This Year, The Peak Season Of Textile Industry Has Become Off-Season. What Has Happened?

There were less than 40 days left in 2018, and winter came.

For all of us, there is a state of mind that the heart is worried and the clothes are cheap.

but

to

After the national day, WeChat received many phone calls from factory owners. The owners felt puzzled that they were not busy at all, and they were looking for lists everywhere.

According to the market in previous years, this time period is not busy.

Under normal circumstances, factories should still catch up to eleven of the goods.

Is it difficult for us not to play this double eleven this year?

Light manufacturing, textile

Basically, most of the small and medium-sized private enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta are concentrating on the industry. In the past two years, many small factories have been forced to move out or turn away because of measures such as strengthening fire control, demolition, safety supervision and environmental remediation.

For those who are still sticking to this industry, they thought they would get better.

But the current industry market seems to be really not optimistic.

Analysis of the reasons behind it

1, the first half of the year has been hoarding! In the second half of the year, fabric traders dare not hoard!

After the carnival in the first half of the year, there was a "chicken feather" in the second half of the year. Some garment enterprises and traders began to hoarding the fabric in a large scale after March, with the expectation of Sino US trade rising to foreign trade tariffs. The orders of foreign trade enterprises which were originally put forward after September were also advanced to August. There is a certain amount of fabric inventory from terminal clothing to trade dealers. When the market material inventory is saturated, it can be imagined that the main clothing and fabric traders in 9 and October did not dare to hoard goods, and the order was slowed down.

2, the cost of autumn and winter, especially down clothing, down and raw materials soaring has doubled, and dare not hoard.

In the clothing production process, clothing prices are directly related to raw material costs, production losses and labor costs. With the improvement of the market over the past two years, the related products such as fabrics, accessories and other clothing products have been soaring. According to the clothing enterprises, the cost of down has doubled. Down garments are the main products of autumn and winter. The soaring prices and the changing trend of fashion in recent years have made clothing enterprises worry about the autumn and winter sales of the down garments. Therefore, it is either low cost or low inventory in advance, so the order loss of the down jacket has a great influence.

In addition, not only is the down jacket, but in the past few months, the soaring cost of chemical fiber has also increased the cost of the enterprises. On the one hand, even if the recent prices fall, there is a big increase in prices compared with the first half of the year. At the same time, the instability of the market has made it very difficult for the enterprises in the price fixing season. The market rhythm has been disrupted in the absence of normal shipping and price rises. Traders are afraid to hoard them.

3, some are already buying and selling, but there are too many spot stocks on the market.

If you want to say that the market has not started, it is unrealistic. Indeed, we can see a hint of the peak season. Some clothing enterprises' orders are still being issued. But why do you look at the orders of weaving factories or the production and marketing of raw materials factories are so depressed? In fact, in the past years, the selling season of hoarding goods in the off-season is normal, but the first half of the year is too hot for traders to store too much goods. In the second half of 9 and October, it is the time of selling goods.

4, the weather is not cool, warm winter is expected to be strong.

As mentioned earlier, the high price of raw materials for clothing is the reason why clothing companies dare not hoard. Another reason is that all textile enterprises are also looking forward to the cooling of the weather.

As soon as the weather has cooled down, the clothing sales in autumn and winter will enter a new round of climax. However, this year, after eleven, there is not much change in the trend of cooling. Textile workers' expectations for warm winter are particularly strong.

5, the garment processing workshop is disappearing, and the upper grey fabric is expanding.

at present

The processing market is also experiencing the changing of cage and changing birds, including one of the largest clothing production bases in Huzhou, one of the largest garment production bases in the country and the other one in the Zhili children's clothing town in the city of Huzhou. Both of them are experiencing the renovation of scattered pollution and will eliminate most of the garment processing workshops in the future. Most of these small businesses are supplied by the electricity suppliers and other suppliers. Besides, the suppliers of these enterprises are mainly some low-end conventional spray products, so the regulation of garment processing workshop causes short-term imbalance between the supply and demand of the terminal.

On the other hand, the upstream fabric is swelling. With the outbreak of grey cloth productivity, the subsequent impact on the Jiangsu and Zhejiang market will inevitably lead to a vicious competition in the period of overcapacity.

At the same time, the total amount of looms in China increased, and the corresponding facilities such as printing and dyeing factories, chemical fiber factories and finishing plants in the central and western parts of China will not be sold back to Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces.

The impact is even greater, resulting in the current market competition is bad, the danger signal of excess capacity is being induced.

6, the weakening of trade between China and the United States, and the weakening of the electricity supplier market affect the economy, and the personal consumption ability of the terminal is weakening.

At present, the United States has imposed a new tariff of $200 billion on China's imports, up to 10%, and probably increased to 25% in January 1st. The Chinese economy is beginning to feel the pressure.

As businesses prepare to respond to US tariffs, China's manufacturing growth is weakening.

In addition, the double eleven effect in recent years has also weakened in recent years.

A few years ago, the electricity supplier carnival season will be driven.

Trading volume, but this effect has been gradually weakening since last year. The reason is that in recent years, a large number of capital flows into real estate, coupled with rising prices, especially the price of clothing brands, has led to a reduction in the disposable personal consumption of the terminal, and the consumption capacity is weakening. From this year's situation, eleven of the orders are not in mass.

For textile bosses, the cold wave is now encountering cold weather in this busy season. It is unexpected to everyone. From the end of August to the year of October, the expectation of the arrival of orders is often lost. The higher the inventory is, the more anxious it is than the stock market.

However, not only the problem of orders, but also every day and every week, we must pay attention to the fluctuation of raw material prices. Every time we receive the letter of price increase, we are all jumpy with fear. In the mind, we constantly calculate that the raw material is not ready to buy, but is it really going to go up this time, or is it exploratory?

All in all, when someone can't sell the house, someone will help with the stock, but don't expect the policy to help you raise the price to sell the stock clothes.

A clothing boss said: Although the list can still be busy for two months at present, but for those who have been struggling for decades in this industry, they really smell something different.