, entertainment and entertainment have all improved.
The middle reaches of the steel and chemical industry have weakened and cement has weakened.
Upstream coal weakly improved, colored is still weak, and pportation has rebounded slightly.
Price: in June, the price of the 70 cities fell and compared with the same month. Last week, the price of domestic production rose more or less, and the international crude oil prices rebounded lower.
Inventory: downstream property to be converted, passenger cars are still high, home appliances low.
The middle reaches of iron and steel, chemical industry and cement.
The upper reaches of the coal have been removed and the colored ones have been replenishing.
Real estate: in June, real estate sales grew faster than the same period last year, and the growth rate of the 70 cities' housing prices slowed down year-on-year.
In June, the growth rate of real estate sales in China increased to 21.4% over the same period last year, mainly due to the change of monetization to support the three or four line demand and the low base number in the same period last year.
In June, the growth rate of the commercial housing sale area dropped to -9.6%, and the inventory went smoothly to make the developers actively purchase land. In June, the land purchase area jumped to 19.7%, and the growth rate of real estate investment remained stable.
The policy of restricted purchase and loan policy continued to slow down in the 70 cities in June.
In the first 49 months of July, the real estate sales volume of the two cities increased by -20% year-on-year, slightly down compared with June, and the demand for second tier cities is still weak.
Last week, the housing sales ratio of the ten major cities rose to 38.7 weeks, and the land area of the hundred cities declined slightly, but the growth rate was still higher than the same period last year.
Passenger cars: in June, the growth rate of automobile production and sales increased, and the wholesale and retail sales were weak in the first two weeks of July.
In June, the national vehicle output increased to 6.2% over the same period last year, and the retail sales volume above the quota increased to 9.8% year-on-year.
Production and sales strongly drive the price index of cars to rise.
In the first two weeks of July, the sales volume of narrow passenger cars in the Federation was strong, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.8%, and retail sales grew steadily because of high base and low growth. Compared with the same period of growth, vehicle dealers' inventories were generally high on the 0.6%.6 months, or they were a drag on future manufacturers' sales volume.
Appliances: in June, home appliances and sales growth slowed down, and the sales volume of air-conditioning manufacturers continued to grow.
In June, the air conditioning, refrigerators and washing machines output increased by 13.4%, 1.8% and 0.8% respectively. The above figure of 13.3% above the retail sales of household appliances increased by 13.3% over the same period in May.
Among them, the growth rate of air conditioners and washing machines has dropped sharply to a certain extent, which is related to the higher base period last year. The demand for air conditioners and washing machines increased sharply in the middle of last year.
From the manufacturers' caliber, in June, the sales volume of industrial online air conditioners increased by 41.4% over the same period (the growth rate of domestic sales was as high as 67%), still high, while the ratio of Treasury to sales dropped to 0.53 in the same period of the same period.
Textile and clothing
In June, the growth rate of textile and garment retail decreased slightly, and domestic demand was weakened by external demand.
In June, the retail sales of clothing, shoes and hats and needles and textiles increased slightly to 7.3% year-on-year, pointing to weak domestic demand.
In June, the export growth rate of textile and garment sub sectors rose, pointing to weak and strong external demand.
Last week Keqiao textile price index and raw materials rose, reflecting a favorable supply and demand pattern.
Retail trade
In June, retail sales increased generally, and optional consumption was strong.
In June, the total retail sales volume rose to 11% year-on-year, and the total retail sales volume increased to 10% in real terms. The growth rate of the above quota increased from 10.2% to 10.2%, excluding oil, building materials and automobiles. The growth rate was 11.5% higher than that of May, indicating a strong domestic demand.
Sub item: consumption must rise and fall, but optional consumption is generally rising.
Among them, automobiles, communications equipment, building materials, furniture rose, oil and products down, household appliances audio and video dropped slightly.
Stylistic Entertainment: last week, the national box office declined slightly, and the growth rate picked up again.
The summer vacation is getting better. Last week, the national box office and the number of viewing people dropped slightly compared with the previous week (the decrease was 2.2% and 2.8% respectively), but the growth rate of box office revenue was up to 2.8% due to a low base.
From around the average movement, the box office growth rate has been rising slowly since July.
The movie "Wukong biography" was released on Thursday only 4 days, and the box office has reached 394 million yuan.
However, the movie "stolen milk daddy 3" was released at the previous week, but it was 331 million yuan at the box office last week.
For more information, please pay attention to the world clothing shoes and hats and Internet cafes.
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