Analysis Of Foreign Trade Index In December: The International Market Shows More Weakness, And The Volume Of Foreign Trade Marketing Price Falls.
In December 2018, the foreign trade prosperity index closed at 746.65 points, a decrease of 1.33%, a rise of 1.23% compared with the beginning of the year, an increase of 4.82% over the same period last year. The foreign trade price index closed at 163.69 points, down 2.17%, up 7.04% from the beginning of the year, and rose by 10.98% compared with the same period last year.
In December, global economic and trade growth remained weak, domestic labor costs continued to be high, and protectionism in some countries became more prominent. Unprecedented pressures and difficulties continued to increase.
Foreign relief measures and trade barriers against China's textile and garment trade are increasing day by day, and the external situation of textile and garment trade is becoming more and more serious.
The international market is more weak, textile and clothing exports are blocked, the market is pessimistic, and the international textile market is still showing signs of chill.
The 20181225 phase of the foreign trade prosperity index fell, and the foreign trade price index fell.
Foreign trade climate index fell
In December, the prosperity index of foreign textile enterprises in Keqiao District of Shaoxing city decreased, because the stock purchase of overseas buyers decreased, and the volume of newly added single volume and export volume of foreign trade enterprises decreased.
Among them: cotton and its blended fabrics, the foreign trade prosperity index has decreased by 3.67%, and the foreign trade prosperity index of chemical fiber filament fabrics has decreased by 4.98% compared with the same month.
1, foreign trade orders decrease during Christmas holidays.
In December, foreign countries coincided with the Christmas holidays. Western countries were immersed in the atmosphere of holidays. As a result, foreign trade orders were scarce, and sales on Christmas Eve were basically at a standstill, resulting in a further reduction in the demand for foreign trade market.
Domestic suppliers are desperately pushing money, many enterprises are a little exhausted, unable to deal with, deal with inventory at low prices as soon as possible.
2, exports are facing new challenges.
The development of textile industry in Southeast Asia and South Asian countries is developing rapidly, and the volume of clothing orders for large quantities, low and medium added value is growing significantly, and the international market share of China's export enterprises has been squeezed.
At the same time, Southeast Asian and South Asian countries are actively supporting the development of their industrial policies, and the global competition for clothing orders is becoming increasingly fierce.
Southeast Asian and South Asian countries hope to keep pace with the pformation of new and old energy in China's foreign trade, and local industries can also achieve pformation and upgrading.
In addition, international trade protectionism has risen, and trade frictions with some countries and regions have increased. China's exports are facing new challenges.
Looking at the world, China's textile industry is facing "double industrialization" and "double squeeze" of developing countries to accelerate the industrialization process. The task of structural adjustment and industrial upgrading is urgent.
3., the export market is weak, and conventional products are overcapacity.
The textile export market of some printing and dyeing enterprises producing conventional products in Keqiao district has been relatively low.
The main problem is the overcapacity of conventional products.
Export market is weak because export market is weak.
Analysis of the industry, not only the printing and dyeing industry in Keqiao, in the entire Chinese printing and dyeing industry, conventional products are indeed overcapacity.
If enterprises do not actively pform, it is easy to be eliminated by the market.
For printing and dyeing enterprises in Keqiao, under the pressure of environmental protection, under the natural selection of the market, enterprises with a single product structure, low added value of products and relatively weak scientific research and technological pformation capabilities are facing severe challenges.
The price of public products is down.
Foreign trade price index fell
In December, the foreign trade price index showed a downward trend.
Among them, the foreign trade price index of cotton and its blended fabrics decreased by 7.91%; the foreign trade price index of chemical fiber and filament fabrics decreased by 10.12%; the price index of foreign trade of embroidery and embroidery decreased by 8.53%, and the total price index of foreign trade decreased.
1, mass product prices fell slightly.
Textile has always been an important economic pillar in China, and has been warmly welcomed in the market at home and abroad.
However, the quality of products produced under ordinary production processes and low quality raw materials is uneven, and the lack of functions is also the main reason for the decline in export prices.
Limited by the lack of technical personnel and the weak cost of capital, most manufacturing enterprises can not keep up with the leading level at home and abroad when they produce their products. Most of the textiles produced have the problems of low technology content, few functions and low quality. They can only be targeted at the middle and low market, and are easily constrained by foreign economic conditions and standard clauses.
At present, the downward pressure on Keqiao's foreign trade growth is still relatively large, and the foreign trade orders of public products are insufficient, and prices have dropped slightly.
2, low price competition has intensified in Southeast Asia, and profit margins have been compressed.
Due to the high cost of labor in domestic textile industry and the low price competition in Southeast Asia, the loss of orders in China's textile production enterprises is serious. Some of the overseas orders of some enterprises are being contended in Southeast Asia. Many small and medium-sized enterprises are facing the problem of increasing inventory, decreasing orders and falling prices.
The loss of orders means the loss of potential profits, which is very regrettable for China's textile production enterprises in the period of pformation and upgrading.
In order to restore orders, enable enterprises to win the international market share and maintain the normal operation of enterprises, some small and medium enterprises with no product superiority will not hesitate to further compress profit margins when undertaking orders.
Forecast of next stage foreign trade index
For the export situation in January 2019, textile and garment exports are expected to show a slight upward trend.
The tension between China and the US showed signs of cooling, which boosted the confidence of textile people.
It is believed that the easing of Sino US trade relations will have a certain boost to the future export market.
But the slowdown in scale growth and low demand growth will become the main keynote.
In view of the continuous rise of human cost in China, the cost advantage of manufacturing industry is gradually weakened, and the trend of domestic capacity pfer to overseas will continue.
Textile enterprises in Keqiao, Shaoxing will build a platform for "Internet + foreign trade" to build a foreign trade ecosystem. Textile trade will also usher in new opportunities for development.
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