Chrysanthemum: Cotton Is Used For Weaving, Not Frying!!!
With regard to the news of the national cotton store and the view of cotton, at the present stage, it stands on the top 17800, from the technical aspect, from the perspective of capital, the bears are extremely passive, and cotton continues to be crazy. If cotton is going to go big this year.
From the perspective of homeopathy, many low and long lines can still be held. Although the intense washing up has also washed away many long lines, the market is sticking to it in the middle of doubt.
From the current situation analysis, it is quite safe to want to be short and 17800.
In the short term, we can try to break the band 18500 by shorting the band.
Now let's talk about the idea of being empty and doing more.
On Monday, the cotton spinning business was restricted to the textile and cotton enterprises to participate in the bidding. According to the announcement of China cotton information network, the non cotton textile enterprises were involved in the auction from the end of Monday to the end of August.
The reserve cotton purchased by textile cotton enterprises is limited to their own use and shall not be resale.
This restriction is not the first.
The last time was in September 10, 2017.
Let's see how the market changed then.
Look at the statistical data, after the promulgation of the news, cotton reduced the callback, and then entered the trend of concussion in the first half year.
First look at the beginning of this year, the head of the head of the Central Cotton Storage Company Gu Yu some year-end report, highly affirmed the commitment of each unit in 2017 to inventory work and efforts to achieve results.
He pointed out that in 2017, in the case of difficult conditions, the units had overcome many difficulties and completed the task of going to stock, and it was affirmed by the relevant departments of the state.
He pointed out that the situation of stock taking in 2018 is still grim, and it is even more necessary for all storage and storage enterprises to further unify their thinking, raise awareness and strive to win the battle.
He asked all enterprises to be grateful and enjoy the dividend policy with gratitude, and also to finish the task of inventory policy deployment with gratitude. They should be duty bound to obey the overall situation of the state's macro regulation and control, and do well in the storage of cotton reserves. To do well in the good job, to reserve cotton for inventory is a good thing to benefit the textile enterprises. Each enterprise must carry out the rules and regulations in order to make sure that the textile enterprises are reassured. If we want to understand the current situation and inventory, it is the general trend of the supply side reform. No matter the state or private enterprises, we must be mindful of the mentality and fully implement the unified deployment of the Central Cotton store.
China grain storage group and China central storage cotton company also have the determination, confidence, ability and measures to take the necessary measures to resolutely implement the outgoing plan and finish the task of stockpile storage in 2018.
In May, cotton prices rose by 20% a month, as the cost pressures of downstream textile enterprises doubled, and the responsibility of the Central Cotton store was partly to guarantee the supply of cotton for the downstream textile enterprises, and the market price rose sharply. As a textile enterprise, it was inevitable that it would be afraid of high demand, and it would be natural to make a request to the central storage cotton.
It is a bit similar to housing prices. Housing prices are too high. Most people can't afford to buy them on the basis of wages.
At least the keynote is right, the house is used for living, not for frying. Similarly, cotton is for textile enterprises to do textile, not for your industry outside capital speculation.
Is the cotton speculation? Is the weather a reason for the rise? It's just a strong wind or hail. How can we make three futures trading of cotton futures?
Many Apple's profit capital is pouring into the market.
cotton
Along with the popularity of the stir fry, it will cause the present situation.
Most people look at the situation more smoothly. In the big picture, the fundamentals and technical aspects are all in the process of rising.
Coincidentally or necessarily, the linkage between China and the US has increased and the power of funds has exceeded the high point of 2013.
And cotton first empty Yongan, already in the average price of 17300-17500 lock up.
That is to say, the rise of the following more than 1000 points, the first bear was unhurt, and this rise also made a contribution.
The future is flat. We can foresee the gap.
From the perspective of holding positions, the day when Yongan's multi seat seats are substantially reduced, it means that he will unlock it.
US cotton is close to the high point in 2013, feeling nice, 93.40 unforgettable points.
If the breakthrough is strong, we must reconsider the impact of the US cotton on domestic cotton.
At present, cotton continues to rise, and the weather factors are still there.
Inventory reduction and price increase are good for national cotton reserves, but at the same time, the rate of increase is too fast.
industry
Interests.
At present, considering the status of no warehouse, close to 18500, follow the upward trend, stop loss is also clear, can do, but the probability of failure is very great.
The current price is short, and the 18900 stop loss is greater than the profit and loss ratio.
The band operation is below 18500 and the space may be larger.
Textile people friends circle Tucao also got up:
[expert review]
Wu Faxin: chief strategist CSO of Shanghai yarn Bao Technology Co., Ltd.
As for cotton prices, I always believe that the middle and long term bullish and the slow cow pattern will not change.
Slow down and slow down everyone is good.
The price of cotton has gone round in ten years, and 2010--2020 has just arrived at "ten years".
The trend of inventory and consumption is also true. Since big funds and the national team are aware of this trend, the predators want to make this happen.
market
In the "rush to eat", all kinds of tricks, eighteen classes of weapons took turns, violent wash dishes, vigorously shook the warehouse, killing you.
Cotton and rivers and lakes, a "bloody storm is inevitable", the use of "a laugh of the sea" half lyrics "who wins who wins, heaven knows".
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